{"id":122708,"date":"2026-10-01T08:12:42","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T06:12:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122708"},"modified":"2026-10-01T08:18:28","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T06:18:28","slug":"gbpusd-se-acerca-a-1-3250-bajo-presion-bajista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/gbpusd-se-acerca-a-1-3250-bajo-presion-bajista\/","title":{"rendered":"GBPUSD Se Acerca a 1.3250 Bajo Presi\u00f3n Bajista"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El par GBP\/USD cotiza cerca de 1.3250 durante las primeras operaciones europeas del jueves 1 de octubre, extendiendo su ca\u00edda mientras la libra esterlina contin\u00faa bajo presi\u00f3n frente al d\u00f3lar estadounidense. El par se mantiene por debajo de su Media M\u00f3vil Simple (SMA) de 100 d\u00edas, lo que mantiene un panorama t\u00e9cnico bajista a corto plazo. La atenci\u00f3n del mercado ahora se centra en las solicitudes semanales iniciales de subsidio por desempleo en Estados Unidos y en los comentarios de funcionarios de la Reserva Federal, en busca de nuevas se\u00f1ales sobre la trayectoria de las tasas de inter\u00e9s estadounidenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Las expectativas de pol\u00edtica monetaria contin\u00faan siendo un factor clave para el GBP\/USD. El responsable de pol\u00edtica monetaria del Banco de Inglaterra (BoE), Alan Taylor, destac\u00f3 recientemente la dificultad de subir las tasas sin generar expectativas de un mayor endurecimiento monetario. Mientras tanto, MUFG elev\u00f3 su pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del Reino Unido para el tercer trimestre a 0.4%, desde el 0.1%, lo que sugiere que una actividad econ\u00f3mica m\u00e1s s\u00f3lida podr\u00eda dar al BoE mayor margen para endurecer su pol\u00edtica si los elevados precios de la energ\u00eda contin\u00faan impulsando la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En Estados Unidos, una inflaci\u00f3n PCE m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil de lo esperado redujo las expectativas de una subida de tasas por parte de la Fed en octubre, con la probabilidad cayendo a alrededor del 38.2%, desde el 45%, seg\u00fan los datos de CME FedWatch. Sin embargo, funcionarios de la Fed, incluido Neel Kashkari, contin\u00faan destacando los riesgos persistentes de inflaci\u00f3n y la resiliencia de la econom\u00eda estadounidense, lo que limita el potencial bajista del d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>An\u00e1lisis T\u00e9cnico<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El GBP\/USD se mantiene por debajo de la&nbsp;<strong>SMA de 100 d\u00edas en 1.3415<\/strong>&nbsp;y del punto medio de las Bandas de Bollinger de 20 per\u00edodos en&nbsp;<strong>1.3385<\/strong>, manteniendo una estructura t\u00e9cnica bajista. El RSI se sit\u00faa cerca de&nbsp;<strong>33.20<\/strong>, lo que indica un fuerte impulso bajista y una aproximaci\u00f3n a territorio de sobreventa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El primer soporte importante se encuentra en&nbsp;<strong>1.3202<\/strong>, seguido por la banda inferior de Bollinger cerca de&nbsp;<strong>1.3140<\/strong>. Una ruptura sostenida por debajo de 1.3140 podr\u00eda abrir el camino hacia&nbsp;<strong>1.3038<\/strong>, mientras que el nivel psicol\u00f3gico de&nbsp;<strong>1.3000<\/strong>podr\u00eda convertirse en el siguiente objetivo bajista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al alza,&nbsp;<strong>1.3311<\/strong>&nbsp;es la primera resistencia a vigilar, seguida de&nbsp;<strong>1.3385<\/strong>&nbsp;y de la SMA de 100 d\u00edas en&nbsp;<strong>1.3415<\/strong>. Un movimiento por encima de este \u00faltimo nivel debilitar\u00eda la configuraci\u00f3n bajista actual y podr\u00eda llevar la atenci\u00f3n hacia la banda superior de Bollinger, alrededor de&nbsp;<strong>1.3630<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El GBP\/USD se aproxima a una zona de soporte t\u00e9cnico importante mientras las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria del BoE y la Fed contin\u00faan cambiando. Los traders deber\u00edan vigilar de cerca&nbsp;<strong>1.3202 a la baja y 1.3311 al alza<\/strong>, junto con los pr\u00f3ximos datos econ\u00f3micos de Estados Unidos y los comentarios de funcionarios de la Fed. Una ruptura de cualquiera de estos niveles podr\u00eda ofrecer una se\u00f1al m\u00e1s clara sobre el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento del par y potencialmente aumentar la volatilidad en el mercado forex.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para los traders, la combinaci\u00f3n de la&nbsp;<strong>resistencia de la SMA de 100 d\u00edas, el impulso del RSI, las expectativas de crecimiento del Reino Unido, las se\u00f1ales de pol\u00edtica monetaria del BoE y los cambios en las expectativas sobre las tasas de la Fed<\/strong>&nbsp;ofrece varios catalizadores importantes a considerar al evaluar el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento potencial del GBP\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El par GBP\/USD cotiza cerca de 1.3250 durante las primeras operaciones europeas del jueves 1 de octubre, extendiendo su ca\u00edda [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[4595,4640,4206,3932,4739,5712,5713],"class_list":["post-122708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-tecnico","tag-dolar-estadounidense","tag-forex","tag-gbpusd","tag-libra-esterlina","tag-mercado-de-divisas","tag-pronostico-gbp-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>GBPUSD Se Acerca a 1.3250 Bajo Presi\u00f3n Bajista - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"GBP\/USD se acerca a 1.3250 mientras la presi\u00f3n bajista persiste por debajo de la SMA de 100 d\u00edas. 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