{"id":123228,"date":"2026-10-29T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T08:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=123228"},"modified":"2026-10-29T10:52:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T08:52:13","slug":"ouro-cai-com-dolar-forte-e-apostas-no-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/ouro-cai-com-dolar-forte-e-apostas-no-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"Ouro\u00a0Cai\u00a0com\u00a0D\u00f3lar\u00a0Forte\u00a0e\u00a0Apostas\u00a0no\u00a0Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os pre\u00e7os do ouro (XAU\/USD) ca\u00edram nesta quinta-feira, 29 de outubro, recuando para abaixo de US$ 4.050 durante o preg\u00e3o asi\u00e1tico e encerrando uma sequ\u00eancia de tr\u00eas sess\u00f5es consecutivas de ganhos. Ap\u00f3s atingir a m\u00e1xima semanal na sess\u00e3o anterior, o metal precioso perdeu for\u00e7a \u00e0 medida que o d\u00f3lar americano se recuperou da queda registrada ap\u00f3s a reuni\u00e3o do Federal Reserve (Fed).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A retomada da demanda pelo d\u00f3lar, combinada \u00e0s expectativas de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais restritiva nos Estados Unidos e \u00e0 persistente incerteza geopol\u00edtica, tem dificultado a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do ouro. No gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio, o XAU\/USD permanece dentro de um canal descendente mais amplo, enquanto o momentum baixista mant\u00e9m o n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de US$ 4.000 e a zona de suporte pr\u00f3xima no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O Federal Reserve manteve as taxas de juros inalteradas em sua reuni\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria de outubro, por uma vota\u00e7\u00e3o de 10 a 2. No entanto, segundo relatos, dois dirigentes defenderam um aumento de 25 pontos-base, evidenciando preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a persist\u00eancia da infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a possibilidade de um aperto monet\u00e1rio adicional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O presidente do Fed, Kevin Warsh, reiterou a import\u00e2ncia de monitorar as press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias e os riscos geopol\u00edticos. Desde ent\u00e3o, os mercados passaram a dar mais aten\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 possibilidade de um novo aumento dos juros em dezembro. Taxas de juros mais elevadas geralmente pressionam o ouro, pois tornam o metal, que n\u00e3o oferece rendimento, menos atrativo em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com ativos remunerados por juros. As expectativas de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais restritiva tamb\u00e9m podem fortalecer o d\u00f3lar americano, encarecendo o ouro cotado na moeda para compradores que utilizam outras divisas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Essa combina\u00e7\u00e3o criou um cen\u00e1rio desafiador para o XAU\/USD. Embora a incerteza possa estimular a demanda por ativos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o, a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar e o aumento das expectativas de juros tendem a exercer maior press\u00e3o de curto prazo sobre os pre\u00e7os do ouro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lise\u00a0T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O ouro permanece sob press\u00e3o baixista no gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio, sendo negociado pr\u00f3ximo de US$ 4.030 dentro de um canal descendente. O RSI, em 38,62, est\u00e1 abaixo de sua m\u00e9dia, em 40,71, enquanto o MACD negativo confirma a persist\u00eancia do momentum de queda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Grafico XAUUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O suporte est\u00e1 localizado na faixa de US$ 4.000\u20133.965, com n\u00edveis adicionais em US$ 3.945\u20133.930 e US$ 3.915. Uma ruptura abaixo de US$ 3.965 pode abrir espa\u00e7o para esses alvos inferiores. No lado positivo, as resist\u00eancias est\u00e3o em US$ 4.065, seguidas pelas faixas de US$ 4.125\u20134.185 e US$ 4.260\u20134.285. Uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o acima de US$ 4.065 pode desencadear um repique de al\u00edvio, enquanto um movimento sustentado acima de US$ 4.185 fortaleceria o cen\u00e1rio altista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os mercados aguardam os dados do PIB dos Estados Unidos referentes ao terceiro trimestre e os n\u00fameros da infla\u00e7\u00e3o medida pelo \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os de despesas de consumo pessoal (PCE), em busca de sinais sobre os pr\u00f3ximos passos do Fed. Um crescimento econ\u00f4mico robusto ou uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente pode refor\u00e7ar as expectativas de aumento dos juros, impulsionando o d\u00f3lar e pressionando o ouro. Dados mais fracos podem reduzir as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com o aperto monet\u00e1rio e favorecer o XAU\/USD, enquanto os rendimentos dos Treasuries oferecem um sinal adicional para o mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para os traders, o suporte em US$ 3.965 e a resist\u00eancia em US$ 4.065 s\u00e3o os n\u00edveis imediatos a monitorar. Um rompimento confirmado de