{"id":64436,"date":"2024-08-19T13:10:59","date_gmt":"2024-08-19T13:10:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/?p=3579"},"modified":"2024-08-19T13:10:59","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T13:10:59","slug":"u-s-stock-markets-flat-jackson-hole-and-fed-minutes-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/u-s-stock-markets-flat-jackson-hole-and-fed-minutes-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Stock Markets Flat, Jackson Hole and Fed Minutes in Focus"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

U.S. stocks traded flat on Monday, consolidating after last week’s gains as investors awaited further signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wall Street’s major indices recorded their best week so far in 2024, as recent positive data eased fears of a possible recession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The S&P 500 index gained nearly 3.9%, posting its best week since 2023. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added 5.2%, while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.9%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Recessionary Prospects Decline<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The previous week’s rally came after a turbulent start to the month following the disappointing July nonfarm payrolls reading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, July’s ISM non-manufacturing index rebounded, with its employment component entering the expansionary zone for the first time since November last year, according to economists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In addition, July retail sales exceeded estimates, indicating a marked growth in real consumption, and initial jobless claims have fallen over the past two weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Goldman Sachs has revised its one-year US economic recession forecast to 20% from 25%, citing the latest economic data that indicate no signs of a slowdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The increase was midway between the long-term average recession probability of 15% – based on the historical occurrence of one recession every seven years – and the 35% estimate during the banking turmoil in early 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors will focus this week on the minutes of the Fed’s latest meeting, due out on Wednesday, ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole next Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Earnings Season Continues<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Earnings season continues this week, with results due on Monday from Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and Est\u00e9e Lauder (EL).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bank of America’s most recent survey of fund managers indicated a decline in the proportion of investors overweight equities, from 51% to 31%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The survey also highlighted that 40% of investment managers are pushing for CEOs to improve their companies’ balance sheets. Despite the current AI boom, the desire to increase capital expenditure has fallen to 24%, the lowest level since November 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crude Oil Prices On The Lookout For Gaza Ceasefire Talks<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Crude oil prices fell on Monday due to concerns over weaker demand in top oil importer China, while ceasefire talks in the Middle East remain in focus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attention is now focused on Gaza ceasefire talks, which will continue this week in Cairo after a two-day meeting in Doha the week before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Monday called Washington’s latest diplomatic effort to reach a Gaza ceasefire agreement “perhaps the best and last chance” and urged all sides to reach an agreement that would get them over the finish line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The urgency to reach a ceasefire agreement has grown amid fears of an escalation of hostilities across the region, an upsurge that could impact on supplies to the oil-rich area.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

U.S. stocks traded flat on Monday, consolidating after last week’s gains as investors awaited further signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[633],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stocks"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nU.S. Stock Markets Flat, Jackson Hole and Fed Minutes in Focus - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S. stock markets flat as investors await Fed minutes and Jackson Hole insights. 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