{"id":122030,"date":"2026-08-18T06:34:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T04:34:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122030"},"modified":"2026-08-18T06:41:33","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T04:41:33","slug":"petroleo-se-aproxima-dos-us-90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/petroleo-se-aproxima-dos-us-90\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr\u00f3leo se Aproxima dos US$ 90"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo permaneceram elevados durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica desta ter\u00e7a-feira, enquanto os traders avaliavam o aumento das tens\u00f5es entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e3 diante do risco de novas interrup\u00e7\u00f5es nos embarques de petr\u00f3leo pelo Estreito de Ormuz. O Brent subiu cerca de 0,3%, para US$ 91,09 por barril, enquanto o WTI avan\u00e7ou 0,4%, para US$ 84,85, mantendo ambos os benchmarks pr\u00f3ximos dos n\u00edveis mais altos das \u00faltimas semanas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O movimento ocorreu ap\u00f3s o fim de um memorando de 60 dias entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e3 sem que um acordo de paz permanente fosse alcan\u00e7ado. O presidente Donald Trump afirmou que Washington n\u00e3o estenderia o acordo, enquanto o Ir\u00e3 advertiu que poderia adotar uma postura militar mais ofensiva caso a diplomacia fracasse. A deteriora\u00e7\u00e3o das negocia\u00e7\u00f5es aumentou as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es de que o conflito possa continuar afetando os fluxos globais de energia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O Estreito de Ormuz est\u00e1 no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado. Antes do conflito, aproximadamente um quinto do fornecimento global de petr\u00f3leo e g\u00e1s natural liquefeito passava pela via mar\u00edtima. A atividade recente de navios-tanque caiu significativamente, com a Reuters informando que apenas cinco petroleiros atravessaram o estreito no s\u00e1bado e nenhum no domingo, contra 31 embarca\u00e7\u00f5es no fim de semana anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os esfor\u00e7os diplom\u00e1ticos envolvendo Om\u00e3 e Ir\u00e3 trouxeram alguma esperan\u00e7a de retomada do transporte mar\u00edtimo pelo estreito, mas nenhum acordo definitivo foi alcan\u00e7ado. As amea\u00e7as de Trump contra Om\u00e3 acrescentaram outra camada de incerteza, j\u00e1 que o pa\u00eds desempenha um papel importante na facilita\u00e7\u00e3o das comunica\u00e7\u00f5es entre Washington e Teer\u00e3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

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Do ponto de vista t\u00e9cnico, o petr\u00f3leo bruto continua apresentando forte sustenta\u00e7\u00e3o depois que o Brent superou o n\u00edvel psicologicamente importante de US$ 90. O WTI tamb\u00e9m permanece acima de US$ 84, enquanto a a\u00e7\u00e3o recente dos pre\u00e7os mostra que os compradores continuam defendendo o mercado pr\u00f3ximo das m\u00e1ximas recentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para o Brent, US$ 90 representa a principal zona de suporte no curto prazo. A manuten\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os acima desse n\u00edvel preservaria a estrutura de alta e poderia abrir espa\u00e7o para um movimento em dire\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 regi\u00e3o de US$ 92\u2013US$ 95 caso as tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas se intensifiquem. Uma ruptura sustentada acima de US$ 95, por\u00e9m, provavelmente exigiria uma deteriora\u00e7\u00e3o mais clara das condi\u00e7\u00f5es de transporte pelo Estreito de Ormuz, e n\u00e3o apenas novas manchetes geopol\u00edticas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No caso do WTI, a faixa de US$ 84\u2013US$ 85 representa o principal campo de batalha t\u00e9cnico imediato. Um movimento acima das m\u00e1ximas recentes, pr\u00f3ximas de US$ 85, poderia fortalecer o momentum de alta, enquanto uma perda de US$ 84 aumentaria a probabilidade de uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a n\u00edveis de suporte mais baixos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O cen\u00e1rio t\u00e9cnico, portanto, permanece altista, mas altamente sens\u00edvel \u00e0s manchetes. Os traders devem acompanhar tanto a estrutura dos pre\u00e7os quanto os acontecimentos relacionados ao Estreito de Ormuz, em vez de presumir que toda escalada geopol\u00edtica necessariamente provocar\u00e1 uma nova alta sustentada do petr\u00f3leo. O mercado j\u00e1 mostrou que rotas alternativas de fornecimento, estoques e preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a demanda podem limitar o potencial de valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O petr\u00f3leo atualmente \u00e9 negociado no cruzamento entre momentum t\u00e9cnico e risco geopol\u00edtico. Qualquer avan\u00e7o concreto em dire\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 reabertura do Estreito de Ormuz poderia provocar uma forte revers\u00e3o nos pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo, enquanto novos ataques, um impasse diplom\u00e1tico ou novas restri\u00e7\u00f5es ao tr\u00e1fego de petroleiros poderiam impulsionar os pre\u00e7os ainda mais. Para os traders, isso torna US$ 90 um n\u00edvel fundamental para o Brent e US$ 84\u2013US$ 85 uma zona importante para o WTI, ao mesmo tempo em que aumenta o risco de volatilidade repentina, movimentos amplos e falsos rompimentos conforme novas manchetes chegam ao mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo permaneceram elevados durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica desta ter\u00e7a-feira, enquanto os traders avaliavam o aumento das tens\u00f5es […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[4982,5380,4383,3727,4300],"class_list":["post-122030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-brent-crude","tag-crude-oil","tag-onequity-insights","tag-technical-analysis-pt","tag-wti"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPetr\u00f3leo se Aproxima dos US$ 90 - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo permanecem pr\u00f3ximos das m\u00e1ximas recentes em meio \u00e0s tens\u00f5es entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e3 e aos riscos no Estreito de Ormuz. 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