{"id":48172,"date":"2026-02-11T06:28:38","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T06:28:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=48172"},"modified":"2026-03-26T13:16:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T13:16:45","slug":"eur-usd-sobre-1-1900-antes-del-nfp-de-ee-uu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/eur-usd-sobre-1-1900-antes-del-nfp-de-ee-uu\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Sobre 1.1900 Antes del NFP de EE. UU."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El par EUR\/USD<\/strong> extendi\u00f3 su impulso alcista en las primeras horas de la sesi\u00f3n europea del mi\u00e9rcoles, avanzando hacia la zona de 1.1915<\/strong> mientras el d\u00f3lar estadounidense mostraba debilidad generalizada. El movimiento se produce antes de la publicaci\u00f3n del esperado informe de N\u00f3minas No Agr\u00edcolas (NFP)<\/strong> de enero en Estados Unidos, un dato clave que podr\u00eda influir significativamente en las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Reserva Federal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ventas Minoristas D\u00e9biles en EE. UU. Presionan al D\u00f3lar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Los recientes datos econ\u00f3micos estadounidenses han pesado sobre el billete verde. Las Ventas Minoristas<\/strong> de diciembre se mantuvieron sin cambios en t\u00e9rminos mensuales, en 735 mil millones de d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, seg\u00fan la Oficina del Censo de EE. UU. Esta cifra sigui\u00f3 al s\u00f3lido aumento del 0,6%<\/strong> registrado en noviembre, pero qued\u00f3 por debajo de la previsi\u00f3n del mercado, que esperaba un incremento del 0,4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En t\u00e9rminos interanuales, las ventas minoristas crecieron un 2,4%<\/strong>, desaceler\u00e1ndose frente al 3,3%<\/strong> anterior. Esta moderaci\u00f3n en el consumo reforz\u00f3 las preocupaciones sobre una posible p\u00e9rdida de dinamismo en la econom\u00eda estadounidense y contribuy\u00f3 a la debilidad del d\u00f3lar, apoyando as\u00ed la subida del EUR\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Fed Mantiene un Enfoque Prudente<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Los responsables de la Reserva Federal contin\u00faan mostrando cautela. La presidenta de la Fed de Cleveland, Beth Hammack<\/strong>, se\u00f1al\u00f3 que las tasas de inter\u00e9s podr\u00edan mantenerse sin cambios durante un per\u00edodo prolongado mientras los funcionarios eval\u00faan los nuevos datos econ\u00f3micos. Por su parte, la presidenta de la Fed de Dallas, Lorie Logan<\/strong>, afirm\u00f3 que, aunque espera que la inflaci\u00f3n contin\u00fae descendiendo, ser\u00eda necesaria una debilidad \u201cmaterial\u201d en el mercado laboral para respaldar nuevos recortes de tasas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Estas declaraciones indican que la Fed no tiene prisa por modificar su pol\u00edtica, lo que convierte al pr\u00f3ximo informe laboral en un elemento clave para determinar la direcci\u00f3n del mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atenci\u00f3n en las N\u00f3minas No Agr\u00edcolas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

El mercado espera que la econom\u00eda estadounidense haya creado alrededor de 70.000 empleos<\/strong> en enero, mientras que la tasa de desempleo<\/strong> se proyecta estable en 4,4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un informe m\u00e1s s\u00f3lido de lo previsto podr\u00eda impulsar al d\u00f3lar frente al euro y frenar el reciente avance del par. Por el contrario, se\u00f1ales de debilidad en el mercado laboral podr\u00edan reforzar las expectativas de una pol\u00edtica monetaria m\u00e1s flexible por parte de la Fed, presionando a\u00fan m\u00e1s al d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El BCE Mantiene su Enfoque Dependiente de los Datos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En Europa, el Banco Central Europeo (BCE)<\/strong> decidi\u00f3 mantener su tasa de inter\u00e9s de referencia sin cambios en 2,0%<\/strong> por quinta reuni\u00f3n consecutiva, en l\u00ednea con las expectativas del mercado. La presidenta del BCE, Christine Lagarde<\/strong>, reiter\u00f3 que la instituci\u00f3n seguir\u00e1 un enfoque \u201cdependiente de los datos\u201d y reuni\u00f3n por reuni\u00f3n, evitando comprometerse con una trayectoria espec\u00edfica de tasas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seg\u00fan una encuesta reciente de Reuters, aproximadamente el 85% de los economistas<\/strong> anticipa que el BCE mantendr\u00e1 las tasas sin cambios durante el resto de 2026. Esta postura aporta estabilidad al euro en un entorno global todav\u00eda incierto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perspectiva T\u00e9cnica<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Con el EUR\/USD manteni\u00e9ndose por encima del nivel psicol\u00f3gico de 1.1900<\/strong>, el impulso a corto plazo se mantiene constructivo. Sin embargo, es probable que la volatilidad aumente tras la publicaci\u00f3n de los datos laborales de EE. UU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los operadores deber\u00e1n seguir de cerca las cifras de empleo y salarios para obtener se\u00f1ales m\u00e1s claras sobre la futura trayectoria de la pol\u00edtica monetaria estadounidense, lo que determinar\u00e1 si el par puede extender sus ganancias o retroceder ante un renovado fortalecimiento del d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El par EUR\/USD extendi\u00f3 su impulso alcista en las primeras horas de la sesi\u00f3n europea del mi\u00e9rcoles, avanzando hacia la zona de 1.1915 mientras el d\u00f3lar estadounidense mostraba debilidad generalizada. El movimiento se produce antes de la publicaci\u00f3n del esperado informe de N\u00f3minas No Agr\u00edcolas (NFP) de enero en Estados Unidos, un dato clave que […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":48169,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[278],"tags":[289,282],"class_list":["post-48172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-currencies-es","tag-dollar-es"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEURUSD Sobre 1.1900 Antes del NFP de EE. 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