{"id":46415,"date":"2026-01-09T07:19:12","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T07:19:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=44883"},"modified":"2026-01-15T07:12:45","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T07:12:45","slug":"el-nasdaq-entra-en-su-tercer-mes-de-consolidacion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/el-nasdaq-entra-en-su-tercer-mes-de-consolidacion\/","title":{"rendered":"El Nasdaq entra en su tercer mes de consolidaci\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
Con el paso de los d\u00edas, el foco para los pr\u00f3ximos meses parece desplazarse cada vez m\u00e1s hacia las compa\u00f1\u00edas del complejo industrial y de defensa, nombres con los que los inversores probablemente deber\u00e1n familiarizarse en el corto plazo. Tan recientemente como el mi\u00e9rcoles 7 de enero, Trump propuso un presupuesto federal para 2027 de USD 1,5 billones, lo que implicar\u00eda un aumento superior al 50% respecto al ya excepcionalmente elevado presupuesto de 2026, situado en USD 901.000 millones. M\u00e1s all\u00e1 de sus implicaciones geopol\u00edticas, esta expansi\u00f3n fiscal parece claramente orientada a brindar apoyo al mercado dom\u00e9stico estadounidense, donde\u2014pese a algunas noticias positivas\u2014el entusiasmo en torno al motor de crecimiento impulsado por la inteligencia artificial contin\u00faa mostrando se\u00f1ales de agotamiento, junto con las primeras fases de una mayor selectividad y discriminaci\u00f3n entre los activos invertibles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El inicio del a\u00f1o, no obstante, ha estado marcado por un comportamiento muy s\u00f3lido en varios valores \u201csecundarios\u201d, como Sandisk (SNDK, +23%) tras su escisi\u00f3n de Western Digital, Baidu (BIDU, +20,4%), el actor tecnol\u00f3gico chino, y\u2014entre los nombres de mayor relevancia sist\u00e9mica\u2014Micron (MU, +10,7%), productor clave de memorias VRAM utilizadas para el movimiento de datos dentro de los chips de NVIDIA. Por el contrario, varios grandes valores han mostrado un rendimiento inferior: en particular Apple (AAPL, -4,72%), percibida como rezagada en el desarrollo de una versi\u00f3n actualizada de Siri, para la cual a\u00fan no se ha comunicado un calendario de lanzamiento claro. AMD cae un 3%, Palantir retrocede un 11,1% e incluso NVIDIA se mantiene pr\u00e1cticamente plana, con un -0,78%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Como resultado, el Nasdaq (US100) est\u00e1 rindiendo por debajo tanto del S&P 500 (US500) como del Dow Jones (US30), mostrando dificultades para establecer una direcci\u00f3n clara y continuando su movimiento lateral en niveles elevados, dentro de un rango comprendido entre 25.000 y 26.000 puntos.<\/p>\n\n\n\nUS100, US30, US500, Performance Relativa, 3 meses<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Desde un punto de vista t\u00e9cnico, el gr\u00e1fico en este caso es menos ordenado que el analizado ayer (EUR\/JPY). Si bien puede identificarse una tendencia, tambi\u00e9n es cierto que se han producido m\u00faltiples rupturas falsas, lo que reduce la claridad de la estructura general. Esto permite destacar que, en el an\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico, ciertos instrumentos tienden a \u201crespetar\u201d determinados patrones de forma m\u00e1s consistente (por ejemplo, futuros de renta fija o de divisas), mientras que otros lo hacen en menor medida, especialmente las acciones de menor capitalizaci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como algunos mercados de materias primas \u00absecundarias\u00bb, como los productos agr\u00edcolas.<\/p>\n\n\n\nUS100 Daily, Mayo 2025 – Presente<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Volviendo al US100, lo que se ha venido configurando en los \u00faltimos meses\u2014desde octubre\u2014es un patr\u00f3n de consolidaci\u00f3n triangular (que algunos podr\u00edan definir como una bandera), cuya resoluci\u00f3n determinar\u00e1 si el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento direccional ser\u00e1 alcista o bajista. El patr\u00f3n se encuentra en una fase avanzada, ya que la distancia entre los l\u00edmites superior e inferior contin\u00faa estrech\u00e1ndose y, seg\u00fan nuestro gr\u00e1fico, deber\u00eda converger completamente hacia la cuarta semana de enero (23 de enero). En la actualidad, el rango relevante est\u00e1 delimitado por 25.600 puntos en la parte superior y 25.050 puntos en la inferior. Con el \u00edndice cotizando en torno a 25.515, el precio se sit\u00faa claramente m\u00e1s cerca del l\u00edmite superior del tri\u00e1ngulo, lo que implica un perfil de riesgo\u2013beneficio menos atractivo para posiciones largas y relativamente m\u00e1s favorable para posiciones cortas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Otros niveles t\u00e9cnicos clave a vigilar se sit\u00faan en 25.835 al alza (+1,25%) y en 24.625 a la baja (-3,48%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En cualquier caso, al igual que en muchos otros instrumentos en el entorno actual, seguimos recomendando prudencia y paciencia. El mercado tecnol\u00f3gico estadounidense viene de un a\u00f1o muy s\u00f3lido, cotiza en niveles elevados y podr\u00eda necesitar un per\u00edodo de consolidaci\u00f3n. Si esta pausa se traduce finalmente en una continuaci\u00f3n de la tendencia alcista o en una fase correctiva previa a un nuevo impulso probablemente quedar\u00e1 m\u00e1s claro en las pr\u00f3ximas semanas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Con el paso de los d\u00edas, el foco para los pr\u00f3ximos meses parece desplazarse cada vez m\u00e1s hacia las compa\u00f1\u00edas del complejo industrial y de defensa, nombres con los que los inversores probablemente deber\u00e1n familiarizarse en el corto plazo. Tan recientemente como el mi\u00e9rcoles 7 de enero, Trump propuso un presupuesto federal para 2027 de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":43151,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[274,523],"tags":[320,544,541],"class_list":["post-46415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","category-indices","tag-nasdaq-es","tag-us100","tag-us30"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
El Nasdaq entra en su tercer mes de consolidaci\u00f3n - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El Nasdaq entra en su tercer mes de consolidaci\u00f3n - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Con el paso de los d\u00edas, el foco para los pr\u00f3ximos meses parece desplazarse cada vez m\u00e1s hacia las compa\u00f1\u00edas del complejo industrial y de defensa, nombres con los que los inversores probablemente deber\u00e1n familiarizarse en el corto plazo. 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