{"id":35548,"date":"2025-05-13T11:21:54","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T11:21:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/dollar-falls-slightly-from-highs-the-us-cpi-looms-over-markets\/"},"modified":"2025-05-13T11:21:54","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T11:21:54","slug":"dollar-falls-slightly-from-highs-the-us-cpi-looms-over-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/dollar-falls-slightly-from-highs-the-us-cpi-looms-over-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Falls Slightly from Highs as Markets Eye U.S. CPI Report"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Tuesday but remained close to recent highs, buoyed by ongoing optimism following a trade agreement between the U.S. and China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As of 04:30 ET (08:30 GMT), the U.S. Dollar Index<\/a> \u2014 which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies<\/a> \u2014 dipped 0.2% to 101.410, after surging roughly 1.6% on Monday to hit a one-month peak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets Pause Ahead of Key Inflation Data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Investor sentiment steadied following the weekend\u2019s trade talks in Geneva, where Washington and Beijing agreed to a 90-day halt on mutual tariffs. The agreement has sparked hopes that escalating trade tensions between the world\u2019s two largest economies might not culminate in a tariff-induced recession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the deal, U.S. tariffs remain capped, while China’s rate is set at 30% \u2014 a figure notably lower than anticipated \u2014 helping reduce uncertainty and bringing some clarity to the outlook for global trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the dollar rallied on the back of the trade breakthrough, markets are now shifting focus to the upcoming release of the April U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key gauge of inflation. Expectations are for a 2.4% year-over-year rise, unchanged from March, with a monthly gain of 0.3%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, is forecast to rise 0.3% month-over-month and 2.8% annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analysts warn that Trump\u2019s tariff policies could rekindle inflationary pressures, and recent consumer surveys suggest households are bracing for higher prices ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cApril core CPI is expected to remain sticky at 0.3% month-on-month, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is in no rush to begin cutting rates,\u201d said analysts at ING. \u201cMarkets have now pushed the expected terminal rate for this cycle to 3.50%, up from 3.00%, and we still anticipate a potential 50 basis point cut in September to initiate a new easing cycle.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Euro Edges Higher After Sharp Drop<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The euro recovered modestly, with EUR\/USD rising 0.2% to 1.1107, after falling 1.4% the previous day. A possible rebound could be on the horizon, with attention turning to the May ZEW investor sentiment survey from Germany, expected to show improvement after recent declines driven by trade fears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cEUR\/USD appears to have completed the first leg of a longer-term uptrend,\u201d said ING. \u201cWe anticipate dip-buying interest around the 1.1030\u20131.1050 zone, with downside risk toward 1.0850. That said, this pullback makes our year-end target of 1.13 seem more reasonable \u2014 perhaps even conservative.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pound Holds Up Despite Labor Market Weakness<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The British pound also gained ground, with GBP\/USD up 0.3% to 1.3211, despite signs of a softening labor market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U.K. data released earlier showed employment falling, wage growth slowing, and the unemployment rate rising to 4.5% in the three months through March, up from 4.4% previously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Asian Currencies Rebound as Trade Fears Ease<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, USD\/JPY fell 0.4% to 147.87, with the yen regaining some lost ground after Monday\u2019s risk-driven selloff. The Chinese yuan also ticked higher, with USD\/CNY down 0.1% to 7.1995, supported by easing tensions between Beijing and Washington.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Tuesday but remained close to recent highs, buoyed by ongoing optimism following a trade agreement between the U.S. and China. As of 04:30 ET (08:30 GMT), the U.S. Dollar Index \u2014 which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies \u2014 dipped 0.2% to 101.410, after surging […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[278,273],"tags":[289,282,283,296,290],"class_list":["post-35548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets","category-currencies","tag-currencies-es","tag-dollar-es","tag-euro-es","tag-yen-es","tag-yuan-es"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDollar Falls Slightly from Highs as Markets Eye U.S. CPI Report - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S.\u00a0dollar\u00a0dips\u00a0slightly\u00a0as\u00a0markets\u00a0await\u00a0April\u00a0CPI\u00a0data;\u00a0trade\u00a0deal\u00a0with\u00a0China\u00a0boosts\u00a0sentiment\u00a0across\u00a0major\u00a0currencies.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar Falls Slightly from Highs as Markets Eye U.S. CPI Report - 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