{"id":123178,"date":"2026-10-27T11:13:48","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T09:13:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=123178"},"modified":"2026-10-27T11:20:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T09:20:12","slug":"audusd-testa-07025-antes-do-cpi-e-da-decisao-do-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/audusd-testa-07025-antes-do-cpi-e-da-decisao-do-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"AUDUSD Testa 0,7025 Antes do CPI e da Decis\u00e3o do Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O d\u00f3lar australiano manteve-se acima de 0,7000 face ao d\u00f3lar norte-americano nesta ter\u00e7a-feira, 27 de outubro, negociando perto de 0,7024, antes da divulga\u00e7\u00e3o dos dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o da Austr\u00e1lia e da decis\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria da Reserva Federal dos EUA (Fed). Embora as expectativas de uma postura mais restritiva do Banco da Reserva da Austr\u00e1lia (RBA) sustentem a moeda australiana, a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o ainda n\u00e3o confirmou uma revers\u00e3o de tend\u00eancia de alta mais ampla.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O RBA elevou a sua taxa de juro de refer\u00eancia para 4,60% em setembro, o n\u00edvel mais elevado em 15 anos, num contexto de infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente. O \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os no Consumidor (CPI) da Austr\u00e1lia em setembro dever\u00e1 subir para 4,2% em termos hom\u00f3logos, face a 4,0%, enquanto a infla\u00e7\u00e3o mensal dever\u00e1 acelerar de 0,4% para 0,7%. Leituras mais elevadas poder\u00e3o refor\u00e7ar as expectativas de novos aumentos das taxas de juro, favorecendo o AUD\/USD. Por outro lado, dados mais fracos poder\u00e3o desencadear novas press\u00f5es de venda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Espera-se que a Fed mantenha as taxas de juro entre 3,75% e 4,00%, mas as suas orienta\u00e7\u00f5es de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria poder\u00e3o influenciar as expectativas quanto a futuras altera\u00e7\u00f5es. Coment\u00e1rios mais restritivos poder\u00e3o fortalecer o d\u00f3lar norte-americano e limitar os ganhos do AUD\/USD, enquanto uma postura menos agressiva poder\u00e1 apoiar a moeda australiana. As encomendas de bens duradouros dos EUA, os indicadores do mercado de trabalho, o PIB do terceiro trimestre e a infla\u00e7\u00e3o PCE de setembro tamb\u00e9m fornecer\u00e3o pistas importantes. Com os dois bancos centrais a influenciar as perspetivas, sinais contradit\u00f3rios poder\u00e3o aumentar a volatilidade e tornar a dire\u00e7\u00e3o do par dependente dos pr\u00f3ximos dados econ\u00f3micos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O AUD\/USD negoceia perto de 0,7024 no gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio, testando o n\u00edvel de retra\u00e7\u00e3o de Fibonacci de 0,382, em 0,70255, ap\u00f3s recuperar da m\u00ednima de outubro, pr\u00f3xima de 0,68942. O \u00cdndice de For\u00e7a Relativa (RSI) situa-se em 52,26, acima do n\u00edvel neutro de 50, enquanto a linha MACD permanece acima da linha de sinal, com um histograma positivo, indicando uma melhoria do impulso de alta. No entanto, ambas as linhas MACD continuam abaixo de zero, sugerindo que a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o ainda n\u00e3o confirmou uma revers\u00e3o de tend\u00eancia de alta mais ampla.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGrafico AUDUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Em sentido ascendente, um fecho di\u00e1rio sustentado acima de 0,70255 poder\u00e1 abrir caminho para o n\u00edvel de retra\u00e7\u00e3o de Fibonacci de 0,5, em 0,70661, seguido de 0,71067, pr\u00f3ximo da zona de resist\u00eancia fundamental entre 0,7100 e 0,7110. Em contrapartida, uma rejei\u00e7\u00e3o na resist\u00eancia imediata poder\u00e1 levar o par a testar o suporte entre 0,69753 e 0,6978. Uma quebra decisiva abaixo desta zona exporia a m\u00ednima de outubro, pr\u00f3xima de 0,68942, enfraquecendo a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o atual. Estes n\u00edveis baseiam-se no gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio fornecido e servem como refer\u00eancias t\u00e9cnicas, n\u00e3o como objetivos de pre\u00e7o garantidos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O AUD\/USD mant\u00e9m uma perspetiva cautelosamente otimista, sendo necess\u00e1ria uma quebra confirmada acima de 0,70255 para abrir caminho at\u00e9 0,70661 e 0,71067. Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o australiana mais elevada e uma Fed menos restritiva poder\u00e3o favorecer os ganhos, enquanto um CPI mais fraco ou orienta\u00e7\u00f5es mais agressivas da Fed poder\u00e3o empurrar o par abaixo de 0,69753. Sinais contradit\u00f3rios poder\u00e3o manter os pre\u00e7os dentro de um intervalo de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Os dados do CPI australiano e a decis\u00e3o da Fed poder\u00e3o provocar fortes oscila\u00e7\u00f5es. Os investidores dever\u00e3o acompanhar surpresas nos dados econ\u00f3micos, aguardar confirma\u00e7\u00e3o dos movimentos dos pre\u00e7os e gerir cuidadosamente o dimensionamento das posi\u00e7\u00f5es, os n\u00edveis de stop-loss<\/em> e os riscos de derrapagem na execu\u00e7\u00e3o das ordens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O d\u00f3lar australiano manteve-se acima de 0,7000 face ao d\u00f3lar norte-americano nesta ter\u00e7a-feira, 27 de outubro, negociando perto de 0,7024, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[5937,5938,4383,5936,5935,5934],"class_list":["post-123178","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-analise-tecnica-aud-usd","tag-cpi-australiano","tag-onequity-insights","tag-previsao-aud-usd","tag-previsao-do-dolar-australiano","tag-previsao-do-preco-aud-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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