{"id":122942,"date":"2026-10-15T09:56:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T07:56:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122942"},"modified":"2026-10-15T10:05:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T08:05:30","slug":"ouro-cai-com-inflacao-dos-eua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/ouro-cai-com-inflacao-dos-eua\/","title":{"rendered":"Ouro\u00a0cai\u00a0com\u00a0Infla\u00e7\u00e3o\u00a0dos\u00a0EUA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O pre\u00e7o do ouro recuou para perto de US$ 4.100 durante o preg\u00e3o asi\u00e1tico desta quinta-feira, 15 de outubro, ap\u00f3s dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos Estados Unidos acima do esperado refor\u00e7arem as apostas em novos aumentos das taxas de juros pelo Federal Reserve (Fed). O resultado pressionou o metal precioso, que n\u00e3o oferece rendimento, enquanto investidores reavaliavam as perspectivas para a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria americana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A aten\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado agora se volta para o \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Produtor (PPI) de setembro, as vendas no varejo e o \u00edndice industrial do Fed da Filad\u00e9lfia. Esses indicadores podem influenciar o d\u00f3lar, os rendimentos dos Treasuries e a trajet\u00f3ria do ouro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor (CPI) dos EUA subiu 3,7% em 12 meses at\u00e9 setembro, acima da expectativa de 3,6%. O n\u00facleo do CPI avan\u00e7ou para 2,6%, ante 2,4% no per\u00edodo anterior. Os dados refor\u00e7aram as expectativas de aperto monet\u00e1rio adicional, reduzindo a atratividade do ouro diante do maior custo de oportunidade de manter um ativo que n\u00e3o gera juros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Segundo a TD Securities, os consultores de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de commodities (CTAs) ampliaram as vendas de metais preciosos ap\u00f3s a surpresa inflacion\u00e1ria, com uma resist\u00eancia importante do ouro pr\u00f3xima de US$ 4.200 por on\u00e7a. Por outro lado, fluxos compradores podem oferecer suporte na faixa de US$ 4.000 a US$ 4.100. Mary Daly, presidente do Fed de S\u00e3o Francisco, destacou uma abordagem cautelosa e dependente dos dados para combater a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, sem descartar novas altas de juros caso as press\u00f5es sobre os pre\u00e7os persistam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para os traders de ouro, a quest\u00e3o central \u00e9 se os dados recentes indicam um per\u00edodo prolongado de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria restritiva ou apenas um rev\u00e9s tempor\u00e1rio para a tend\u00eancia mais ampla do metal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lise t\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O ouro (XAU\/USD) era negociado perto de US$ 4.144 em 15 de outubro, tentando recuperar parte das perdas recentes. Apesar da recupera\u00e7\u00e3o, a perspectiva t\u00e9cnica de curto prazo permanece baixista, com os pre\u00e7os abaixo da linha de tend\u00eancia descendente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Grafico XAUUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O \u00cdndice de For\u00e7a Relativa (RSI) est\u00e1 em 43,04, abaixo do n\u00edvel neutro de 50. Enquanto isso, o histograma do MACD, ligeiramente positivo em 0,465, sugere que a press\u00e3o vendedora pode estar perdendo for\u00e7a. No entanto, ambas as linhas do MACD continuam abaixo de zero, sem confirma\u00e7\u00e3o clara de uma revers\u00e3o para alta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O suporte est\u00e1 na faixa de US$ 4.085 a US$ 4.100, seguido pelos n\u00edveis de US$ 4.000 e US$ 3.945\u20133.965. No lado positivo, a resist\u00eancia imediata est\u00e1 entre US$ 4.160 e US$ 4.180, com uma barreira mais forte em US$ 4.240\u20134.250. Uma quebra do suporte pode ampliar as perdas, enquanto um movimento sustentado acima da resist\u00eancia superior e da linha de tend\u00eancia descendente refor\u00e7aria a possibilidade de revers\u00e3o para alta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os traders devem acompanhar esses n\u00edveis junto aos dados econ\u00f4micos dos EUA, \u00e0s expectativas para os juros do Fed e aos movimentos do d\u00f3lar. At\u00e9 que um rompimento confirme uma mudan\u00e7a de dire\u00e7\u00e3o, a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o deve ser tratada como uma poss\u00edvel corre\u00e7\u00e3o dentro de uma estrutura mais ampla de baixa.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O pre\u00e7o do ouro recuou para perto de US$ 4.100 durante o preg\u00e3o asi\u00e1tico desta quinta-feira, 15 de outubro, ap\u00f3s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[4599,4643,4444,5838,4383,5450,5837,5385],"class_list":["post-122942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-analise-tecnica","tag-dolar-americano","tag-federal-reserve","tag-inflacao-nos-eua","tag-onequity-insights","tag-preco-do-ouro","tag-trading-de-ouro","tag-xau-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nOuro\u00a0cai\u00a0com\u00a0Infla\u00e7\u00e3o\u00a0dos\u00a0EUA - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ouro recua para perto de US$ 4.100 ap\u00f3s infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima do esperado nos EUA. 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