{"id":122396,"date":"2026-09-03T08:14:51","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T06:14:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122396"},"modified":"2026-09-03T08:23:50","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T06:23:50","slug":"dolar-cai-abaixo-de-9950-antes-do-nfp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/dolar-cai-abaixo-de-9950-antes-do-nfp\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00f3lar Cai Abaixo de 99,50 Antes do NFP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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O \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar Americano (DXY) recuou para cerca de 99,39 durante as primeiras negocia\u00e7\u00f5es europeias desta quinta-feira, 3 de setembro, enquanto os rendimentos dos Treasuries dos EUA ca\u00edam em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s recentes m\u00e1ximas de v\u00e1rios anos. O d\u00f3lar ficou sob press\u00e3o ap\u00f3s novos dados mostrarem uma desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o nas contrata\u00e7\u00f5es do setor privado em agosto, aumentando a aten\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado para o relat\u00f3rio oficial de emprego dos EUA, previsto para sexta-feira.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O ADP National Employment Report mostrou que os empregadores privados dos EUA adicionaram 38 mil vagas em agosto, abaixo das 46 mil vagas de julho, n\u00famero revisado, e tamb\u00e9m abaixo das expectativas do mercado, de aproximadamente 47 mil a 48 mil. Esse foi o ritmo mais fraco de cria\u00e7\u00e3o de empregos no setor privado desde janeiro. Os setores de educa\u00e7\u00e3o e sa\u00fade lideraram as contrata\u00e7\u00f5es, com 45 mil novas vagas, enquanto a ind\u00fastria perdeu 17 mil postos e os servi\u00e7os profissionais e empresariais reduziram 16 mil vagas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O ritmo mais fraco de contrata\u00e7\u00f5es aumentou as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es de que o mercado de trabalho americano esteja perdendo for\u00e7a. Ao mesmo tempo, os mercados continuam atentos \u00e0 pol\u00edtica do Federal Reserve, j\u00e1 que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o permanece acima da meta de 2% do banco central. O presidente do Fed, Kevin Warsh, afirmou em Jackson Hole que a estabilidade de pre\u00e7os continua sendo um objetivo firme de 2% e destacou que os formuladores de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria precisam acompanhar as tend\u00eancias da infla\u00e7\u00e3o subjacente, ao mesmo tempo em que reconhecem que o mercado de trabalho permanece, de modo geral, est\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Agora, a aten\u00e7\u00e3o se volta para o relat\u00f3rio de emprego dos EUA referente a agosto, que ser\u00e1 divulgado na sexta-feira, 4 de setembro, \u00e0s 8h30 ET. As previs\u00f5es atuais apontam para um aumento moderado de cerca de 53 mil vagas no payroll n\u00e3o agr\u00edcola, enquanto a taxa de desemprego deve permanecer em 4,1%. O relat\u00f3rio oficial oferecer\u00e1 uma vis\u00e3o mais ampla do mercado de trabalho do que a pesquisa de emprego privado da ADP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

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Com base no gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio do DXY, o \u00edndice est\u00e1 sendo negociado em torno de 99,39, logo acima da retra\u00e7\u00e3o de Fibonacci de 61,8%, em 99,22. Esse n\u00edvel representa o primeiro suporte importante ap\u00f3s a recente recupera\u00e7\u00e3o a partir da regi\u00e3o de 98,52, que corresponde \u00e0 retra\u00e7\u00e3o de Fibonacci de 78,6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At\u00e9 o momento, a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o conseguiu superar a regi\u00e3o de 99,70\u201399,71, marcada pela retra\u00e7\u00e3o de Fibonacci de 50%. Um fechamento di\u00e1rio acima dessa resist\u00eancia fortaleceria a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o de alta e poderia abrir caminho para 100,20, seguido por 100,82. Acima desses n\u00edveis, a regi\u00e3o psicol\u00f3gica de 101,00 e a m\u00e1xima anterior pr\u00f3xima de 101,80 seriam os pr\u00f3ximos alvos potenciais de alta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Gr\u00e1fico do DXY<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O momentum permanece misto. O RSI est\u00e1 em 45,23, abaixo do n\u00edvel neutro de 50, indicando que os compradores ainda n\u00e3o assumiram o controle. No entanto, o indicador se recuperou de n\u00edveis mais baixos. O MACD tamb\u00e9m apresenta uma estrutura mais construtiva, com a linha MACD em torno de -0,215, acima da linha de sinal pr\u00f3xima de -0,299, enquanto o histograma avan\u00e7ou para territ\u00f3rio positivo. Isso aponta para uma melhora do momentum no curto prazo, embora uma ruptura acima de 99,70\u201399,71 ofere\u00e7a uma confirma\u00e7\u00e3o mais forte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No lado negativo, 99,22 \u00e9 o principal suporte inicial. Uma ruptura decisiva abaixo desse n\u00edvel aumentaria o risco de uma queda em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 99,05, seguida por 98,52. A perda de 98,52 enfraqueceria a estrutura da recupera\u00e7\u00e3o recente e deixaria a regi\u00e3o de 97,63 como o pr\u00f3ximo grande suporte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para os traders, a combina\u00e7\u00e3o de uma desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o nas contrata\u00e7\u00f5es do setor privado, queda nos rendimentos dos Treasuries e um cen\u00e1rio ainda hawkish por parte do Fed cria uma configura\u00e7\u00e3o potencialmente vol\u00e1til para o DXY. O relat\u00f3rio NFP de sexta-feira \u00e9 particularmente importante, pois um resultado do mercado de trabalho mais forte ou mais fraco do que o esperado pode alterar rapidamente as expectativas para a decis\u00e3o do Fed em setembro, os rendimentos dos Treasuries e a dire\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar americano. Tecnicamente, 99,22 e 99,70\u201399,71 s\u00e3o os principais n\u00edveis a serem observados para o pr\u00f3ximo movimento direcional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


<\/p>\n\n\n\n


<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar Americano (DXY) recuou para cerca de 99,39 durante as primeiras negocia\u00e7\u00f5es europeias desta quinta-feira, 3 de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[4599,4643,4678,4383,5537,4679],"class_list":["post-122396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-analise-tecnica","tag-dolar-americano","tag-dxy","tag-onequity-insights","tag-previsao-do-usd","tag-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nD\u00f3lar Cai Abaixo de 99,50 Antes do NFP - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"DXY recua abaixo de 99,50 com a desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o das contrata\u00e7\u00f5es privadas nos EUA. 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