{"id":121344,"date":"2026-07-14T08:28:22","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T06:28:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=121344"},"modified":"2026-07-14T11:05:23","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T09:05:23","slug":"bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\/","title":{"rendered":"Bancos Testam a Alta do Mercado"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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A temporada de resultados do segundo trimestre de 2026 come\u00e7a hoje, com os principais bancos dos Estados Unidos, incluindo JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup e Wells Fargo, tradicionalmente abrindo o ciclo de divulga\u00e7\u00e3o dos resultados do trimestre encerrado em junho, em 14 de julho.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O cen\u00e1rio macroecon\u00f4mico continua bastante favor\u00e1vel. A estimativa de crescimento anual dos lucros do S&P 500 no segundo trimestre de 2026 \u00e9 de 23,3%, acima dos 18,8% projetados h\u00e1 tr\u00eas meses. Se confirmada, ser\u00e1 a segunda alta consecutiva dos lucros acima de 20%, muito acima da m\u00e9dia de cinco anos, de 16,4%, e da m\u00e9dia de dez anos, de 10,3%. Isso reflete fundamentos s\u00f3lidos que sustentam a atual valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado, e n\u00e3o apenas uma expans\u00e3o dos m\u00faltiplos de valuation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O setor financeiro tamb\u00e9m foi o de melhor desempenho no \u00faltimo m\u00eas. O ETF XLF avan\u00e7ou 5,49% desde 13 de junho. As taxas de juros continuam favorecendo o setor. Em 10 de julho, o rendimento dos Treasuries de 10 anos estava em aproximadamente 4,62%, enquanto o t\u00edtulo de 2 anos rendia cerca de 4,28%, deixando o spread entre os t\u00edtulos de 2 e 10 anos positivo em cerca de 34 pontos-base. Embora a curva de juros tenha se achatado ao longo de 2026, ap\u00f3s atingir quase 73 pontos-base no in\u00edcio do ano, a inclina\u00e7\u00e3o positiva continua favorecendo a rentabilidade dos bancos, ao manter uma diferen\u00e7a saud\u00e1vel entre as taxas de empr\u00e9stimos de longo prazo e os custos de capta\u00e7\u00e3o de curto prazo, sustentando a margem financeira l\u00edquida na entrada da temporada de resultados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O Bank of America est\u00e1 entre os grandes bancos mais bem posicionados para se beneficiar do atual cen\u00e1rio. Seu modelo de neg\u00f3cios diversificado abrange banco de varejo, mercados globais, banco de investimento e gest\u00e3o de patrim\u00f4nio por meio da Merrill, proporcionando m\u00faltiplas fontes de receita relativamente independentes entre si.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O banco elevou sua proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento da receita l\u00edquida de juros (NII) para o ano inteiro para uma faixa entre 6% e 8% e reafirmou a expectativa de alcan\u00e7ar mais de 200 pontos-base de alavancagem operacional positiva em 2026. No primeiro trimestre, o retorno sobre o patrim\u00f4nio tang\u00edvel (ROTCE) atingiu 16%, dentro da meta de m\u00e9dio prazo da institui\u00e7\u00e3o, entre 16% e 18%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Antes da divulga\u00e7\u00e3o dos resultados de hoje, Wall Street espera um lucro por a\u00e7\u00e3o (LPA) de aproximadamente US$ 1,12, representando um crescimento anual de cerca de 25,5%, enquanto a receita \u00e9 estimada em aproximadamente US$ 30,8 bilh\u00f5es. Os investidores acompanhar\u00e3o de perto a receita l\u00edquida de juros, as receitas de mercados de capitais e de opera\u00e7\u00f5es de trading, al\u00e9m dos indicadores de qualidade do cr\u00e9dito.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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As a\u00e7\u00f5es do Bank of America acumulam alta de 29% desde a m\u00ednima de 19 de mar\u00e7o, em US$ 45,87, e avan\u00e7am 21% desde 15 de maio, quando come\u00e7ou a mais recente perna de alta. Atualmente, o papel \u00e9 negociado pr\u00f3ximo de US$ 59,50, pouco abaixo de sua m\u00e1xima hist\u00f3rica de US$ 60,82.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nGr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio do BAC, 2025.<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
