{"id":35555,"date":"2025-04-30T10:33:25","date_gmt":"2025-04-30T10:33:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/dollar-rises-slightly-but-is-heading-for-a-sharp-monthly-loss\/"},"modified":"2025-04-30T10:33:25","modified_gmt":"2025-04-30T10:33:25","slug":"dollar-rises-slightly-but-is-heading-for-a-sharp-monthly-loss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dollar-rises-slightly-but-is-heading-for-a-sharp-monthly-loss\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Rises Slightly but Is Heading for a Sharp Monthly Loss"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The U.S. dollar edged higher on Wednesday but remained on track for its steepest monthly decline since November 2022, weighed down by growing uncertainty over the Trump administration\u2019s shifting trade policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), the U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/19\/12\/2024\/understanding-the-dxy-index-a-key-to-forex-and-global-market-insights\/\">Dollar Index<\/a>\u2014which measures the greenback against a basket of six major <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/14\/06\/2024\/unlocking-the-global-currency-market-a-beginners-guide-to-forex\/\">currencies<\/a>\u2014rose 0.1% to 99.080. Despite the modest uptick, the index lingered near the three-year low it touched last week and is down 4.6% for the month, marking its weakest monthly performance in over two years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Tariff Volatility and Weak Economic Data Pressure the Dollar<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Wednesday&#8217;s limited rebound in the dollar came after the White House signaled efforts to soften the impact of President Trump\u2019s auto tariffs. This move marked another step back from the broad tariff measures introduced in early April, which had prompted investors to exit traditionally safe assets like the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, the dollar remains under pressure amid concerns that the administration&#8217;s trade actions could stifle economic growth, fuel inflation, and increase unemployment. Recent data has underscored those fears: U.S. job openings dropped sharply in March, while consumer confidence in April slumped to its lowest level in nearly five years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investor attention now turns to the advance estimate of first-quarter U.S. GDP, due later in the day. Forecasts suggest growth may have slowed to its weakest pace since Q2 2022, with a negative reading potentially on the cards. Other key data releases include April\u2019s ADP employment report and the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index\u2014the Federal Reserve\u2019s preferred inflation gauge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe maintain a neutral bias on the dollar today,\u201d analysts at ING wrote in a note. \u201cWhile economic data may continue to weigh on sentiment, markets appear encouraged by Trump\u2019s attempts to mitigate some tariff impacts. However, we believe a steady stream of constructive trade developments\u2014particularly with China\u2014is essential to sustain support for equities and the dollar. For now, that may be enough to keep the greenback steady heading into Friday\u2019s payrolls report.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro Poised for Strongest Month Since Late 2022<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Europe, EUR\/USD edged 0.1% lower to 1.1378 after a 0.3% dip in the previous session. Despite this, the euro is still up over 5% in April, tracking its best monthly performance since November 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economic data was mixed: German retail sales declined by 0.2% in March\u2014better than the expected 0.4% drop\u2014while France\u2019s GDP expanded by just 0.8% year-on-year in Q1. Markets now await broader eurozone GDP figures and German inflation data due later Wednesday, both of which could reinforce expectations for further ECB rate cuts in June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cUnless we see major surprises, today\u2019s GDP numbers are unlikely to move the euro significantly,\u201d ING analysts said. \u201cThe same applies to the German and French CPI prints due this morning. Markets have fully embraced the ECB\u2019s dovish stance, and it would likely take a sharply weaker-than-expected inflation read to prompt further easing expectations.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Pound and Yen Also Post Notable Gains<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Elsewhere, GBP\/USD dipped 0.2% to 1.3382 but remains up 3.8% for the month, on track for its strongest monthly gain since November 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, USD\/JPY climbed 0.3% to 142.76, though the Japanese yen is set for a robust monthly gain of over 5%, bolstered by dip-buying following March&#8217;s declines and the ongoing softness in the dollar. Attention now shifts to Thursday\u2019s conclusion of the Bank of Japan\u2019s two-day policy meeting, where the central bank is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Chinese Yuan Softens Amid Weak Manufacturing Data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In China, USD\/CNY edged 0.1% lower to 7.2632, showing limited reaction to disappointing manufacturing data. Official PMI figures revealed a sharper-than-expected contraction in factory activity in April, with broader economic indicators also weakening amid ongoing tariff tensions between Washington and Beijing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar edged higher on Wednesday but remained on track for its steepest monthly decline since November 2022, weighed down by growing uncertainty over the Trump administration\u2019s shifting trade policies. As of 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), the U.S. Dollar Index\u2014which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies\u2014rose 0.1% to 99.080. Despite [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[278,273],"tags":[289,282,283],"class_list":["post-35555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets","category-currencies","tag-currencies-es","tag-dollar-es","tag-euro-es"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar Rises Slightly but Is Heading for a Sharp Monthly Loss - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S. dollar rises slightly but heads for biggest monthly drop since 2022, as weak data and trade policy fuel investor caution.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dollar-rises-slightly-but-is-heading-for-a-sharp-monthly-loss\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar Rises Slightly but Is Heading for a Sharp Monthly Loss - 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