{"id":123271,"date":"2026-11-03T10:01:33","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T08:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=123271"},"modified":"2026-11-03T10:12:10","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T08:12:10","slug":"aud-usd-cae-antes-de-la-decision-del-rba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/aud-usd-cae-antes-de-la-decision-del-rba\/","title":{"rendered":"AUDUSD Cae Antes de la Decisi\u00f3n del RBA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El par AUD\/USD contin\u00faa bajo presi\u00f3n y cotiza cerca de 0.6987 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del martes 3 de noviembre, tras alcanzar un nuevo m\u00ednimo de dos semanas. El d\u00f3lar australiano tiene dificultades para recuperar impulso por debajo del nivel psicol\u00f3gico de 0.7000, mientras los inversores ajustan sus posiciones antes del anuncio de pol\u00edtica monetaria del Banco de la Reserva de Australia (RBA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El mercado espera ampliamente que el banco central aumente las tasas de inter\u00e9s en 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos, hasta el 4.85%. De concretarse, ser\u00eda el quinto incremento de tasas en lo que va del a\u00f1o, en medio de las persistentes presiones inflacionarias. Sin embargo, el comunicado de pol\u00edtica monetaria y las declaraciones de la gobernadora del RBA, Michele Bullock, ser\u00e1n fundamentales para determinar si todav\u00eda hay margen para nuevos ajustes o si este movimiento podr\u00eda marcar el final del ciclo de endurecimiento monetario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Adem\u00e1s del aumento previsto, los operadores analizar\u00e1n detenidamente la evaluaci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n del RBA y sus perspectivas sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria para encontrar se\u00f1ales sobre los pr\u00f3ximos movimientos. Un mensaje m\u00e1s agresivo por parte de Bullock podr\u00eda respaldar al d\u00f3lar australiano, mientras que comentarios m\u00e1s cautelosos que sugieran que las tasas podr\u00edan haber alcanzado su nivel m\u00e1ximo limitar\u00edan su potencial alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por otro lado, la incertidumbre en torno a las elecciones de medio mandato en Estados Unidos podr\u00eda generar una mayor volatilidad en los mercados cambiarios e influir en la demanda del d\u00f3lar estadounidense. Los operadores tambi\u00e9n estar\u00e1n atentos a los datos econ\u00f3micos de EE. UU. del martes, incluidos los pedidos de f\u00e1brica y las ofertas de empleo JOLTS, en busca de nuevas se\u00f1ales sobre la fortaleza de la econom\u00eda. El informe de N\u00f3minas No Agr\u00edcolas (NFP) del viernes ser\u00e1 otro catalizador importante, ya que podr\u00eda modificar las expectativas sobre la pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n de la Reserva Federal (Fed) y la direcci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar estadounidense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, el AUD\/USD mantiene un sesgo bajista a corto plazo y cotiza cerca de 0.6987, por debajo de la resistencia de Fibonacci del 38.2%, ubicada en 0.7025. El RSI se sit\u00faa en 45.19, lo que refleja una persistente presi\u00f3n vendedora, mientras que el histograma positivo del MACD muestra las primeras se\u00f1ales de recuperaci\u00f3n del impulso. Sin embargo, ambas l\u00edneas del MACD permanecen por debajo de cero, por lo que todav\u00eda no se confirma un cambio de tendencia alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGrafico AUDUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
A la baja, el soporte inmediato se encuentra en 0.6975. Si el par rompe este nivel y pierde la l\u00ednea de tendencia ascendente, el siguiente soporte relevante se ubicar\u00eda en 0.6894. Al alza, la primera resistencia aparece en 0.7025, seguida de 0.7066 y de la zona comprendida entre 0.7107 y 0.7120. Una ruptura sostenida por encima de 0.7066 podr\u00eda mejorar las perspectivas a corto plazo, mientras que un avance por encima de 0.7120 reforzar\u00eda las posibilidades de una recuperaci\u00f3n alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La decisi\u00f3n de tasas del RBA seguir\u00e1 siendo el principal catalizador para el AUD\/USD, mientras que sus perspectivas de pol\u00edtica monetaria podr\u00edan definir la pr\u00f3xima direcci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar australiano. Una postura m\u00e1s restrictiva podr\u00eda impulsar un rebote hacia 0.7025 y 0.7066, mientras que un mensaje menos agresivo podr\u00eda acelerar las ca\u00eddas hacia 0.6975 y 0.6894.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los operadores deber\u00e1n seguir de cerca estos niveles t\u00e9cnicos, junto con las se\u00f1ales de los bancos centrales y los pr\u00f3ximos datos econ\u00f3micos de Estados Unidos, para identificar posibles oportunidades de trading y gestionar adecuadamente la volatilidad asociada a los eventos econ\u00f3micos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El par AUD\/USD contin\u00faa bajo presi\u00f3n y cotiza cerca de 0.6987 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del martes 3 de noviembre, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[5309,4595,5234,5983,5982,4649,4640,5712],"class_list":["post-123271","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-forex","tag-analisis-tecnico","tag-aud-usd","tag-aumento-de-tasas-del-rba","tag-decision-de-tasas-del-rba","tag-dolar-australiano","tag-dolar-estadounidense","tag-mercado-de-divisas"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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