{"id":44067,"date":"2025-12-01T07:14:14","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T07:14:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=44067"},"modified":"2025-12-01T07:22:02","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T07:22:02","slug":"ibex-35-y-el-dinamismo-de-la-economia-espanola","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/ibex-35-y-el-dinamismo-de-la-economia-espanola\/","title":{"rendered":"IBEX 35 y el Dinamismo de la Econom\u00eda Espa\u00f1ola"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Los mercados perif\u00e9ricos han mostrado un buen desempe\u00f1o en lo que va de 2025\u2014hablando de Europa: el IBEX 35 espa\u00f1ol (que puede encontrarse como ESP35Cash<\/em>) lidera las subidas con un +40,92%, seguido a distancia por el FTSE MIB italiano (+26,02%). M\u00e1s rezagados se encuentran los mercados core<\/em> y el principal retardatario de Europa, Francia (CAC +9,99%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola ha superado durante a\u00f1os a gran parte de Europa Occidental en varios indicadores macroecon\u00f3micos clave\u2014aunque no en todos (crecimiento anual del +2,8%, pero con una tasa de desempleo persistentemente elevada del 10,45%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Es importante recordar que los fundamentales de un pa\u00eds no siempre guardan una correlaci\u00f3n estrecha con las compa\u00f1\u00edas que componen su \u00edndice burs\u00e1til. Hoy en d\u00eda, la mayor\u00eda de las empresas son multinacionales y generan una parte significativa de su negocio fuera de su pa\u00eds de origen. Aun as\u00ed, las condiciones del mercado dom\u00e9stico y el coste de financiaci\u00f3n siguen siendo determinantes: el perfil de riesgo soberano de Espa\u00f1a y el rendimiento de su bono a 10 a\u00f1os llevan tiempo situ\u00e1ndose por debajo no solo de Grecia, Portugal e Italia, sino tambi\u00e9n de Francia (10Y ES 3,174%, 10Y FR 3,41%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para un \u00edndice dominado por bancos (BBVA, Santander, CaixaBank) y compa\u00f1\u00edas de alta intensidad de capital (ACS, entre otras), este es un factor decisivo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Desempe\u00f1o del ESP35Cash frente a otros \u00edndices europeos<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

AN\u00c1LISIS T\u00c9CNICO<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

El IBEX 35 mantiene un fuerte impulso alcista desde el final del mercado bajista global de 2022: en octubre de ese a\u00f1o cotizaba en 7.200 puntos, y al cierre del viernes se situaba en 16.371,60 (+125,25%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Una clara tendencia ascendente est\u00e1 vigente desde el oto\u00f1o de 2022, confirmada en varias ocasiones\u2014en octubre de 2023, agosto de 2024 y abril de 2025. De hecho, desde el m\u00ednimo de agosto de 2024 cercano a los 10.300 puntos, el impulso del precio se aceler\u00f3, formando una directriz m\u00e1s inclinada que solo fue puesta a prueba brevemente durante las tensiones comerciales relacionadas con los aranceles en abril de este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Recientemente, el \u00edndice encontr\u00f3 apoyo en la media m\u00f3vil de 50 sesiones alrededor de 15.724, tras haber alcanzado un m\u00e1ximo en 16.661. Se observa una ligera divergencia bajista en el RSI, y solo una ruptura de los m\u00e1ximos anteriores (precio actual: 16.371,60) aportar\u00eda un nuevo impulso alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Entre los valores individuales, destaca la debilidad de varios grandes nombres\u2014desde Acciona hasta Telef\u00f3nica\u2014aunque el sector financiero contin\u00faa actuando como s\u00f3lido soporte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
ESP35Cash Diario, Junio de 2025 – presente<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Por encima de los niveles actuales, la primera zona de inter\u00e9s es el gap<\/em> bajista abierto el 14 de noviembre en 16.575. A la baja, los niveles clave a vigilar son 16.200, 16.050 y luego 15.750 (muy cerca de donde previsiblemente volver\u00e1 a situarse la media m\u00f3vil de 50 sesiones). La directriz m\u00e1s inclinada pasa actualmente por la zona de 15.400, que adem\u00e1s representa un nivel relevante de soporte\/resistencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El IBEX 35 sigue siendo una apuesta atractiva, pero\u2014como ocurre con varios activos que hemos analizado en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas\u2014puede merecer la pena ejercer algo de paciencia para lograr puntos de entrada m\u00e1s favorables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los mercados perif\u00e9ricos han mostrado un buen desempe\u00f1o en lo que va de 2025\u2014hablando de Europa: el IBEX 35 espa\u00f1ol (que puede encontrarse como ESP35Cash) lidera las subidas con un +40,92%, seguido a distancia por el FTSE MIB italiano (+26,02%). M\u00e1s rezagados se encuentran los mercados core y el principal retardatario de Europa, Francia (CAC […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":43151,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[274],"tags":[446,447,445,452],"class_list":["post-44067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-esp35","tag-ibex35","tag-indices","tag-spain"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nIBEX 35 y el Dinamismo de la Econom\u00eda Espa\u00f1ola - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ibex-35-and-the-dynamism-of-the-spanish-economy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IBEX 35 y el Dinamismo de la Econom\u00eda Espa\u00f1ola - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Los mercados perif\u00e9ricos han mostrado un buen desempe\u00f1o en lo que va de 2025\u2014hablando de Europa: el IBEX 35 espa\u00f1ol (que puede encontrarse como ESP35Cash) lidera las subidas con un +40,92%, seguido a distancia por el FTSE MIB italiano (+26,02%). 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