{"id":39104,"date":"2025-08-19T09:58:44","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T09:58:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/dollar-falls-modestly-before-jackson-hole-euro-gains-momentum\/"},"modified":"2025-08-22T13:20:51","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T13:20:51","slug":"dollar-falls-modestly-before-jackson-hole-euro-gains-momentum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dollar-falls-modestly-before-jackson-hole-euro-gains-momentum\/","title":{"rendered":"El d\u00f3lar cae ligeramente antes de Jackson Hole, el euro gana impulso"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El d\u00f3lar estadounidense cay\u00f3 ligeramente el martes, mientras los inversionistas esperaban las \u00faltimas cifras de inflaci\u00f3n de los consumidores estadounidenses, que podr\u00edan influir en las expectativas sobre las pr\u00f3ximas bajadas de tipos de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A las 04:15 ET (08:15 GMT), el \u00edndice del d\u00f3lar, que mide la cotizaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar frente a una cesta de seis divisas principales, bajaba un 0,1 % hasta situarse en 98,317, tras subir un 0,5 % en las dos sesiones anteriores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El IPC de julio en EE. UU., en el punto de mira<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Los mercados de divisas centraron su atenci\u00f3n en la publicaci\u00f3n del \u00edndice de precios al consumo de julio en EE. UU. a \u00faltima hora del d\u00eda, ya que los operadores buscaban nuevas se\u00f1ales sobre la trayectoria de los tipos de inter\u00e9s estadounidenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un dato m\u00e1s moderado sobre la inflaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda reforzar las apuestas del mercado por una bajada de tipos de la Fed el pr\u00f3ximo mes. Por el contrario, cualquier indicio de que los aranceles del presidente Donald Trump est\u00e1n aumentando la presi\u00f3n sobre los precios podr\u00eda llevar al banco central a mantener los tipos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Se prev\u00e9 que el IPC anual suba hasta el 2,8 % desde el 2,7 % de junio, manteni\u00e9ndose muy por encima del objetivo del 2 % de la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abAunque es posible que se produzca un reequilibrio antes de la publicaci\u00f3n, una cifra superior a la esperada podr\u00eda seguir impulsando el d\u00f3lar al reducir las expectativas de una bajada de los tipos de la Fed en septiembre por debajo de 20 puntos b\u00e1sicos\u00bb, escribieron los analistas de ING.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abNo obstante, creemos que las tendencias del mercado laboral tienen m\u00e1s peso que la inflaci\u00f3n, dada la opini\u00f3n predominante de que las subidas de precios relacionadas con los aranceles son temporales y teniendo en cuenta las importantes revisiones de las n\u00f3minas del mes pasado\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El euro, pendiente de los avances en la paz en Ucrania<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En Europa, el EUR\/USD subi\u00f3 hasta 1,1618 antes de la publicaci\u00f3n del \u00edndice de confianza econ\u00f3mica ZEW de Alemania para agosto, que ofrecer\u00e1 informaci\u00f3n sobre la mayor econom\u00eda de la zona euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El euro tambi\u00e9n se ve influido por la expectaci\u00f3n ante la reuni\u00f3n del viernes entre los l\u00edderes de Rusia y Estados Unidos para discutir el marco de un posible alto el fuego en Ucrania.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abEsperamos que el IPC estadounidense de hoy haga retroceder el EUR\/USD por debajo de 1,16, con riesgos a la baja hacia 1,150 si la cumbre entre Putin y Trump produce avances limitados\u00bb, afirm\u00f3 ING.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mientras tanto, el GBP\/USD subi\u00f3 un 0,1 % hasta 1,3451 despu\u00e9s de que los datos mostraron que la tasa de desempleo en el Reino Unido se mantuvo en el 4,7 % en los tres meses hasta junio, la m\u00e1s alta desde julio de 2021, mientras que el crecimiento de los salarios regulares, excluidas las bonificaciones, se mantuvo en el 5,0 % interanual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abAunque el mercado laboral se ha enfriado en comparaci\u00f3n con principios de a\u00f1o y es m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil que en otras econom\u00edas importantes, el Banco de Inglaterra no tiene motivos urgentes para acelerar los recortes de tipos\u00bb, a\u00f1adi\u00f3 ING.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El yuan se mantiene estable tras la pr\u00f3rroga de la tregua comercial<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Por otra parte, el USD\/CNY subi\u00f3 ligeramente hasta 7,1897, sin mostrar apenas reacci\u00f3n tras el acuerdo entre China y Estados Unidos de ampliar en 90 d\u00edas el plazo para imponer aranceles adicionales a los productos del otro pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La medida alivi\u00f3 los temores de una nueva guerra comercial entre Estados Unidos y China y mantuvo los niveles arancelarios entre ambas econom\u00edas relativamente bajos, lo que reforz\u00f3 las esperanzas de un acuerdo comercial a m\u00e1s largo plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Otras divisas importantes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

El USD\/JPY subi\u00f3 un 0,1 % hasta 148,33, mientras que el AUD\/USD cay\u00f3 un 0,2 % hasta 0,6503 despu\u00e9s de que el Banco de la Reserva de Australia recortara su tasa de inter\u00e9s de referencia en 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos hasta el 3,60 %, tal y como se esperaba.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta fue la tercera bajada de tipos del a\u00f1o por parte del RBA, que contin\u00faa as\u00ed con el ciclo de flexibilizaci\u00f3n iniciado en el primer trimestre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El d\u00f3lar estadounidense cay\u00f3 ligeramente el martes, mientras los inversionistas esperaban las \u00faltimas cifras de inflaci\u00f3n de los consumidores estadounidenses, que podr\u00edan influir en las expectativas sobre las pr\u00f3ximas bajadas de tipos de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal. A las 04:15 ET (08:15 GMT), el \u00edndice del d\u00f3lar, que mide la cotizaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar frente […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[278,273],"tags":[289,282,283],"class_list":["post-39104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","category-currencies","tag-currencies-es","tag-dollar-es","tag-euro-es"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEl d\u00f3lar cae ligeramente antes de Jackson Hole, el euro gana impulso - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El d\u00f3lar cae ante la subida del euro, con los mercados cautelosos ante la reuni\u00f3n de Jackson Hole y las tensiones entre Ucrania y Rusia, que marcan el tono.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El d\u00f3lar cae ligeramente antes de Jackson Hole, el euro gana impulso - 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