{"id":48912,"date":"2026-02-16T05:15:24","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T05:15:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=48912"},"modified":"2026-03-26T13:14:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T13:14:02","slug":"dxy-cerca-de-97-ante-expectativas-de-recorte-de-la-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dxy-cerca-de-97-ante-expectativas-de-recorte-de-la-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"DXY Cerca de 97 ante Expectativas de Recorte de la Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El \u00cdndice del D\u00f3lar Estadounidense (DXY)<\/strong> se mantuvo estable cerca del nivel de 97,00<\/strong> durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica, en un contexto de menor liquidez debido a los d\u00edas festivos en Estados Unidos y China. Con los mercados estadounidenses cerrados por el D\u00eda de los Presidentes<\/strong> y China continental celebrando el A\u00f1o Nuevo Lunar<\/strong>, el volumen de operaciones fue limitado, reduciendo la volatilidad en el mercado cambiario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El DXY, que mide el desempe\u00f1o del d\u00f3lar frente a una cesta de seis divisas principales, logr\u00f3 estabilizarse tras ligeras p\u00e9rdidas en la sesi\u00f3n previa, aunque sin una direcci\u00f3n clara debido a la baja actividad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil refuerza expectativas de recortes de tasas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Los \u00faltimos datos de inflaci\u00f3n en Estados Unidos reforzaron las expectativas de que la Reserva Federal (Fed)<\/strong> podr\u00eda comenzar a recortar las tasas de inter\u00e9s m\u00e1s adelante este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • El \u00cdndice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC)<\/strong> anual subi\u00f3 2,4% interanual en enero<\/strong>, por debajo del 2,7%<\/strong> registrado en diciembre y del 2,5%<\/strong> previsto por el mercado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • En t\u00e9rminos mensuales, la inflaci\u00f3n se moder\u00f3 a 0,2%<\/strong>, frente al 0,3%<\/strong> anterior y por debajo de las expectativas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Este enfriamiento de la inflaci\u00f3n fortaleci\u00f3 la percepci\u00f3n de que la Fed podr\u00eda iniciar un ciclo de flexibilizaci\u00f3n en el segundo semestre del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Seg\u00fan la herramienta CME FedWatch<\/strong>, los inversores asignan ahora casi un 90% de probabilidad<\/strong> a que la Fed mantenga las tasas sin cambios en su reuni\u00f3n de marzo. No obstante, el mercado descuenta aproximadamente dos recortes de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos<\/strong> antes de finales de a\u00f1o, con el primero potencialmente en junio<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Mercado laboral s\u00f3lido complica el panorama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    A pesar de la desaceleraci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n, el mercado laboral estadounidense sigue mostrando resiliencia. Las N\u00f3minas No Agr\u00edcolas (Nonfarm Payrolls)<\/strong> registraron el mayor aumento en m\u00e1s de un a\u00f1o, mientras que la tasa de desempleo<\/strong> descendi\u00f3 inesperadamente, lo que apunta a un entorno econ\u00f3mico estable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    El presidente de la Fed de Chicago, Austan Goolsbee<\/strong>, se\u00f1al\u00f3 recientemente que el informe del IPC presenta se\u00f1ales mixtas. Aunque existen avances positivos en la desaceleraci\u00f3n de los precios, la inflaci\u00f3n en el sector servicios sigue siendo elevada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Goolsbee tambi\u00e9n destac\u00f3 que los s\u00f3lidos datos de empleo sugieren estabilidad en el mercado laboral, con solo un enfriamiento moderado. Sin embargo, indic\u00f3 que a\u00fan existe margen para que las tasas de inter\u00e9s bajen si la inflaci\u00f3n contin\u00faa desaceler\u00e1ndose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Perspectiva del d\u00f3lar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    En el corto plazo, el \u00cdndice del D\u00f3lar (DXY)<\/strong> podr\u00eda mantenerse en un rango limitado mientras los inversores eval\u00faan nuevos datos econ\u00f3micos y la trayectoria de la pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Fed. Con la inflaci\u00f3n moder\u00e1ndose y el empleo firme, el banco central enfrenta un equilibrio delicado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Por ahora, la estabilidad del DXY cerca de 97,00<\/strong> refleja un mercado prudente, atento a futuras se\u00f1ales que puedan definir la pr\u00f3xima direcci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar estadounidense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    El \u00cdndice del D\u00f3lar Estadounidense (DXY) se mantuvo estable cerca del nivel de 97,00 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica, en un contexto de menor liquidez debido a los d\u00edas festivos en Estados Unidos y China. Con los mercados estadounidenses cerrados por el D\u00eda de los Presidentes y China continental celebrando el A\u00f1o Nuevo Lunar, el volumen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":47412,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[278],"tags":[289,282],"class_list":["post-48912","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-currencies-es","tag-dollar-es"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDXY Cerca de 97 ante Expectativas de Recorte de la Fed - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"DXY Cerca de 97 ante Expectativas de Recorte de la Fed - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El \u00cdndice del D\u00f3lar Estadounidense (DXY) se mantuvo estable cerca del nivel de 97,00 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica, en un contexto de menor liquidez debido a los d\u00edas festivos en Estados Unidos y China. 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