{"id":122923,"date":"2026-10-14T09:47:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:47:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122923"},"modified":"2026-10-14T09:51:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:51:34","slug":"bonos-del-tesoro-caen-antes-del-ipc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/bonos-del-tesoro-caen-antes-del-ipc\/","title":{"rendered":"Bonos\u00a0del\u00a0Tesoro\u00a0caen\u00a0antes\u00a0del\u00a0IPC"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro de Estados Unidos bajaron ligeramente el mi\u00e9rcoles 14 de octubre, mientras los inversores esperaban la publicaci\u00f3n del \u00cdndice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC) de septiembre. Los datos de inflaci\u00f3n podr\u00edan influir en las expectativas sobre la pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n de tasas de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal (Fed) y generar volatilidad en los mercados de bonos, divisas y acciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El rendimiento del bono del Tesoro a 10 a\u00f1os cay\u00f3 alrededor de 2 puntos b\u00e1sicos, hasta el 5,195%, mientras que el rendimiento a 30 a\u00f1os retrocedi\u00f3 1 punto b\u00e1sico, hasta el 5,549%. El rendimiento del bono a 2 a\u00f1os tambi\u00e9n baj\u00f3 2 puntos b\u00e1sicos, hasta el 4,772%. Los rendimientos y los precios de los bonos se mueven en direcciones opuestas, por lo que una ca\u00edda de los rendimientos generalmente refleja un aumento en los precios de los bonos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los economistas encuestados por Dow Jones esperan que la inflaci\u00f3n general del IPC aumente un 0,6% mensual en septiembre, lo que elevar\u00eda la tasa anual al 3,6%. De confirmarse, esta cifra indicar\u00eda que la inflaci\u00f3n se aleja a\u00fan m\u00e1s del objetivo del 2% de la Reserva Federal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Se prev\u00e9 que el IPC subyacente, que excluye los precios vol\u00e1tiles de los alimentos y la energ\u00eda, aumente un 0,2% respecto de agosto y un 2,5% interanual. Los inversores analizar\u00e1n ambas cifras para determinar si las presiones inflacionarias subyacentes est\u00e1n disminuyendo o siguen siendo persistentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Una inflaci\u00f3n superior a la esperada podr\u00eda reforzar las preocupaciones de que la Fed deba mantener una pol\u00edtica monetaria restrictiva durante m\u00e1s tiempo. Por el contrario, cifras de inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s moderadas podr\u00edan respaldar las expectativas de una postura monetaria menos agresiva y ejercer una presi\u00f3n adicional a la baja sobre los rendimientos del Tesoro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>La decisi\u00f3n de tasas de la Fed, en el punto de mira<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El informe del IPC de septiembre se publica apenas dos semanas antes de la pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n de tasas de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal, lo que aumenta su importancia para los mercados financieros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los analistas de Deutsche Bank se\u00f1alaron que los datos de inflaci\u00f3n podr\u00edan definir las expectativas del mercado antes de la reuni\u00f3n. El \u00edndice de precios del gasto en consumo personal (PCE), la medida de inflaci\u00f3n preferida por la Fed, no se publicar\u00e1 hasta despu\u00e9s de esa decisi\u00f3n, lo que aumenta la relevancia de las cifras del IPC disponibles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El informe de septiembre ayudar\u00e1 a orientar las expectativas sobre la pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n de la Fed, junto con otros indicadores econ\u00f3micos. El jueves 15 de octubre, los inversores tambi\u00e9n estar\u00e1n atentos al \u00edndice de precios al productor (IPP), las ventas minoristas y las solicitudes iniciales de subsidio por desempleo en Estados Unidos, que ofrecer\u00e1n nuevas se\u00f1ales sobre la inflaci\u00f3n, el consumo y las condiciones del mercado laboral. Una inflaci\u00f3n persistente y unos datos econ\u00f3micos s\u00f3lidos podr\u00edan impulsar los rendimientos al alza, mientras que una moderaci\u00f3n de los precios y un debilitamiento de la demanda podr\u00edan reforzar las expectativas de una pol\u00edtica monetaria m\u00e1s flexible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los rendimientos del Tesoro influyen en el d\u00f3lar estadounidense, el oro y las valoraciones burs\u00e1tiles, por lo que estos datos son especialmente relevantes para los traders. Unos rendimientos m\u00e1s altos pueden favorecer al d\u00f3lar y presionar al oro y a las acciones de crecimiento, mientras que unos rendimientos m\u00e1s bajos pueden producir el efecto contrario. En el mercado forex, conviene vigilar pares como EUR\/USD, GBP\/USD y USD\/JPY, prestando atenci\u00f3n a si la inflaci\u00f3n supera o queda por debajo de las expectativas y a c\u00f3mo reaccionan los mercados ante los cambios en las perspectivas de tasas de inter\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro de Estados Unidos bajaron ligeramente el mi\u00e9rcoles 14 de octubre, mientras los inversores [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":122919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[867],"tags":[4640,5785,4629,5786,5784,4631],"class_list":["post-122923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-dolar-estadounidense","tag-inflacion-estadounidense","tag-ipc-de-ee-uu","tag-perspectivas-de-tasas-de-interes","tag-rendimientos-del-tesoro-de-ee-uu","tag-reserva-federal"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bonos\u00a0del\u00a0Tesoro\u00a0caen\u00a0antes\u00a0del\u00a0IPC - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Los rendimientos del Tesoro de EE. 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