{"id":121995,"date":"2026-08-13T07:46:04","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T05:46:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=121995"},"modified":"2026-08-13T07:53:18","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T05:53:18","slug":"xauusd-prueba-4-450-mientras-la-fed-suaviza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/xauusd-prueba-4-450-mientras-la-fed-suaviza\/","title":{"rendered":"XAUUSD Prueba $4.450 Mientras la Fed Suaviza"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los precios del oro se mantuvieron ampliamente estables este jueves 13 de agosto, despu\u00e9s de alcanzar en la sesi\u00f3n anterior un nuevo m\u00e1ximo de dos meses. El \u00faltimo movimiento se produjo cuando unos datos de inflaci\u00f3n de Estados Unidos m\u00e1s moderados de lo esperado redujeron las expectativas de un endurecimiento monetario a corto plazo por parte de la Reserva Federal, brindando un mayor respaldo al lingote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

XAU\/USD cotizaba alrededor de $4.407,78 por onza, mientras que los futuros del oro se situaban cerca de $4.466,10. La plata tambi\u00e9n se fortaleci\u00f3, mientras que el platino retrocedi\u00f3 ligeramente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El oro lleg\u00f3 a subir un 0,9% el mi\u00e9rcoles, alcanzando aproximadamente los $4.450 antes de ceder parte de sus ganancias. El repunte se produjo despu\u00e9s de que los datos del \u00edndice de precios al consumidor (IPC) de Estados Unidos correspondientes a julio mostraran que la inflaci\u00f3n mensual aument\u00f3 apenas un 0,1%, en l\u00ednea con las expectativas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La lectura relativamente moderada del IPC sugiri\u00f3 que el aumento de los costos energ\u00e9ticos relacionados con las tensiones persistentes en Oriente Medio a\u00fan no hab\u00eda provocado un nuevo shock inflacionario significativo. Esto ayud\u00f3 a reducir la presi\u00f3n sobre la Reserva Federal para subir las tasas de inter\u00e9s en el corto plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Las expectativas del mercado sobre una subida de tasas en septiembre tambi\u00e9n disminuyeron tras la publicaci\u00f3n de los datos. Seg\u00fan CME FedWatch, la probabilidad cay\u00f3 hasta aproximadamente el 38%-40%, frente al 46% registrado antes de conocerse el IPC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, la estructura del oro ha mejorado despu\u00e9s de que el metal recuperara el nivel psicol\u00f3gico de $4.000 y superara su media m\u00f3vil de 100 d\u00edas por primera vez desde abril.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La zona de $4.400-$4.450 se ha convertido ahora en una importante \u00e1rea de resistencia. Una ruptura sostenida por encima de $4.450 podr\u00eda fortalecer el impulso alcista y abrir el camino hacia la zona de $4.499, donde actualmente se encuentra la media m\u00f3vil de 200 d\u00edas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sin embargo, la incapacidad de superar esta resistencia podr\u00eda provocar una toma de ganancias, especialmente despu\u00e9s de la fuerte recuperaci\u00f3n reciente del oro. En ese escenario, los traders podr\u00edan vigilar los niveles de $4.400 y la zona m\u00e1s amplia de $4.000 como importantes referencias a la baja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por lo tanto, el panorama t\u00e9cnico sigue siendo constructivo, aunque el oro se aproxima a una zona en la que los vendedores podr\u00edan aumentar su actividad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Actualmente, el oro se encuentra entre dos fuerzas opuestas: unas expectativas m\u00e1s moderadas respecto a la Fed respaldan los precios, mientras que los riesgos relacionados con el petr\u00f3leo y la geopol\u00edtica podr\u00edan reavivar la inflaci\u00f3n y limitar la capacidad de la Fed para recortar las tasas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para los traders, la resistencia de $4.450 es especialmente importante. Una ruptura decisiva podr\u00eda indicar que el impulso alcista est\u00e1 regresando, mientras que un rechazo en torno a este nivel podr\u00eda provocar una correcci\u00f3n a corto plazo. Al mismo tiempo, los pr\u00f3ximos datos del IPP de Estados Unidos, las cifras de empleo, los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro, el d\u00f3lar estadounidense y los comentarios de la Fed podr\u00edan cambiar r\u00e1pidamente las expectativas sobre las tasas y, en consecuencia, la direcci\u00f3n del XAU\/USD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los precios del oro se mantuvieron ampliamente estables este jueves 13 de agosto, despu\u00e9s de alcanzar en la sesi\u00f3n anterior […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[5449,4993,4380,5448,5384],"class_list":["post-121995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-tecnico-de-xauusd","tag-analisis-tecnico-del-oro","tag-onequity-insights","tag-precio-del-oro","tag-xau-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nXAUUSD Prueba $4.450 Mientras la Fed Suaviza - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"XAU\/USD se mantiene por encima de $4.400 mientras un IPC estadounidense m\u00e1s moderado reduce las expectativas de subidas de tasas de la Fed. 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