{"id":109031,"date":"2026-02-11T06:28:38","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T04:28:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=48174"},"modified":"2026-03-26T13:29:18","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T13:29:18","slug":"eurusd-acima-de-11900-antes-do-nfp-dos-eua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/pt\/eurusd-acima-de-11900-antes-do-nfp-dos-eua\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Acima de 1,1900 Antes do NFP dos EUA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

O par EUR\/USD<\/strong> estendeu seu movimento de alta nas primeiras horas da sess\u00e3o europeia desta quarta-feira, avan\u00e7ando para a regi\u00e3o de 1.1915<\/strong>, enquanto o d\u00f3lar americano apresentava fraqueza generalizada. O movimento ocorre antes da divulga\u00e7\u00e3o do aguardado relat\u00f3rio de Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)<\/strong> de janeiro nos Estados Unidos, um dado fundamental que pode influenciar significativamente as expectativas sobre a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria do Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vendas no Varejo Mais Fracas nos EUA Pressionam o D\u00f3lar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Os dados econ\u00f4micos mais recentes dos EUA pesaram sobre o d\u00f3lar. As Vendas no Varejo<\/strong> de dezembro ficaram est\u00e1veis em termos mensais, em US$ 735 bilh\u00f5es<\/strong>, segundo o US Census Bureau. O resultado veio ap\u00f3s uma alta de 0,6%<\/strong> em novembro, mas ficou abaixo da expectativa do mercado, que projetava um avan\u00e7o de 0,4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na compara\u00e7\u00e3o anual, as vendas cresceram 2,4%<\/strong>, desacelerando em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos 3,3%<\/strong> registrados anteriormente. Essa modera\u00e7\u00e3o no consumo refor\u00e7ou preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre uma poss\u00edvel perda de ritmo da economia americana e contribuiu para a fraqueza do d\u00f3lar, favorecendo a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o do EUR\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fed Mant\u00e9m Postura Cautelosa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Autoridades do Federal Reserve continuam sinalizando prud\u00eancia. A presidente do Fed de Cleveland, Beth Hammack<\/strong>, afirmou que as taxas de juros podem permanecer est\u00e1veis por um per\u00edodo prolongado enquanto os dirigentes avaliam os pr\u00f3ximos dados econ\u00f4micos. J\u00e1 a presidente do Fed de Dallas, Lorie Logan<\/strong>, destacou que espera uma continuidade na desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o, mas que seria necess\u00e1ria uma fraqueza \u201cmaterial\u201d no mercado de trabalho para justificar novos cortes de juros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esses coment\u00e1rios indicam que o Fed n\u00e3o tem pressa para alterar sua pol\u00edtica, tornando o pr\u00f3ximo relat\u00f3rio de emprego um fator decisivo para os mercados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Foco no Relat\u00f3rio de Nonfarm Payrolls<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

O mercado projeta que a economia dos EUA tenha criado cerca de 70.000 empregos<\/strong> em janeiro, enquanto a taxa de desemprego<\/strong> deve permanecer est\u00e1vel em 4,4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Um resultado mais forte do que o esperado pode impulsionar o d\u00f3lar frente ao euro e limitar o avan\u00e7o recente do par. Por outro lado, sinais de enfraquecimento no mercado de trabalho podem refor\u00e7ar expectativas de uma postura monet\u00e1ria mais flex\u00edvel por parte do Fed, pressionando ainda mais o d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BCE Mant\u00e9m Abordagem Dependente de Dados<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Na Europa, o Banco Central Europeu (BCE)<\/strong> decidiu manter sua taxa b\u00e1sica de juros em 2,0%<\/strong> pela quinta reuni\u00e3o consecutiva, em linha com as expectativas do mercado. A presidente do BCE, Christine Lagarde<\/strong>, reiterou que a institui\u00e7\u00e3o seguir\u00e1 uma abordagem \u201cdependente de dados\u201d e reuni\u00e3o a reuni\u00e3o, evitando se comprometer com um caminho espec\u00edfico para as taxas de juros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De acordo com pesquisa recente da Reuters, cerca de 85% dos economistas<\/strong> esperam que o BCE mantenha as taxas est\u00e1veis ao longo de 2026. Essa postura oferece certa estabilidade ao euro em um ambiente global ainda marcado por incertezas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perspectiva T\u00e9cnica<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Com o EUR\/USD se mantendo acima do n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de 1.1900<\/strong>, o vi\u00e9s de curto prazo permanece positivo. No entanto, a volatilidade tende a aumentar ap\u00f3s a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o dos dados de emprego dos EUA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investidores devem acompanhar de perto os n\u00fameros de cria\u00e7\u00e3o de vagas e sal\u00e1rios para obter sinais mais claros sobre a trajet\u00f3ria futura da pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria americana, fator que determinar\u00e1 se o par poder\u00e1 ampliar seus ganhos ou recuar diante de um fortalecimento renovado do d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O par EUR\/USD estendeu seu movimento de alta nas primeiras horas da sess\u00e3o europeia desta quarta-feira, avan\u00e7ando para a regi\u00e3o […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":109027,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[794],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-109031","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets-pt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEURUSD Acima de 1,1900 Antes do NFP dos EUA - 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