As linhas verdes tracejadas destacam o canal de alta que vem guiando o movimento dos pre\u00e7os desde novembro de 2023. O canal permanece bem definido e j\u00e1 foi testado pelo menos tr\u00eas vezes em seu limite superior, atualmente localizado pouco abaixo da regi\u00e3o de US$ 62. Esse \u00e9 o pr\u00f3ximo objetivo de alta caso o movimento continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tomando como refer\u00eancia as m\u00ednimas de 19 de mar\u00e7o e 15 de maio, diversas linhas de tend\u00eancia com inclina\u00e7\u00f5es diferentes continuam sustentando a alta. A sess\u00e3o de ontem testou com sucesso a linha de tend\u00eancia mais inclinada, pr\u00f3xima de US$ 58,75. Embora a tend\u00eancia principal permane\u00e7a de alta, o ritmo do avan\u00e7o pode come\u00e7ar a desacelerar, permitindo que o papel consolide sobre linhas de tend\u00eancia menos inclinadas. Nesse cen\u00e1rio, o pre\u00e7o poder\u00e1 revisitar a antiga regi\u00e3o de m\u00e1xima hist\u00f3rica, entre US$ 56,75 e US$ 57,50, antes de retomar a trajet\u00f3ria de alta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A forma\u00e7\u00e3o recente dos candles tamb\u00e9m sugere que o mercado est\u00e1 se aproximando de um poss\u00edvel ponto de inflex\u00e3o no curto prazo. Diversas sess\u00f5es ao longo do \u00faltimo m\u00eas apresentaram longos pavios e candles do tipo spinning top<\/em>, indicando hesita\u00e7\u00e3o por parte dos compradores. Ainda assim, candles de forte alta, incluindo os registrados ontem e em 2 de julho, mostram que o impulso comprador permanece s\u00f3lido.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O mercado de op\u00e7\u00f5es atualmente precifica um movimento impl\u00edcito de aproximadamente 2,78% ap\u00f3s a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o dos resultados. Uma queda dessa magnitude levaria as a\u00e7\u00f5es do Bank of America para perto do suporte em US$ 57,55, enquanto um avan\u00e7o semelhante seria suficiente para levar o papel a novas m\u00e1ximas hist\u00f3ricas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A temporada de resultados do segundo trimestre de 2026 come\u00e7a hoje, com os principais bancos dos Estados Unidos, incluindo JPMorgan, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":113490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[4599,5290,5292,5289,4383],"class_list":["post-121344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-analise-tecnica","tag-bac","tag-bancos-dos-eua","tag-bank-of-america","tag-onequity-insights"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
Bancos Testam a Alta do Mercado - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bancos Testam a Alta do Mercado - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A temporada de resultados do segundo trimestre de 2026 come\u00e7a hoje, com os principais bancos dos Estados Unidos, incluindo JPMorgan, […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-14T06:28:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-14T09:05:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Technical-Analysis-PT.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"850\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"550\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marco Turatti\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marco Turatti\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Marco Turatti\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d3e52a0ffb9417ae1b81d44a04de3be9\"},\"headline\":\"Bancos Testam a Alta do Mercado\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-07-14T06:28:22+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-07-14T09:05:23+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":811,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/04\\\/Technical-Analysis-PT.png\",\"keywords\":[\"An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica\",\"BAC\",\"Bancos dos EUA\",\"Bank of America\",\"OnEquity Insights\"],\"articleSection\":[\"An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica Di\u00e1ria\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/pt\\\/bancos-testam-a-alta-do-mercado\\\/\",\"name\":\"Bancos Testam a Alta do Mercado - 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