O emprego australiano cai inesperadamente, mas a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o t\u00e9cnica do d\u00f3lar australiano permanece intacta enquanto os traders acompanham os principais n\u00edveis de Fibonacci e as perspectivas do RBA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O d\u00f3lar australiano ficou sob press\u00e3o nesta quinta-feira, 20 de agosto, ap\u00f3s o \u00faltimo relat\u00f3rio do mercado de trabalho da Austr\u00e1lia apresentar resultados mais fracos do que o esperado. O AUD\/USD recuou para perto de 0,7120 durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica, depois de avan\u00e7ar mais de 0,5% na sess\u00e3o anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A taxa de desemprego da Austr\u00e1lia subiu para 4,5% em julho, acima da expectativa de mercado de 4,4%. O emprego tamb\u00e9m caiu em 15.800 postos, ap\u00f3s um aumento de 80.200 em junho e diante da expectativa de alta de cerca de 15.000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Os dados fracos podem reduzir a press\u00e3o sobre o Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) para continuar elevando as taxas de juros. O Rabobank observou que os mercados precificavam apenas cerca de 12 pontos-base em altas do RBA nos pr\u00f3ximos tr\u00eas meses, deixando o d\u00f3lar australiano vulner\u00e1vel a uma press\u00e3o adicional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O d\u00f3lar americano tamb\u00e9m enfrenta mudan\u00e7as nas expectativas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 pol\u00edtica do Federal Reserve. Embora a ata da reuni\u00e3o de julho do Fed tenha mostrado preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o cont\u00ednua com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, os dados mais recentes reduziram as expectativas de uma alta iminente dos juros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Atualmente, os mercados precificam uma probabilidade de 32,7% de alta dos juros pelo Fed na pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o, abaixo dos 47% registrados um m\u00eas atr\u00e1s. Uma perspectiva menos agressiva do Fed pode, portanto, limitar a queda do AUD\/USD, apesar dos dados fracos de emprego australianos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O AUD\/USD mant\u00e9m uma estrutura de alta no gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio, com o pre\u00e7o formando m\u00ednimas ascendentes desde a m\u00ednima de julho, pr\u00f3xima de 0,6865, e permanecendo acima de uma linha de tend\u00eancia de alta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A resist\u00eancia imediata est\u00e1 em 0,7137, correspondente ao n\u00edvel de Fibonacci 0,618. Uma ruptura acima desse n\u00edvel pode colocar 0,7190 e o n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de 0,7200 no radar. Um movimento sustentado acima de 0,7200 pode abrir caminho para a m\u00e1xima anterior pr\u00f3xima de 0,7278.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGr\u00e1fico AUDUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
No lado negativo, 0,7072 \u00e9 o principal suporte, localizado no n\u00edvel de Fibonacci 0,5. Uma quebra decisiva abaixo desse n\u00edvel pode enfraquecer a estrutura de alta e abrir espa\u00e7o para 0,7023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O momentum continua favor\u00e1vel, com o RSI em torno de 64,55 e o MACD ainda em territ\u00f3rio de alta. Isso sugere que a queda recente \u00e9, por enquanto, mais bem interpretada como uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o do que como uma revers\u00e3o baixista confirmada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O AUD\/USD est\u00e1 sendo pressionado entre fundamentos australianos mais fracos e um d\u00f3lar americano potencialmente menos forte. Por isso, os n\u00edveis t\u00e9cnicos ser\u00e3o cruciais: uma quebra acima de 0,7137 pode reativar o impulso de alta em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 0,7190\u20130,7200, enquanto uma queda abaixo de 0,7072 indicaria que a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 perdendo for\u00e7a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por enquanto, a estrutura geral de alta permanece intacta, mas os traders devem observar se o choque nos dados de emprego australianos ser\u00e1 forte o suficiente para provocar uma ruptura t\u00e9cnica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O emprego australiano cai inesperadamente, mas a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o t\u00e9cnica do d\u00f3lar australiano permanece intacta enquanto os traders acompanham os principais […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[5236,4652,4656,4383,5475,4308],"class_list":["post-122083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-aud-usd","tag-dolar-australiano","tag-mercado-forex","tag-onequity-insights","tag-perspectivas-de-juros-do-fed","tag-rba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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