{"id":122432,"date":"2026-09-08T08:37:51","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T06:37:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122432"},"modified":"2026-09-08T08:46:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T06:46:10","slug":"eur-usd-se-mantiene-por-encima-de-1-1600","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/eur-usd-se-mantiene-por-encima-de-1-1600\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Sobre 1.1600"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El EUR\/USD se mantiene estable alrededor de 1.1625 este martes 8 de septiembre, mientras los traders adoptan una postura cautelosa antes de dos importantes catalizadores del mercado esta semana: la decisi\u00f3n de tipos de inter\u00e9s del Banco Central Europeo (BCE) y los \u00faltimos datos de inflaci\u00f3n de Estados Unidos. El par contin\u00faa por encima del nivel clave de 1.1600, mientras los inversores eval\u00faan las perspectivas divergentes de pol\u00edtica monetaria entre Europa y Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los recientes datos de empleo de Estados Unidos han reforzado las expectativas de una Reserva Federal m\u00e1s restrictiva. La econom\u00eda estadounidense cre\u00f3 162.000 puestos de trabajo en agosto, muy por encima de las previsiones del mercado, mientras que la tasa de desempleo se mantuvo en el 4,1%. Como resultado, las expectativas de una subida de tipos de la Fed en septiembre han aumentado hasta alrededor del 60%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La pr\u00f3xima gran prueba para el d\u00f3lar estadounidense llegar\u00e1 con el \u00cdndice de Precios al Productor (PPI) y el \u00cdndice de Precios al Consumidor (CPI). Una inflaci\u00f3n superior a lo esperado podr\u00eda reforzar las expectativas de tipos de inter\u00e9s estadounidenses m\u00e1s elevados, lo que potencialmente favorecer\u00eda al d\u00f3lar y ejercer\u00eda presi\u00f3n bajista sobre el EUR\/USD. Por el contrario, una inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s moderada podr\u00eda debilitar al d\u00f3lar y dar al euro mayor margen para recuperarse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En Europa, la atenci\u00f3n se centra ahora en el BCE, ya que los mercados esperan ampliamente una subida de tipos de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos, que llevar\u00eda la tasa de dep\u00f3sito hasta el 2,50%. Los inversores tambi\u00e9n analizar\u00e1n de cerca las indicaciones del BCE sobre su futura pol\u00edtica monetaria. Un mensaje m\u00e1s restrictivo podr\u00eda fortalecer al euro, especialmente si los responsables de pol\u00edtica monetaria se\u00f1alan que todav\u00eda existe margen para nuevas subidas de tipos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En el gr\u00e1fico diario, el EUR\/USD mantiene un sesgo alcista moderado despu\u00e9s de romper por encima de la l\u00ednea de tendencia bajista de largo plazo. El par cotiza cerca de 1.1629, mientras que 1.1613 act\u00faa como soporte clave a corto plazo. Mantenerse por encima de este nivel permitir\u00eda conservar la estructura alcista y demostrar\u00eda que los compradores contin\u00faan defendiendo la ruptura.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sin embargo, el impulso alcista ha comenzado a perder fuerza. El RSI se sit\u00faa alrededor de 57, todav\u00eda por encima del nivel neutral de 50, pero lejos de la zona de sobrecompra. Al mismo tiempo, el MACD se ha debilitado, con la l\u00ednea MACD por debajo de su l\u00ednea de se\u00f1al y un histograma ligeramente negativo. Esto apunta a una p\u00e9rdida de impulso alcista y a la posibilidad de una fase de consolidaci\u00f3n o correcci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGr\u00e1fico del EURUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Al alza, 1.1700 es la primera resistencia que los traders deben vigilar. Una ruptura sostenida por encima de este nivel podr\u00eda reforzar la perspectiva alcista y abrir el camino hacia la zona de 1.1750\u20131.1780, donde la congesti\u00f3n de precios anterior podr\u00eda atraer a los vendedores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A la baja, 1.1613 sigue siendo el soporte inmediato. Un cierre diario por debajo de este nivel podr\u00eda se\u00f1alar una correcci\u00f3n m\u00e1s profunda hacia 1.1500, mientras que una venta m\u00e1s agresiva podr\u00eda llevar al par hacia 1.1325. Hasta entonces, el sesgo sigue siendo alcista mientras el EUR\/USD se mantenga por encima de 1.1613.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Este escenario es especialmente relevante para los traders, ya que los pr\u00f3ximos datos de inflaci\u00f3n de Estados Unidos y la decisi\u00f3n de tipos del BCE podr\u00edan generar una volatilidad significativa. Una inflaci\u00f3n estadounidense superior a lo esperado podr\u00eda fortalecer al d\u00f3lar y presionar al EUR\/USD a la baja, mientras que una inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil, combinada con un BCE de tono restrictivo, podr\u00eda favorecer una ruptura por encima de 1.1700.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El EUR\/USD se mantiene estable alrededor de 1.1625 este martes 8 de septiembre, mientras los traders adoptan una postura cautelosa […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[5546,5547,5545,4380,4676,5302],"class_list":["post-122432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-eurusd","tag-eur-usd-hoy","tag-euro-dolar","tag-onequity-insights","tag-pronostico-forex","tag-trading-forex"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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