{"id":123061,"date":"2026-10-20T10:18:59","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T08:18:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=123061"},"modified":"2026-10-20T10:21:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T08:21:46","slug":"usdjpy-cae-ante-la-sma-de-200-dias","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/usdjpy-cae-ante-la-sma-de-200-dias\/","title":{"rendered":"USDJPY\u00a0Cae\u00a0ante\u00a0la\u00a0SMA\u00a0de\u00a0200\u00a0D\u00edas"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El d\u00f3lar estadounidense se debilit\u00f3 frente al yen japon\u00e9s el martes 20 de octubre, despu\u00e9s de que el par USD\/JPY encontrara una nueva resistencia cerca de su media m\u00f3vil simple (SMA) de 200 d\u00edas, situada en 158,57. El par retrocedi\u00f3 hacia 158,00 ante la disminuci\u00f3n de las expectativas de nuevas subidas de tasas de inter\u00e9s por parte de la Reserva Federal (Fed) y las preocupaciones sobre la excesiva inversi\u00f3n en inteligencia artificial (IA), que afectaron al sentimiento del mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pesar de este retroceso, el USD\/JPY se mantiene dentro de su rango de negociaci\u00f3n reciente, con un soporte cercano a 157,50 que constituye un nivel clave para los operadores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El d\u00f3lar estadounidense ha enfrentado presiones vendedoras esta semana, mientras los inversores reevaluan las perspectivas de pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Reserva Federal antes de su pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00f3n. La probabilidad de una subida de tasas de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos ha ca\u00eddo a aproximadamente el 17%, frente a casi el 60% registrado una semana antes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Este cambio se produce despu\u00e9s de que varios funcionarios de la Fed se\u00f1alaran que necesitan m\u00e1s tiempo para evaluar los efectos de la subida de tasas de septiembre. A medida que disminuyen las expectativas de un nuevo aumento inmediato, el d\u00f3lar pierde parte del respaldo que recib\u00eda de las especulaciones sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Las preocupaciones sobre la rentabilidad del sector de la IA tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1n ejerciendo presi\u00f3n. Las importantes inversiones extranjeras en empresas tecnol\u00f3gicas estadounidenses han respaldado la demanda del d\u00f3lar durante el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o. Cualquier deterioro de la confianza de los inversores respecto a las valoraciones de las empresas de IA o sus rendimientos futuros podr\u00eda reducir los flujos de inversi\u00f3n y generar obst\u00e1culos adicionales para la moneda estadounidense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>An\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, el USD\/JPY contin\u00faa movi\u00e9ndose dentro de un rango, ya que los compradores tienen dificultades para superar la media m\u00f3vil simple (SMA) de 200 d\u00edas, situada en 158,57, mientras que los vendedores no consiguen impulsar al par por debajo del soporte de 157,50. El \u00cdndice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI) se mantiene ligeramente por encima del nivel neutral de 50, mientras que el indicador de convergencia\/divergencia de medias m\u00f3viles (MACD) contin\u00faa en terreno marginalmente positivo. Esto sugiere que el impulso alcista est\u00e1 perdiendo fuerza, aunque todav\u00eda no se ha confirmado una reversi\u00f3n bajista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al alza, una ruptura sostenida por encima de 158,57 podr\u00eda abrir el camino hacia el m\u00e1ximo del 24 de septiembre, cerca de 159,00, seguido del m\u00e1ximo de septiembre en torno a 160,40. A la baja, una ca\u00edda por debajo de 157,50 podr\u00eda exponer al par a un soporte cercano a 156,40 y al m\u00ednimo del 17 de septiembre, situado en 155,34.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por ahora, el par sigue siendo sensible a los cambios en las expectativas sobre las tasas de inter\u00e9s de la Fed y al sentimiento general del mercado. Una ruptura del rango comprendido entre 157,50 y 158,57 podr\u00eda se\u00f1alar el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento direccional del USD\/JPY.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Esta situaci\u00f3n es importante para los traders porque el USD\/JPY se encuentra cerca de una resistencia t\u00e9cnica clave, mientras que el d\u00f3lar estadounidense enfrenta presiones fundamentales. Los operadores deben vigilar la resistencia de 158,57, el soporte de 157,50, las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Fed y las novedades del sector de la IA para identificar posibles oportunidades de trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sin embargo, esperar una ruptura confirmada antes de abrir una posici\u00f3n podr\u00eda ayudar a reducir el riesgo de reaccionar ante se\u00f1ales falsas mientras el mercado contin\u00fae operando dentro de un rango.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El d\u00f3lar estadounidense se debilit\u00f3 frente al yen japon\u00e9s el martes 20 de octubre, despu\u00e9s de que el par USD\/JPY [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[4595,4377,4640,5712,4380,4631,5856,5518,5349],"class_list":["post-123061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-tecnico","tag-currency-markets","tag-dolar-estadounidense","tag-mercado-de-divisas","tag-onequity-insights","tag-reserva-federal","tag-subidas-de-tasas-de-la-fed","tag-usd-jpy","tag-yen-japones"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USDJPY\u00a0Cae\u00a0ante\u00a0la\u00a0SMA\u00a0de\u00a0200\u00a0D\u00edas - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El USD\/JPY retrocede hacia 158,00 tras encontrar resistencia en la SMA de 200 d\u00edas. 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