{"id":120500,"date":"2026-06-29T09:54:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T07:54:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=120500"},"modified":"2026-06-29T10:16:39","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T08:16:39","slug":"nikkei-testa-suporte-em-68-200","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/nikkei-testa-suporte-em-68-200\/","title":{"rendered":"Nikkei Testa Suporte em 68.200"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O mercado acion\u00e1rio japon\u00eas iniciou a semana diante de dois acontecimentos contrastantes. De um lado, a China intensificou a press\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica sobre o Jap\u00e3o ao incluir quatro institutos de pesquisa em defesa na lista de restri\u00e7\u00f5es e endurecer os controles de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o sobre dezenas de entidades japonesas. As medidas atingiram unidades da Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, a fabricante de drones Terra Drone Corporation e empresas do setor nuclear. Pequim afirmou que a decis\u00e3o foi uma resposta \u00e0s declara\u00e7\u00f5es da primeira-ministra Sanae Takaichi sobre uma eventual interven\u00e7\u00e3o militar em uma crise envolvendo Taiwan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por outro lado, as vendas no varejo do Jap\u00e3o surpreenderam positivamente, avan\u00e7ando 5,3% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, acima da expectativa de 3,2%. O resultado indica que o crescimento dos sal\u00e1rios nominais, que inicialmente impulsionou as expectativas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o e apoiou a normaliza\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria do Banco do Jap\u00e3o, agora tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 fortalecendo o consumo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nesse contexto, a economia japonesa cresceu 2,1% em termos anualizados no primeiro trimestre de 2026, enquanto o Banco do Jap\u00e3o segue reduzindo seu balan\u00e7o patrimonial e a base monet\u00e1ria continua em contra\u00e7\u00e3o. Ainda assim, o Nikkei permanece como o \u00edndice acion\u00e1rio de melhor desempenho entre os principais mercados globais e asi\u00e1ticos. A alta superior a 35% no ano supera amplamente os \u00edndices dos Estados Unidos, da Europa e de mercados regionais como Austr\u00e1lia e China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nNikkei vs. \u00cdndices Globais, 2026<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A cont\u00ednua desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o do iene tamb\u00e9m favoreceu a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o do Nikkei. Como esperado, o USDJPY continua negociado pr\u00f3ximo de 161,78, sem provocar interven\u00e7\u00e3o oficial, permitindo um avan\u00e7o em dire\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 regi\u00e3o de 162,00. Mesmo ajustando o \u00edndice pela cota\u00e7\u00e3o de fechamento do USDJPY em 31 de dezembro (156,71), o Nikkei estaria apenas cerca de 3% abaixo, equivalente a aproximadamente 67.200 pontos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nesta manh\u00e3, por\u00e9m, o Nikkei figura entre os mercados mais fracos da \u00c1sia, com queda de 0,80% no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o, superado apenas pelo mais vol\u00e1til Kospi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
An\u00e1lise T\u00e9cnica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Na \u00faltima sexta-feira, o Nikkei caiu 4,15%, encerrando o preg\u00e3o \u00e0 vista em 69.360 pontos. O \u00edndice testou o importante suporte de curto prazo em 68.200 antes de recuperar durante a noite, avan\u00e7ando da m\u00ednima de 68.017 para a regi\u00e3o atual de 69.250. A m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 21 dias tamb\u00e9m se encontra pr\u00f3xima, em torno de 69.386.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nJP225, Di\u00e1rio | fevereiro de 2026 \u2013 Atualidade<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O gr\u00e1fico de longo prazo permanece claramente altista. A principal linha de tend\u00eancia, iniciada em 30 de mar\u00e7o, encontra-se atualmente pr\u00f3xima de 66.200 pontos, cerca de 4,4% abaixo dos n\u00edveis atuais. A m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 50 dias continua inclinada para cima e permanece abaixo da m\u00e9dia de 21 dias, atualmente pr\u00f3xima de 64.500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O RSI e o MACD seguem menos esticados que o pr\u00f3prio pre\u00e7o e continuam sem apresentar diverg\u00eancias baixistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por enquanto, as corre\u00e7\u00f5es continuam sendo vistas como oportunidades de acumula\u00e7\u00e3o. Al\u00e9m da tend\u00eancia mais acelerada iniciada nesta primavera, a estrutura altista do Nikkei permanece preservada at\u00e9 a regi\u00e3o de 56.000 pontos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O primeiro suporte relevante permanece em 68.200, seguido por 66.150 e 63.675. Apenas um rompimento decisivo abaixo desses tr\u00eas n\u00edveis mudaria o foco para a regi\u00e3o de 59.800, embora esse ainda n\u00e3o seja o cen\u00e1rio-base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Na alta, os n\u00edveis a monitorar s\u00e3o 70.750, 72.000 e a m\u00e1xima hist\u00f3rica em 73.630.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Se as condi\u00e7\u00f5es globais e o apetite por risco permanecerem favor\u00e1veis, o Nikkei continua oferecendo uma oportunidade atrativa. As corre\u00e7\u00f5es podem seguir proporcionando pontos de entrada interessantes para investidores que buscam exposi\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 for\u00e7a cont\u00ednua do mercado acion\u00e1rio japon\u00eas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O mercado acion\u00e1rio japon\u00eas iniciou a semana diante de dois acontecimentos contrastantes. De um lado, a China intensificou a press\u00e3o […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":113475,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[798],"tags":[4599,5158,5159,4353,4383],"class_list":["post-120500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-analise-tecnica","tag-japao","tag-jp225","tag-nikkei","tag-onequity-insights"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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