El precio del oro cay\u00f3 hacia los USD 4.100 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del jueves 15 de octubre, despu\u00e9s de que una inflaci\u00f3n estadounidense superior a la esperada reforzara las expectativas de nuevas subidas de tasas de inter\u00e9s por parte de la Reserva Federal (Fed). Los datos del IPC aumentaron la presi\u00f3n sobre el metal precioso, que no genera intereses, mientras los inversores reevaluaban las perspectivas de la pol\u00edtica monetaria estadounidense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La atenci\u00f3n del mercado se centra ahora en el \u00cdndice de Precios al Productor (IPP) de septiembre, las ventas minoristas y el \u00edndice manufacturero de la Fed de Filadelfia, indicadores que podr\u00edan influir en el d\u00f3lar estadounidense, los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro y la cotizaci\u00f3n del oro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El IPC general de Estados Unidos aument\u00f3 un 3,7% interanual en septiembre, por encima del 3,6% previsto, mientras que la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente subi\u00f3 al 2,6%, frente al 2,4% anterior. Estas cifras reforzaron las expectativas de un endurecimiento monetario adicional, lo que redujo el atractivo del oro ante el mayor costo de oportunidad de mantener activos que no generan rendimientos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TD Securities se\u00f1al\u00f3 un aumento de las ventas por parte de los asesores de negociaci\u00f3n de materias primas (CTA) tras la sorpresa inflacionaria, con una resistencia importante cerca de los USD 4.200 por onza. Sin embargo, los flujos compradores podr\u00edan ofrecer soporte en la zona de USD 4.000 a USD 4.100. Por su parte, Mary Daly, presidenta de la Reserva Federal de San Francisco, destac\u00f3 la importancia de mantener un enfoque prudente y dependiente de los datos, sin descartar nuevas subidas de tasas si persisten las presiones inflacionarias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Para los operadores de oro, la cuesti\u00f3n clave es si estos datos anticipan un per\u00edodo prolongado de pol\u00edtica monetaria restrictiva o si representan un rev\u00e9s temporal para la tendencia general del metal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El oro (XAU\/USD) cotiza cerca de los USD 4.144 el 15 de octubre, intentando recuperarse de las p\u00e9rdidas recientes. No obstante, la perspectiva t\u00e9cnica a corto plazo sigue siendo bajista, ya que el precio permanece por debajo de la l\u00ednea de tendencia descendente.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGrafico XAUUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
El \u00cdndice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI) se sit\u00faa en 43,04, por debajo del nivel neutral de 50. Mientras tanto, el histograma del MACD, ligeramente positivo en 0,465, sugiere que la presi\u00f3n bajista podr\u00eda estar perdiendo fuerza. Sin embargo, ambas l\u00edneas del MACD permanecen por debajo de cero, por lo que la recuperaci\u00f3n a\u00fan carece de una confirmaci\u00f3n alcista clara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El soporte se encuentra entre USD 4.085 y USD 4.100, seguido de los niveles de USD 4.000 y USD 3.945\u20133.965. Por el lado alcista, la resistencia inmediata se sit\u00faa entre USD 4.160 y USD 4.180, con una barrera m\u00e1s importante en la zona de USD 4.240\u20134.250. Una ruptura del soporte podr\u00eda extender las p\u00e9rdidas, mientras que una superaci\u00f3n sostenida de la resistencia superior y de la l\u00ednea de tendencia descendente reforzar\u00eda la posibilidad de un cambio de tendencia alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los operadores deben vigilar estos niveles junto con los datos econ\u00f3micos estadounidenses, las expectativas sobre las tasas de la Fed y los movimientos del d\u00f3lar. Hasta que una ruptura confirme un cambio de direcci\u00f3n, el rebote actual debe considerarse una posible correcci\u00f3n dentro de una estructura bajista m\u00e1s amplia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El precio del oro cay\u00f3 hacia los USD 4.100 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del jueves 15 de octubre, despu\u00e9s de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[4595,4640,5836,4067,5308,4380,3991,4631,5835,5384],"class_list":["post-122939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-tecnico","tag-dolar-estadounidense","tag-etiquetas-precio-del-oro","tag-gold","tag-inflacion-de-ee-uu","tag-onequity-insights","tag-oro","tag-reserva-federal","tag-trading-de-oro","tag-xau-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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