{"id":110087,"date":"2026-01-12T12:00:33","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T10:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=49230"},"modified":"2026-06-02T13:56:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T11:56:12","slug":"perspectiva-semanal-do-mercado-12-16-janeiro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/perspectiva-semanal-do-mercado-12-16-janeiro\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectiva Semanal dos Mercados | 12\u201316 janeiro"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A semana passada come\u00e7ou com um choque geopol\u00edtico, e a pr\u00f3xima tende a seguir caminho semelhante. A instabilidade pol\u00edtica no Ir\u00e3<\/strong> afetou mais um grande produtor de petr\u00f3leo, mais relevante operacionalmente que a Venezuela<\/strong>. Mesmo assim, o petr\u00f3leo Brent e o WTI continuaram pr\u00f3ximos de n\u00edveis historicamente baixos, dentro das faixas inferiores das \u00faltimas duas d\u00e9cadas. No fim da semana, por\u00e9m, houve sinais de estabiliza\u00e7\u00e3o, com o WTI subindo para 59,13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Metais preciosos permanecem pr\u00f3ximos das m\u00e1ximas recentes e seguem vol\u00e1teis. A prata apresentou ampla faixa semanal de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o e fechou em 79,91, refletindo demanda por prote\u00e7\u00e3o, posicionamento especulativo e sensibilidade \u00e0s expectativas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os mercados acion\u00e1rios ganharam for\u00e7a, especialmente na Europa, onde \u00edndices atingiram novas m\u00e1ximas. O principal motor foi a desinfla\u00e7\u00e3o, com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o alem\u00e3 convergindo para a meta de 2%. Ao mesmo tempo, a China<\/strong> surpreendeu positivamente com PMI industrial mais forte, refor\u00e7ando a narrativa de estabiliza\u00e7\u00e3o do crescimento global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pontos-chave da semana<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • O CPI dos EUA ser\u00e1 o principal dado, com infla\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00facleo projetada em 2,7%, influenciando expectativas sobre cortes de juros do Federal Reserve<\/strong> em 2026.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • In\u00edcio da temporada de resultados com grandes bancos dos EUA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Vendas no varejo dos EUA indicar\u00e3o a for\u00e7a da demanda dom\u00e9stica.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Dados macro da China (balan\u00e7a comercial, varejo e PIB) ser\u00e3o decisivos para confirmar sinais de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • O mercado cambial permanece sens\u00edvel ao movimento do d\u00f3lar frente ao euro, libra e iene.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Foco no CPI e in\u00edcio da temporada de resultados<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    A temporada de resultados come\u00e7a com grandes institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras dos EUA ap\u00f3s forte desempenho recente do setor banc\u00e1rio. As expectativas s\u00e3o elevadas, aumentando a sensibilidade \u00e0s proje\u00e7\u00f5es futuras e margens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    A balan\u00e7a comercial registrou o menor d\u00e9ficit em uma d\u00e9cada, impulsionada por tarifas e fortalecendo o d\u00f3lar. Nesta semana, o foco recai sobre infla\u00e7\u00e3o e vendas no varejo, fundamentais para expectativas de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria e crescimento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    China em destaque<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    A China ser\u00e1 o foco na \u00c1sia com divulga\u00e7\u00e3o de balan\u00e7a comercial, vendas no varejo e PIB. A infla\u00e7\u00e3o subiu pelo terceiro m\u00eas consecutivo, sugerindo demanda dom\u00e9stica mais firme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    O cen\u00e1rio macro mais forte tamb\u00e9m aparece no c\u00e2mbio, com o USD\/CNH abaixo de 7. O \u00edndice China 50 opera pr\u00f3ximo dos n\u00edveis mais altos desde 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    No Jap\u00e3o<\/strong>, n\u00e3o h\u00e1 dados relevantes programados, mas a fraqueza estrutural do iene continua apoiando as a\u00e7\u00f5es. Os futuros do Nikkei atingiram novas m\u00e1ximas hist\u00f3ricas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Europa e Reino Unido<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Os \u00edndices europeus continuam pr\u00f3ximos de m\u00e1ximas hist\u00f3ricas, apoiados pela fraqueza cambial. No Reino Unido<\/strong>, o foco ser\u00e1 dados de emprego, PIB e produ\u00e7\u00e3o industrial, com expectativas de crescimento fraco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Governos europeus seguem emitindo d\u00edvida em grande escala. At\u00e9 agora, o mercado absorveu bem essa oferta, mas o tema segue relevante para as a\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Conclus\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Os mercados entram na semana de 12 a 16 de janeiro com maior liquidez, retomada do apetite por risco e forte sensibilidade a dados macro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Sem reuni\u00f5es importantes de bancos centrais, infla\u00e7\u00e3o, resultados corporativos e indicadores globais ser\u00e3o decisivos para as expectativas de 2026. Em um ambiente de diverg\u00eancia de pol\u00edticas, incerteza geopol\u00edtica e volatilidade cambial, gest\u00e3o de risco disciplinada permanece essencial.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    A semana passada come\u00e7ou com um choque geopol\u00edtico, e a pr\u00f3xima tende a seguir caminho semelhante. A instabilidade pol\u00edtica no […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":103886,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[791],"tags":[4383,4549],"class_list":["post-110087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-weekly-outlook-pt","tag-onequity-insights","tag-perspectiva-semanal-dos-mercados"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPerspectiva Semanal dos Mercados | 12\u201316 janeiro - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/perspectiva-semanal-do-mercado-12-16-janeiro\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectiva Semanal dos Mercados | 12\u201316 janeiro - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A semana passada come\u00e7ou com um choque geopol\u00edtico, e a pr\u00f3xima tende a seguir caminho semelhante. 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