{"id":62421,"date":"2024-04-29T13:20:56","date_gmt":"2024-04-29T13:20:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/?p=1564"},"modified":"2024-04-29T13:20:56","modified_gmt":"2024-04-29T13:20:56","slug":"dollar-loses-ground-yen-soars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dollar-loses-ground-yen-soars\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar loses ground,\u00a0Yen\u00a0soars"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>For those following currency market trends, the U.S. dollar lost ground on Monday ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s latest meeting, while the yen soared on speculation that Japanese authorities have intervened to support the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>PCE data points to an untimely rate cut<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite gaining about 1% this month, the dollar lost ground in early European trading on Monday, as currency traders largely dismissed the likelihood of an imminent Fed rate cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Friday, data on the PCE price index, the Fed&#8217;s inflation gauge of choice, came out with better-than-expected March results, indicating that rate cuts could come much later than thought in early 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, the focus will be on the Fed meeting concluding on Wednesday. All indications suggest that the bank will leave rates unchanged and may adopt a hawkish stance, as inflation has persisted in the country recently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed meeting will&nbsp;be held&nbsp;ahead of Friday&#8217;s monthly jobs report, which will give an outlook on the strength of the U.S. labor market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economists expect the economy to have created about 243,000 jobs in April, a moderation from March&#8217;s 303,000, with the unemployment rate expected to remain unchanged at 3.8%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Possibility of&nbsp;intervention to support the&nbsp;yen?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The most significant movements in the currency market this Monday occurred in Asia, where the USD\/JPY pair fell about 1.8% to 155.56 after previously reaching 160.25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The aggressiveness of the moves has led many investors to look for intervention by the Japanese government, although&nbsp;Masato Kanda,&nbsp;who is&nbsp;Japan&#8217;s top foreign exchange diplomat, did not make a statement when questioned about whether the authorities had intervened in the currency market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currency markets remain on edge this week on the possibility of any sign of action by Tokyo to shore up a currency that has lost value and hit a 34-year low against the dollar despite the Bank of Japan abandoning negative interest rates in March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro rallies after German inflation data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Europe, the EUR\/USD rallied nearly 0.3% to 1.0722, benefiting from the dollar&#8217;s&nbsp;weakness,&nbsp;as market participants continue to digest the continent&#8217;s inflation data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In April, Spain&#8217;s consumer prices rose by 3.3% year-on-year and 0.7% monthly, figures that were slightly below forecasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Germany, several states, including North Rhine-Westphalia\u2014the most populous\u2014released their April consumer price data, which was slightly above the European Central Bank&#8217;s medium-term inflation target of 2.0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ECB will cut interest rates in June,&nbsp;but the longer-term outlook remains clouded by rising energy prices, ongoing services inflation&nbsp;and&nbsp;ongoing geopolitical tensions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GBP\/USD is on track for a 0.3% rise to the 1.2528 level, taking advantage of the dollar&#8217;s recent pullback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In other markets, USD\/CNY is little changed at 7.2462, while AUD\/USD is up 0.4% at 0.6558 on the possibility that better-than-expected Q1 inflation data will prompt further rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For those following currency market trends, the U.S. dollar lost ground on Monday ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s latest meeting, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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