{"id":122712,"date":"2026-10-01T08:12:42","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T06:12:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122712"},"modified":"2026-10-01T08:20:44","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T06:20:44","slug":"gbp-usd-se-aproxima-de-13250-com-pressao-baixista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/gbp-usd-se-aproxima-de-13250-com-pressao-baixista\/","title":{"rendered":"GBPUSD Se Aproxima de 1,3250 com Press\u00e3o Baixista"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O par GBP\/USD \u00e9 negociado pr\u00f3ximo de 1,3250 no in\u00edcio das opera\u00e7\u00f5es europeias desta quinta-feira, 1\u00ba de outubro, estendendo sua queda enquanto a libra esterlina permanece pressionada frente ao d\u00f3lar americano. O par continua negociando abaixo de sua M\u00e9dia M\u00f3vel Simples (SMA) de 100 dias, mantendo um cen\u00e1rio t\u00e9cnico baixista no curto prazo. Agora, a aten\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado se volta para os pedidos semanais iniciais de seguro-desemprego nos Estados Unidos e para os coment\u00e1rios de autoridades do Federal Reserve, em busca de novas pistas sobre a trajet\u00f3ria das taxas de juros americanas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As expectativas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria continuam sendo um dos principais fatores para o GBP\/USD. O dirigente do Banco da Inglaterra (BoE), Alan Taylor, destacou recentemente a dificuldade de elevar as taxas sem estimular expectativas de um novo aperto monet\u00e1rio. Enquanto isso, o MUFG elevou sua previs\u00e3o de crescimento do Reino Unido no terceiro trimestre para 0,4%, ante 0,1%, sugerindo que uma atividade econ\u00f4mica mais forte pode dar ao BoE maior margem para apertar a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria caso os pre\u00e7os elevados da energia continuem pressionando a infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nos Estados Unidos, dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o PCE abaixo do esperado reduziram as expectativas de uma alta de juros pelo Fed em outubro, com a probabilidade recuando para cerca de 38,2%, ante 45%, segundo dados do CME FedWatch. No entanto, autoridades do Fed, incluindo Neel Kashkari, continuam destacando os riscos persistentes de infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a resili\u00eancia da economia americana, limitando o potencial de queda do d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O GBP\/USD permanece abaixo da&nbsp;<strong>SMA de 100 dias em 1,3415<\/strong>&nbsp;e do ponto m\u00e9dio das Bandas de Bollinger de 20 per\u00edodos, em&nbsp;<strong>1,3385<\/strong>, mantendo uma estrutura t\u00e9cnica baixista. O RSI est\u00e1 pr\u00f3ximo de&nbsp;<strong>33,20<\/strong>, indicando forte momentum de baixa e uma aproxima\u00e7\u00e3o da regi\u00e3o de sobrevenda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O primeiro suporte importante est\u00e1 em&nbsp;<strong>1,3202<\/strong>, seguido pela banda inferior de Bollinger, pr\u00f3xima de&nbsp;<strong>1,3140<\/strong>. Uma ruptura sustentada abaixo de 1,3140 poderia abrir espa\u00e7o para uma queda at\u00e9&nbsp;<strong>1,3038<\/strong>, enquanto o n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de&nbsp;<strong>1,3000<\/strong>pode se tornar o pr\u00f3ximo alvo de baixa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No lado positivo,&nbsp;<strong>1,3311<\/strong>&nbsp;\u00e9 a primeira resist\u00eancia a ser observada, seguida por&nbsp;<strong>1,3385<\/strong>&nbsp;e pela SMA de 100 dias em&nbsp;<strong>1,3415<\/strong>. Um movimento acima desse \u00faltimo n\u00edvel enfraqueceria o cen\u00e1rio baixista atual e poderia direcionar a aten\u00e7\u00e3o para a banda superior de Bollinger, pr\u00f3xima de&nbsp;<strong>1,3630<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O GBP\/USD se aproxima de uma importante zona de suporte t\u00e9cnico enquanto as expectativas sobre as pol\u00edticas monet\u00e1rias do BoE e do Fed permanecem em constante mudan\u00e7a. Os traders devem acompanhar de perto&nbsp;<strong>1,3202 no lado negativo e 1,3311 no lado positivo<\/strong>, al\u00e9m dos pr\u00f3ximos dados econ\u00f4micos dos Estados Unidos e dos coment\u00e1rios de autoridades do Fed. Uma ruptura de qualquer um desses n\u00edveis pode oferecer um sinal mais claro sobre o pr\u00f3ximo movimento do par e potencialmente aumentar a volatilidade no mercado cambial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para os traders, a combina\u00e7\u00e3o entre a&nbsp;<strong>resist\u00eancia da SMA de 100 dias, o momentum do RSI, as perspectivas de crescimento do Reino Unido, os sinais de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria do BoE e as mudan\u00e7as nas expectativas para os juros do Fed<\/strong>&nbsp;apresenta diversos catalisadores importantes a serem monitorados ao avaliar o pr\u00f3ximo movimento potencial do GBP\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O par GBP\/USD \u00e9 negociado pr\u00f3ximo de 1,3250 no in\u00edcio das opera\u00e7\u00f5es europeias desta quinta-feira, 1\u00ba de outubro, estendendo sua [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[4599,4643,4321,4230,4744,5214,4383,5505],"class_list":["post-122712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-analise-tecnica","tag-dolar-americano","tag-forex","tag-gbpusd","tag-libra-esterlina","tag-mercado-cambial","tag-onequity-insights","tag-previsao-gbp-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>GBPUSD Se Aproxima de 1,3250 com Press\u00e3o Baixista - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"GBP\/USD se aproxima de 1,3250 enquanto a press\u00e3o baixista persiste abaixo da SMA de 100 dias. 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