{"id":123275,"date":"2026-11-03T10:01:33","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T08:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=123275"},"modified":"2026-11-03T10:14:42","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T08:14:42","slug":"audusd-recua-antes-da-decisao-do-rba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/audusd-recua-antes-da-decisao-do-rba\/","title":{"rendered":"AUDUSD Recua Antes da Decis\u00e3o do RBA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O par AUD\/USD permanece sob press\u00e3o, sendo negociado pr\u00f3ximo de 0,6987 durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica desta ter\u00e7a-feira, 3 de novembro, ap\u00f3s atingir a m\u00ednima de duas semanas. O d\u00f3lar australiano encontra dificuldades para recuperar for\u00e7a abaixo do n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de 0,7000, enquanto os investidores ajustam suas posi\u00e7\u00f5es antes do an\u00fancio de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria do Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O banco central \u00e9 amplamente esperado para elevar a taxa de juros em 25 pontos-base, para 4,85%, marcando o quinto aumento neste ano em meio \u00e0s persistentes press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias. No entanto, o comunicado de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria e os coment\u00e1rios da presidente do RBA, Michele Bullock, ser\u00e3o fundamentais para determinar se novos apertos monet\u00e1rios continuam prov\u00e1veis ou se a decis\u00e3o atual poder\u00e1 representar o pico do ciclo de alta dos juros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Al\u00e9m do aumento esperado, os traders acompanhar\u00e3o atentamente a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do RBA sobre a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e suas sinaliza\u00e7\u00f5es para a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria futura. Um discurso mais hawkish de Michele Bullock poder\u00e1 favorecer o d\u00f3lar australiano, enquanto coment\u00e1rios mais cautelosos, sugerindo que os juros podem ter atingido o pico, poder\u00e3o limitar os ganhos da moeda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Enquanto isso, as incertezas em torno das elei\u00e7\u00f5es de meio de mandato nos Estados Unidos poder\u00e3o gerar volatilidade adicional nos mercados cambiais e influenciar a demanda pelo d\u00f3lar americano. Os investidores tamb\u00e9m acompanhar\u00e3o os indicadores econ\u00f4micos dos EUA divulgados nesta ter\u00e7a-feira, incluindo as Encomendas \u00e0 Ind\u00fastria (Factory Orders) e as Vagas de Emprego JOLTS (JOLTS Job Openings), em busca de novos sinais sobre a for\u00e7a da economia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O relat\u00f3rio de emprego dos EUA, o Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), previsto para sexta-feira, tamb\u00e9m ser\u00e1 um importante catalisador para os mercados, podendo influenciar as expectativas sobre a pr\u00f3xima decis\u00e3o do Federal Reserve (Fed) e a dire\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar americano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sob a perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, o AUD\/USD mant\u00e9m uma tend\u00eancia baixista no curto prazo, sendo negociado pr\u00f3ximo de 0,6987, abaixo da resist\u00eancia de Fibonacci de 38,2%, localizada em 0,7025. O RSI est\u00e1 em 45,19, indicando a persist\u00eancia da press\u00e3o vendedora, enquanto o histograma positivo do MACD sugere os primeiros sinais de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do momentum. No entanto, ambas as linhas do MACD permanecem abaixo de zero, mantendo uma revers\u00e3o de alta ainda n\u00e3o confirmada.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGrafico AUDUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
No lado negativo, o suporte imediato est\u00e1 localizado em 0,6975, seguido por uma regi\u00e3o de suporte mais forte em 0,6894, caso o par rompa esse n\u00edvel e a linha de tend\u00eancia ascendente. No lado positivo, a primeira resist\u00eancia aparece em 0,7025, seguida por 0,7066 e pela regi\u00e3o entre 0,7107 e 0,7120.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Uma ruptura consistente acima de 0,7066 poder\u00e1 melhorar as perspectivas de curto prazo, enquanto um movimento acima de 0,7120 fortaleceria as possibilidades de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da tend\u00eancia de alta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A decis\u00e3o sobre a taxa de juros do RBA continua sendo o principal catalisador para o AUD\/USD, com as sinaliza\u00e7\u00f5es sobre os pr\u00f3ximos passos da pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria provavelmente determinando a dire\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar australiano. Uma postura hawkish poder\u00e1 favorecer uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 0,7025 e 0,7066, enquanto uma comunica\u00e7\u00e3o menos agressiva poder\u00e1 acelerar as perdas em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 0,6975 e 0,6894.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Os traders devem acompanhar esses n\u00edveis t\u00e9cnicos em conjunto com os sinais dos bancos centrais e os indicadores econ\u00f4micos dos EUA para identificar poss\u00edveis oportunidades de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o e gerenciar os riscos associados \u00e0 volatilidade provocada pelos eventos econ\u00f4micos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O par AUD\/USD permanece sob press\u00e3o, sendo negociado pr\u00f3ximo de 0,6987 durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica desta ter\u00e7a-feira, 3 de novembro, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[5985,5311,4599,5236,5984,4643,4652,5214],"class_list":["post-123275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-alta-de-juros-do-rba","tag-analise-forex","tag-analise-tecnica","tag-aud-usd","tag-decisao-de-juros-do-rba","tag-dolar-americano","tag-dolar-australiano","tag-mercado-cambial"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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