{"id":39086,"date":"2025-08-18T10:26:18","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T10:26:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/dollar-rises-slightly-prior-to-washington-summit-jackson-hole-shapes-up-as-an-influential-event\/"},"modified":"2025-08-22T12:14:21","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T12:14:21","slug":"dollar-rises-slightly-prior-to-washington-summit-jackson-hole-shapes-up-as-an-influential-event","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dollar-rises-slightly-prior-to-washington-summit-jackson-hole-shapes-up-as-an-influential-event\/","title":{"rendered":"El d\u00f3lar sube ligeramente antes de la cumbre de Washington; Jackson Hole se considera un evento clave"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El d\u00f3lar estadounidense subi\u00f3 ligeramente el lunes, mientras los mercados centraban su atenci\u00f3n en los esfuerzos diplom\u00e1ticos para poner fin a la guerra en Ucrania y en el simposio de la Reserva Federal en Jackson Hole, seguido muy de cerca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A las 03:00 ET (08:00 GMT), el \u00edndice del d\u00f3lar<\/a>, que mide la cotizaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar frente a una cesta de seis divisas<\/a>principales, sub\u00eda un 0,2 % hasta situarse en 97,890, recuper\u00e1ndose tras la ca\u00edda del 0,4 % de la semana pasada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zelensky se dirige a Washington<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Las conversaciones entre el presidente estadounidense, Donald Trump, y el presidente ruso, Vladimir Putin, a finales de la semana pasada no lograron garantizar un alto el fuego en Ucrania. La atenci\u00f3n se centra ahora en la reuni\u00f3n que mantendr\u00e1n en Washington el presidente Trump y el presidente ucraniano, Volodymyr Zelensky, a \u00faltima hora del d\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zelensky estar\u00e1 acompa\u00f1ado por varios l\u00edderes europeos y se espera que se vea presionado para considerar un acuerdo favorable a Mosc\u00fa, que podr\u00eda implicar la p\u00e9rdida de parte de la regi\u00f3n oriental de Donetsk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ucrania ha rechazado repetidamente la idea de ceder territorio a Rusia. El domingo, Trump sugiri\u00f3 que Zelensky podr\u00eda poner fin al conflicto \u00abcasi de inmediato\u00bb si aceptaba las condiciones de Mosc\u00fa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abUcrania y Europa han situado las garant\u00edas de seguridad, incluidos los compromisos de EE. UU., en el centro de cualquier proceso de paz. Cualquier avance en este sentido ser\u00eda bien recibido por los mercados, aunque la cuesti\u00f3n territorial sigue siendo muy controvertida\u00bb, se\u00f1alaron los analistas de ING.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El discurso de Powell en Jackson Hole, en el punto de mira<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Los mercados tambi\u00e9n se preparan para el simposio anual de la Reserva Federal en Jackson Hole, que se celebrar\u00e1 a finales de esta semana. El presidente de la Fed, Jerome Powell, tiene previsto hablar el viernes sobre las perspectivas econ\u00f3micas y el enfoque de la pol\u00edtica del banco central.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abPuede ser prematuro que Powell confirme una bajada de tipos en septiembre\u00bb, afirm\u00f3 ING. \u00abPero a medida que evolucionen las condiciones del mercado laboral, Powell tendr\u00e1 que reconocer finalmente el cambio\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los futuros apuntan ahora a una probabilidad de alrededor del 85 % de que se produzca una reducci\u00f3n de un cuarto de punto el pr\u00f3ximo mes. Los analistas se\u00f1alaron que Powell tendr\u00eda que enviar un mensaje muy agresivo para alterar significativamente esas expectativas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abCon el apetito por el riesgo manteni\u00e9ndose firme y los precios de la energ\u00eda bajos, prevemos que el d\u00f3lar seguir\u00e1 bajo cierta presi\u00f3n, ya que los inversionistas en d\u00f3lares continuar\u00e1n desplegando capital\u00bb, a\u00f1adi\u00f3 ING.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El euro cotiza en un rango estrecho<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En Europa, el EUR\/USD cay\u00f3 un 0,2 % hasta 1,1671, consolid\u00e1ndose en un rango estrecho antes de las conversaciones en Washington sobre Ucrania. Los datos de la eurozona del lunes se limitaron a las cifras comerciales de junio, mientras que la atenci\u00f3n esta semana se centrar\u00e1 en los PMI preliminares de agosto que se publicar\u00e1n el jueves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abEl EUR\/USD deber\u00eda mantenerse respaldado en el rango de 1,1650-1,1750 a principios de semana, pero podr\u00eda intentar un movimiento hacia 1,1830 si Powell adopta un tono moderado el viernes\u00bb, se\u00f1al\u00f3 ING.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El GBP\/USD cay\u00f3 un 0,1 % hasta 1,3540, tras ganar casi un 0,8 % la semana pasada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abEl motor aqu\u00ed es la postura m\u00e1s cre\u00edble del Banco de Inglaterra, con los mercados descontando ahora solo 50 puntos b\u00e1sicos de flexibilizaci\u00f3n adicional, frente a los 125 puntos b\u00e1sicos de recortes que se esperan de la Fed hasta 2026\u00bb, explic\u00f3 ING. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abEsto deber\u00eda respaldar al GBP\/USD esta semana, donde una ruptura por encima de 1,3585\/1,3600 podr\u00eda allanar el camino hacia 1,3680\/1,3700\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Operaciones tranquilas en Asia<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En Asia, el USD\/JPY subi\u00f3 hasta 147,22 despu\u00e9s de que los datos del viernes mostraran un crecimiento del segundo trimestre de la econom\u00eda japonesa superior al esperado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El USD\/CNY cay\u00f3 ligeramente hasta 7,1803, con el yuan estable despu\u00e9s de que las cifras de producci\u00f3n industrial y ventas minoristas de China, m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles de lo esperado, alimentaran los llamamientos a medidas de apoyo adicionales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El AUD\/USD subi\u00f3 un 0,1 % hasta 0,6516, reflejando la modesta fortaleza del d\u00f3lar australiano.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El d\u00f3lar estadounidense subi\u00f3 ligeramente el lunes, mientras los mercados centraban su atenci\u00f3n en los esfuerzos diplom\u00e1ticos para poner fin a la guerra en Ucrania y en el simposio de la Reserva Federal en Jackson Hole, seguido muy de cerca. A las 03:00 ET (08:00 GMT), el \u00edndice del d\u00f3lar, que mide la cotizaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38426,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[278,273],"tags":[289,282,283],"class_list":["post-39086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","category-currencies","tag-currencies-es","tag-dollar-es","tag-euro-es"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEl d\u00f3lar sube ligeramente antes de la cumbre de Washington; Jackson Hole se considera un evento clave - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El d\u00f3lar sube ligeramente antes de la cumbre de Washington y el simposio de la Fed en Jackson Hole, mientras los mercados esperan las negociaciones sobre Ucrania y las perspectivas sobre los tipos de inter\u00e9s.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dollar-rises-slightly-prior-to-washington-summit-jackson-hole-shapes-up-as-an-influential-event\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El d\u00f3lar sube ligeramente antes de la cumbre de Washington; 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