{"id":122269,"date":"2026-09-01T09:25:50","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T07:25:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122269"},"modified":"2026-09-01T09:35:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T07:35:10","slug":"el-yen-cae-mientras-el-rendimiento-llega-al-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/el-yen-cae-mientras-el-rendimiento-llega-al-3\/","title":{"rendered":"El Yen Cae Mientras el Rendimiento Llega al 3%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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El rendimiento del bono del Gobierno japon\u00e9s a 10 a\u00f1os alcanz\u00f3 el 3% por primera vez desde 1996, pero el yen japon\u00e9s contin\u00faa bajo presi\u00f3n frente al d\u00f3lar estadounidense. El USD\/JPY se acerca al nivel clave de 160, mientras los traders eval\u00faan el aumento de los rendimientos en Jap\u00f3n, las expectativas de un mayor endurecimiento de la pol\u00edtica del Banco de Jap\u00f3n (BoJ) y la creciente presi\u00f3n de funcionarios estadounidenses para impulsar un yen m\u00e1s fuerte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El USD\/JPY subi\u00f3 hasta alrededor de 159.85 durante las primeras horas de la sesi\u00f3n europea del martes 1 de septiembre, recuper\u00e1ndose de manera constante despu\u00e9s de caer hacia 157.00 a finales de julio. El rebote muestra que los compradores han recuperado parte del control, aunque el par ahora se acerca a una zona de resistencia t\u00e9cnicamente importante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El aumento de los rendimientos de los bonos japoneses se produjo despu\u00e9s de los comentarios del secretario del Tesoro de EE. UU., Scott Bessent, quien dijo que espera que el Gobierno japon\u00e9s y el Banco de Jap\u00f3n tomen medidas para respaldar un yen m\u00e1s fuerte. La ministra de Finanzas de Jap\u00f3n, Satsuki Katayama, tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1al\u00f3 que se reuni\u00f3 con Bessent y que ambos coincidieron en que los movimientos ordenados del yen son importantes para la estabilidad financiera global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La atenci\u00f3n del mercado se concentra cada vez m\u00e1s en la reuni\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria del BoJ del 18 de septiembre. Los estrategas de Scotiabank se\u00f1alaron que la pol\u00edtica monetaria relativa de los bancos centrales sigue siendo un factor clave para el USD\/JPY, mientras que los comentarios de Bessent han a\u00f1adido presi\u00f3n externa sobre el gobernador del BoJ, Kazuo Ueda. Los inversores tambi\u00e9n estar\u00e1n atentos a los comentarios del miembro de la junta del BoJ, Takata, a finales de esta semana en busca de se\u00f1ales sobre la direcci\u00f3n de la pol\u00edtica monetaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El USD\/JPY muestra una recuperaci\u00f3n alcista gradual despu\u00e9s de encontrar soporte cerca de 157.00 a finales de julio. El par volvi\u00f3 a acercarse a 160.00 y actualmente cotiza alrededor de 159.94, ligeramente por encima del nivel de retroceso de Fibonacci del 50%, ubicado en 159.59. Mientras se mantenga por encima de este nivel, la recuperaci\u00f3n de corto plazo seguir\u00e1 vigente, con el nivel de Fibonacci del 61.8% en 160.62 como pr\u00f3ximo objetivo, seguido de 160.97.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los indicadores de momentum tambi\u00e9n favorecen la recuperaci\u00f3n. El RSI subi\u00f3 hasta 51.66 despu\u00e9s de haber entrado anteriormente en territorio de sobreventa, recuperando el nivel neutral de 50 y se\u00f1alando una mejora en la presi\u00f3n compradora. El histograma del MACD tambi\u00e9n pas\u00f3 a terreno positivo, lo que indica que el impulso alcista est\u00e1 ganando fuerza despu\u00e9s de la fuerte ca\u00edda registrada a finales de julio. Sin embargo, las l\u00edneas del MACD todav\u00eda se mantienen por debajo de cero, lo que sugiere que la tendencia general a\u00fan no se ha vuelto claramente alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGr\u00e1fico del USDJPY<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
El primer obst\u00e1culo importante se encuentra en el nivel psicol\u00f3gico de 160.00. Un cierre diario firme por encima de 160.00 podr\u00eda fortalecer el escenario alcista y abrir la puerta hacia 160.62\u2013160.97. Una ruptura sostenida por encima de 160.97 pondr\u00eda el \u00e1rea de 162.08 en el radar de los traders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A la baja, 159.59 es el primer soporte clave. Un movimiento por debajo de este nivel debilitar\u00eda la recuperaci\u00f3n y podr\u00eda llevar al USD\/JPY hacia 158.56, seguido de 157.29. Una ruptura por debajo de 157.29 debilitar\u00eda significativamente el rebote y sugerir\u00eda que los vendedores est\u00e1n recuperando el control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Para los traders, el escenario sigue siendo moderadamente alcista mientras el USD\/JPY se mantenga por encima de 159.59<\/strong>, aunque la zona de 160.00\u2013160.97 probablemente ser\u00e1 determinante para definir el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento importante. El hecho de que el rendimiento del bono japon\u00e9s a 10 a\u00f1os haya alcanzado el 3%, junto con las expectativas de una mayor normalizaci\u00f3n de la pol\u00edtica del BoJ y la presi\u00f3n de EE. UU. para un yen m\u00e1s fuerte, hace que este escenario sea especialmente relevante. Una ruptura sostenida por encima de 160 podr\u00eda reforzar el impulso alcista, mientras que un rechazo en esa zona seguido de una ca\u00edda por debajo de 159.59 podr\u00eda indicar una recuperaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s fuerte del yen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El rendimiento del bono del Gobierno japon\u00e9s a 10 a\u00f1os alcanz\u00f3 el 3% por primera vez desde 1996, pero el […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[4595,5350,4012,4640,4206,4786,4380,5518,5349],"class_list":["post-122269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-tecnico","tag-banco-de-japon","tag-boj","tag-dolar-estadounidense","tag-forex","tag-jpy","tag-onequity-insights","tag-usd-jpy","tag-yen-japones"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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