{"id":122028,"date":"2026-08-18T06:34:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T04:34:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=122028"},"modified":"2026-08-18T06:38:58","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T04:38:58","slug":"petroleo-cerca-de-90-por-ormuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/petroleo-cerca-de-90-por-ormuz\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr\u00f3leo Cerca de $90 por Ormuz"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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Los precios del petr\u00f3leo se mantuvieron elevados durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del martes, mientras los traders evaluaban el deterioro de las tensiones entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e1n frente al riesgo de nuevas interrupciones en los env\u00edos de crudo a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz. El Brent subi\u00f3 alrededor de un 0,3% hasta los $91,09 por barril, mientras que el WTI avanz\u00f3 un 0,4% hasta los $84,85, manteniendo ambos referentes cerca de sus niveles m\u00e1s altos de las \u00faltimas semanas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El \u00faltimo movimiento se produjo despu\u00e9s de que expirara un memorando de 60 d\u00edas entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e1n sin que se alcanzara un acuerdo de paz permanente. El presidente Donald Trump afirm\u00f3 que Washington no extender\u00eda el acuerdo, mientras que Ir\u00e1n advirti\u00f3 que podr\u00eda adoptar una postura militar m\u00e1s ofensiva si fracasa la diplomacia. El deterioro de las negociaciones ha aumentado las preocupaciones de que el conflicto pueda continuar afectando los flujos energ\u00e9ticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El estrecho de Ormuz se encuentra en el centro de la atenci\u00f3n del mercado. Antes del conflicto, aproximadamente una quinta parte de los suministros mundiales de petr\u00f3leo y gas natural licuado transitaban por esta v\u00eda mar\u00edtima. La actividad naviera reciente ha disminuido considerablemente, con Reuters informando que solo cinco petroleros cruzaron el estrecho el s\u00e1bado y ninguno lo hizo el domingo, frente a los 31 buques que lo atravesaron durante el fin de semana anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los esfuerzos diplom\u00e1ticos en los que participan Om\u00e1n e Ir\u00e1n han ofrecido cierta esperanza de restablecer el tr\u00e1fico mar\u00edtimo a trav\u00e9s del estrecho, pero todav\u00eda no se ha alcanzado un acuerdo definitivo. Las amenazas de Trump contra Om\u00e1n han a\u00f1adido otra capa de incertidumbre, ya que el pa\u00eds ha desempe\u00f1ado un papel importante en la facilitaci\u00f3n de las comunicaciones entre Washington y Teher\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

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Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, el petr\u00f3leo crudo contin\u00faa mostrando un s\u00f3lido respaldo despu\u00e9s de que el Brent superara el nivel psicol\u00f3gico de $90. El WTI tambi\u00e9n se mantiene por encima de $84, mientras que la reciente acci\u00f3n del precio indica que los compradores todav\u00eda est\u00e1n dispuestos a defender el mercado cerca de los m\u00e1ximos recientes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para el Brent, $90 representa la principal zona de soporte a corto plazo. Mantenerse por encima de este nivel mantendr\u00eda intacta la estructura alcista y podr\u00eda abrir el camino hacia la zona de $92\u2013$95 si las tensiones geopol\u00edticas se intensifican. Sin embargo, una ruptura sostenida por encima de $95 probablemente requerir\u00eda un deterioro m\u00e1s claro de las condiciones de transporte mar\u00edtimo en Ormuz, y no solo nuevos titulares geopol\u00edticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En el caso del WTI, la zona de $84\u2013$85 representa el principal campo de batalla t\u00e9cnico inmediato. Un movimiento por encima de los m\u00e1ximos recientes, alrededor de $85, podr\u00eda fortalecer el impulso alcista, mientras que una p\u00e9rdida del nivel de $84 aumentar\u00eda la probabilidad de una correcci\u00f3n hacia niveles de soporte inferiores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por lo tanto, la configuraci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica sigue siendo alcista, pero altamente sensible a las noticias. Los traders deber\u00edan vigilar tanto la estructura del precio como los acontecimientos relacionados con Ormuz, en lugar de asumir que cada escalada geopol\u00edtica provocar\u00e1 autom\u00e1ticamente otro rally sostenido del petr\u00f3leo. El mercado ya ha demostrado que las rutas alternativas de suministro, los inventarios y las preocupaciones sobre la demanda pueden limitar el potencial alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El petr\u00f3leo cotiza actualmente en la intersecci\u00f3n entre el impulso t\u00e9cnico y el riesgo geopol\u00edtico. Cualquier avance cre\u00edble hacia la reapertura del estrecho de Ormuz podr\u00eda desencadenar una fuerte reversi\u00f3n del crudo, mientras que nuevos ataques, un estancamiento diplom\u00e1tico o mayores restricciones al tr\u00e1fico de petroleros podr\u00edan impulsar los precios al alza. Para los traders, esto convierte a $90 en el nivel clave del Brent y a $84\u2013$85 en la zona importante del WTI, al tiempo que aumenta el riesgo de volatilidad repentina, movimientos amplios y falsas rupturas a medida que aparecen nuevos titulares en el mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los precios del petr\u00f3leo se mantuvieron elevados durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del martes, mientras los traders evaluaban el deterioro de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[5462,3941,4548,4380,3760,3940],"class_list":["post-122028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-brent-crude","tag-crude-oil","tag-oil-prices","tag-onequity-insights","tag-technical-analysis-es","tag-wti"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPetr\u00f3leo Cerca de $90 por Ormuz - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Los precios del petr\u00f3leo se mantienen cerca de m\u00e1ximos recientes ante las tensiones entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e1n y los riesgos en el estrecho de Ormuz. 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