qualquer um desses limites pode indicar a pr\u00f3xima dire\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os. A combina\u00e7\u00e3o da a\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o com os dados econ\u00f4micos e as mudan\u00e7as na for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar pode ajudar os traders a identificar oportunidades de rompimento e gerenciar riscos em um ambiente de volatilidade elevada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Os pre\u00e7os do ouro (XAU\/USD) ca\u00edram nesta quinta-feira, 29 de outubro, recuando para abaixo de US$ 4.050 durante o preg\u00e3o asi\u00e1tico e encerrando uma sequ\u00eancia de tr\u00eas sess\u00f5es consecutivas de ganhos. Ap\u00f3s atingir a m\u00e1xima semanal na sess\u00e3o anterior, o metal precioso perdeu for\u00e7a \u00e0 medida que o d\u00f3lar americano se recuperou da queda registrada ap\u00f3s a reuni\u00e3o do Federal Reserve (Fed). A retomada da demanda pelo d\u00f3lar, combinada \u00e0s expectativas de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais restritiva nos Estados Unidos e \u00e0 persistente incerteza geopol\u00edtica, tem dificultado a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do ouro. No gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio, o XAU\/USD permanece dentro de um canal descendente mais amplo, enquanto o momentum baixista mant\u00e9m o n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de US$ 4.000 e a zona de suporte pr\u00f3xima no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es. O Federal Reserve manteve as taxas de juros inalteradas em sua reuni\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria de outubro, por uma vota\u00e7\u00e3o de 10 a 2. No entanto, segundo relatos, dois dirigentes defenderam um aumento de 25 pontos-base, evidenciando preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a persist\u00eancia da infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a possibilidade de um aperto monet\u00e1rio adicional. O presidente do Fed, Kevin Warsh, reiterou a import\u00e2ncia de monitorar as press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias e os riscos geopol\u00edticos. Desde ent\u00e3o, os mercados passaram a dar mais aten\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 possibilidade de um novo aumento dos juros em dezembro. Taxas de juros mais elevadas geralmente pressionam o ouro, pois tornam o metal, que n\u00e3o oferece rendimento, menos atrativo em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com ativos remunerados por juros. As expectativas de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais restritiva tamb\u00e9m podem fortalecer o d\u00f3lar americano, encarecendo o ouro cotado na moeda para compradores que utilizam outras divisas. Essa combina\u00e7\u00e3o criou um cen\u00e1rio desafiador para o XAU\/USD. Embora a incerteza possa estimular a demanda por ativos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o, a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar e o aumento das expectativas de juros tendem a exercer maior press\u00e3o de curto prazo sobre os pre\u00e7os do ouro. An\u00e1lise\u00a0T\u00e9cnica O ouro permanece sob press\u00e3o baixista no gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio, sendo negociado pr\u00f3ximo de US$ 4.030 dentro de um canal descendente. O RSI, em 38,62, est\u00e1 abaixo de sua m\u00e9dia, em 40,71, enquanto o MACD negativo confirma a persist\u00eancia do momentum de queda. O suporte est\u00e1 localizado na faixa de US$ 4.000\u20133.965, com n\u00edveis adicionais em US$ 3.945\u20133.930 e US$ 3.915. Uma ruptura abaixo de US$ 3.965 pode abrir espa\u00e7o para esses alvos inferiores. No lado positivo, as resist\u00eancias est\u00e3o em US$ 4.065, seguidas pelas faixas de US$ 4.125\u20134.185 e US$ 4.260\u20134.285. Uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o acima de US$ 4.065 pode desencadear um repique de al\u00edvio, enquanto um movimento sustentado acima de US$ 4.185 fortaleceria o cen\u00e1rio altista. Os mercados aguardam os dados do PIB dos Estados Unidos referentes ao terceiro trimestre e os n\u00fameros da infla\u00e7\u00e3o medida pelo \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os de despesas de consumo pessoal (PCE), em busca de sinais sobre os pr\u00f3ximos passos do Fed. Um crescimento econ\u00f4mico robusto ou uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente pode refor\u00e7ar as expectativas de aumento dos juros, impulsionando o d\u00f3lar e pressionando o ouro. Dados mais fracos podem reduzir as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com o aperto monet\u00e1rio e favorecer o XAU\/USD, enquanto os rendimentos dos Treasuries oferecem um sinal adicional para o mercado. Para os traders, o suporte em US$ 3.965 e a resist\u00eancia em US$ 4.065 s\u00e3o os n\u00edveis imediatos a monitorar. Um rompimento confirmado de qualquer um desses limites pode indicar a pr\u00f3xima dire\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os. A combina\u00e7\u00e3o da a\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o com os dados econ\u00f4micos e as mudan\u00e7as na for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar pode ajudar os traders a identificar oportunidades de rompimento e gerenciar riscos em um ambiente de volatilidade elevada.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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