{"id":121997,"date":"2026-08-13T07:46:04","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T05:46:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=121997"},"modified":"2026-08-13T07:59:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T05:59:04","slug":"xauusd-testa-us-4-450-com-fed-mais-brando","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/xauusd-testa-us-4-450-com-fed-mais-brando\/","title":{"rendered":"XAUUSD Testa US$ 4.450 com Fed Mais Brando"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os pre\u00e7os do ouro permaneceram amplamente est\u00e1veis nesta quinta-feira, 13 de agosto, ap\u00f3s atingirem uma nova m\u00e1xima de dois meses na sess\u00e3o anterior. O movimento mais recente ocorreu depois que dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos Estados Unidos mais fracos do que o esperado reduziram as expectativas de um aperto monet\u00e1rio no curto prazo pelo Federal Reserve, dando suporte adicional ao ouro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O XAU\/USD era negociado em torno de US$ 4.407,78 por on\u00e7a, enquanto os contratos futuros de ouro estavam pr\u00f3ximos de US$ 4.466,10. A prata tamb\u00e9m se valorizou, enquanto a platina recuou ligeiramente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O ouro chegou a subir 0,9% na quarta-feira, atingindo aproximadamente US$ 4.450 antes de devolver parte dos ganhos. A alta ocorreu ap\u00f3s os dados do \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os ao consumidor (CPI) dos EUA de julho mostrarem que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o mensal aumentou apenas 0,1%, em linha com as expectativas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A leitura relativamente moderada do CPI sugeriu que os custos de energia mais elevados, relacionados \u00e0s tens\u00f5es persistentes no Oriente M\u00e9dio, ainda n\u00e3o haviam provocado um novo choque inflacion\u00e1rio significativo. Isso ajudou a reduzir a press\u00e3o sobre o Federal Reserve para elevar as taxas de juros no curto prazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As expectativas do mercado para uma alta de juros em setembro tamb\u00e9m diminu\u00edram ap\u00f3s os dados. Segundo o CME FedWatch, a probabilidade caiu para cerca de 38%-40%, ante aproximadamente 46% antes da divulga\u00e7\u00e3o do CPI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do ponto de vista t\u00e9cnico, a estrutura do ouro melhorou depois que o metal recuperou o n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de US$ 4.000 e superou sua m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 100 dias pela primeira vez desde abril.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A regi\u00e3o entre US$ 4.400 e US$ 4.450 agora representa uma importante zona de resist\u00eancia. Um rompimento sustentado acima de US$ 4.450 poderia fortalecer o momentum de alta e abrir espa\u00e7o para a regi\u00e3o de US$ 4.499, onde atualmente est\u00e1 localizada a m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 200 dias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No entanto, uma falha em romper essa resist\u00eancia pode desencadear realiza\u00e7\u00e3o de lucros, especialmente ap\u00f3s a forte recupera\u00e7\u00e3o recente do ouro. Nesse cen\u00e1rio, os traders podem observar US$ 4.400 e a regi\u00e3o mais ampla de US$ 4.000 como n\u00edveis importantes de suporte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O cen\u00e1rio t\u00e9cnico, portanto, continua construtivo, mas o ouro est\u00e1 se aproximando de uma zona onde os vendedores podem aumentar sua atividade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atualmente, o ouro est\u00e1 sendo pressionado por duas for\u00e7as opostas: expectativas mais brandas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao Fed d\u00e3o suporte aos pre\u00e7os, enquanto os riscos relacionados ao petr\u00f3leo e \u00e0 geopol\u00edtica podem reacender a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e limitar a capacidade do Fed de cortar os juros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para os traders, a resist\u00eancia em US$ 4.450 \u00e9 especialmente importante. Um rompimento decisivo poderia sinalizar o retorno do momentum de alta, enquanto uma rejei\u00e7\u00e3o nessa regi\u00e3o poderia levar a uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o de curto prazo. Ao mesmo tempo, os pr\u00f3ximos dados do PPI dos EUA, n\u00fameros do mercado de trabalho, rendimentos dos Treasuries, d\u00f3lar americano e coment\u00e1rios do Fed podem alterar rapidamente as expectativas de juros e, consequentemente, a dire\u00e7\u00e3o do XAU\/USD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Os pre\u00e7os do ouro permaneceram amplamente est\u00e1veis nesta quinta-feira, 13 de agosto, ap\u00f3s atingirem uma nova m\u00e1xima de dois meses […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[4999,5451,4383,5450,5385],"class_list":["post-121997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-analise-tecnica-do-ouro","tag-analise-tecnica-xauusd","tag-onequity-insights","tag-preco-do-ouro","tag-xau-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nXAUUSD Testa US$ 4.450 com Fed Mais Brando - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"XAU\/USD permanece acima de US$ 4.400 enquanto o CPI mais fraco dos EUA reduz as expectativas de alta de juros do Fed. 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