El empleo australiano cae inesperadamente, pero la recuperaci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica del d\u00f3lar australiano se mantiene intacta mientras los traders vigilan los niveles de Fibonacci y las perspectivas del RBA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El d\u00f3lar australiano estuvo bajo presi\u00f3n el jueves 20 de agosto, despu\u00e9s de que el \u00faltimo informe del mercado laboral de Australia mostrara resultados m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles de lo esperado. El AUD\/USD cay\u00f3 hacia 0.7120 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica, despu\u00e9s de avanzar m\u00e1s de un 0.5% en la sesi\u00f3n anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La tasa de desempleo de Australia subi\u00f3 al 4.5% en julio, por encima de la expectativa del mercado del 4.4%. El empleo tambi\u00e9n cay\u00f3 en 15.800 puestos, frente al aumento de 80.200 registrado en junio y las expectativas de un incremento de alrededor de 15.000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los datos d\u00e9biles podr\u00edan reducir la presi\u00f3n sobre el Banco de la Reserva de Australia (RBA) para seguir subiendo las tasas de inter\u00e9s. Rabobank se\u00f1al\u00f3 que los mercados descontaban solo unos 12 puntos b\u00e1sicos de subidas del RBA durante los pr\u00f3ximos tres meses, dejando al d\u00f3lar australiano vulnerable a una mayor presi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El d\u00f3lar estadounidense tambi\u00e9n enfrenta cambios en las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica de la Reserva Federal. Aunque las actas de la reuni\u00f3n de julio de la Fed mostraron una preocupaci\u00f3n persistente por la inflaci\u00f3n, los datos m\u00e1s recientes han reducido las expectativas de una subida de tasas inminente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Actualmente, los mercados descuentan una probabilidad del 32.7% de una subida de tasas de la Fed en la pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00f3n, frente al 47% de hace un mes. Una perspectiva menos agresiva por parte de la Fed podr\u00eda limitar la ca\u00edda del AUD\/USD a pesar de los d\u00e9biles datos de empleo australianos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El AUD\/USD mantiene una estructura alcista en el gr\u00e1fico diario, con el precio formando m\u00ednimos crecientes desde el m\u00ednimo de julio cerca de 0.6865 y manteni\u00e9ndose por encima de una l\u00ednea de tendencia ascendente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La resistencia inmediata se encuentra en 0.7137, correspondiente al nivel Fibonacci 0.618. Una ruptura por encima de este nivel podr\u00eda poner en el foco 0.7190 y el nivel psicol\u00f3gico de 0.7200. Un movimiento sostenido por encima de 0.7200 podr\u00eda abrir el camino hacia el m\u00e1ximo anterior cerca de 0.7278.<\/p>\n\n\n\nGr\u00e1fico AUDUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
A la baja, 0.7072 es el soporte clave, situado en el nivel Fibonacci 0.5. Una ruptura decisiva por debajo de este nivel podr\u00eda debilitar la estructura alcista y abrir el camino hacia 0.7023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El momentum contin\u00faa siendo favorable, con el RSI alrededor de 64.55 y el MACD todav\u00eda en territorio alcista. Esto sugiere que la reciente ca\u00edda se interpreta actualmente mejor como un retroceso que como una reversi\u00f3n bajista confirmada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El AUD\/USD se encuentra entre unos fundamentos australianos d\u00e9biles y un d\u00f3lar estadounidense potencialmente menos fuerte. Por ello, los niveles t\u00e9cnicos ser\u00e1n cruciales: una ruptura por encima de 0.7137 podr\u00eda reactivar el impulso alcista hacia 0.7190\u20130.7200, mientras que una ca\u00edda por debajo de 0.7072 indicar\u00eda que la recuperaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 perdiendo fuerza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por ahora, la estructura alcista general permanece intacta, pero los traders deber\u00e1n vigilar si el shock del mercado laboral australiano es suficientemente fuerte como para provocar una ruptura t\u00e9cnica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El empleo australiano cae inesperadamente, pero la recuperaci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica del d\u00f3lar australiano se mantiene intacta mientras los traders vigilan los […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[5234,4649,4651,4380,5472,4009],"class_list":["post-122079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-aud-usd","tag-dolar-australiano","tag-mercado-forex","tag-onequity-insights","tag-perspectivas-de-tasas-de-la-fed","tag-rba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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