{"id":122925,"date":"2026-10-14T09:47:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:47:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122925"},"modified":"2026-10-14T09:53:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:53:20","slug":"rendimentos-dos-treasuries-caem-antes-do-cpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/rendimentos-dos-treasuries-caem-antes-do-cpi\/","title":{"rendered":"Rendimentos dos Treasuries caem antes do CPI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os rendimentos dos t\u00edtulos do Tesouro dos Estados Unidos recuaram levemente nesta quarta-feira, 14 de outubro, enquanto os investidores aguardavam a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o do \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor (CPI) de setembro. Os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o podem influenciar as expectativas para a pr\u00f3xima decis\u00e3o de juros do Federal Reserve (Fed) e provocar volatilidade nos mercados de t\u00edtulos, c\u00e2mbio e a\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O rendimento do Treasury de 10 anos caiu cerca de 2 pontos-base, para 5,195%, enquanto o t\u00edtulo de 30 anos recuou 1 ponto-base, para 5,549%. O rendimento do Treasury de 2 anos tamb\u00e9m caiu 2 pontos-base, para 4,772%. Os rendimentos e os pre\u00e7os dos t\u00edtulos se movem em dire\u00e7\u00f5es opostas, o que significa que a queda dos rendimentos geralmente reflete uma alta nos pre\u00e7os dos t\u00edtulos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Economistas consultados pela Dow Jones esperam que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o cheia medida pelo CPI suba 0,6% em setembro, na compara\u00e7\u00e3o mensal, elevando a taxa anual para 3,6%. Se confirmada, essa leitura indicar\u00e1 que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 se afastando ainda mais da meta de 2% do Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A expectativa \u00e9 que o CPI n\u00facleo, que exclui os pre\u00e7os vol\u00e1teis de alimentos e energia, avance 0,2% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a agosto e 2,5% na compara\u00e7\u00e3o anual. Os investidores analisar\u00e3o os dois indicadores para avaliar se as press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias subjacentes est\u00e3o diminuindo ou permanecem persistentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uma leitura de infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima do esperado pode refor\u00e7ar as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es de que o Fed precisar\u00e1 manter a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria restritiva por mais tempo. Por outro lado, n\u00fameros mais moderados podem fortalecer as expectativas de uma postura menos agressiva e exercer press\u00e3o adicional de baixa sobre os rendimentos dos Treasuries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Decis\u00e3o de juros do Fed no radar<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O relat\u00f3rio do CPI de setembro ser\u00e1 divulgado apenas duas semanas antes da pr\u00f3xima decis\u00e3o de juros do Federal Reserve, aumentando sua import\u00e2ncia para os mercados financeiros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analistas do Deutsche Bank observaram que os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o podem moldar as expectativas do mercado antes da reuni\u00e3o. O \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os das despesas de consumo pessoal (PCE), indicador de infla\u00e7\u00e3o preferido pelo Fed, s\u00f3 ser\u00e1 divulgado ap\u00f3s essa decis\u00e3o, tornando os n\u00fameros do CPI ainda mais relevantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O relat\u00f3rio de setembro ajudar\u00e1 a orientar as expectativas para a pr\u00f3xima decis\u00e3o do Fed, em conjunto com outros indicadores econ\u00f4micos. Na quinta-feira, 15 de outubro, os investidores tamb\u00e9m acompanhar\u00e3o o \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os ao produtor (PPI), as vendas no varejo e os pedidos iniciais de aux\u00edlio-desemprego nos Estados Unidos. Esses dados oferecer\u00e3o novas pistas sobre a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, o consumo e as condi\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado de trabalho. Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente, combinada com dados econ\u00f4micos fortes, pode elevar os rendimentos dos Treasuries, enquanto a desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os e o enfraquecimento da demanda podem refor\u00e7ar as expectativas de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais flex\u00edvel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os rendimentos dos Treasuries influenciam o d\u00f3lar, o ouro e as avalia\u00e7\u00f5es das a\u00e7\u00f5es, tornando esses dados especialmente importantes para os traders. Rendimentos mais altos podem favorecer o d\u00f3lar e pressionar o ouro e as a\u00e7\u00f5es de crescimento, enquanto rendimentos mais baixos podem produzir o efeito contr\u00e1rio. No mercado de c\u00e2mbio, vale acompanhar pares como EUR\/USD, GBP\/USD e USD\/JPY, observando se a infla\u00e7\u00e3o supera ou fica abaixo das expectativas e como os mercados ajustam suas proje\u00e7\u00f5es para as taxas de juros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Os rendimentos dos t\u00edtulos do Tesouro dos Estados Unidos recuaram levemente nesta quarta-feira, 14 de outubro, enquanto os investidores aguardavam [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":122918,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[794],"tags":[4636,4643,4444,4321,5788,5787,5541],"class_list":["post-122925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets-pt","tag-cpi-dos-eua","tag-dolar-americano","tag-federal-reserve","tag-forex","tag-inflacao-americana","tag-perspectivas-de-juros","tag-rendimentos-dos-treasuries"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Rendimentos dos Treasuries caem antes do CPI - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Os rendimentos dos Treasuries caem antes do CPI de setembro. 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