{"id":121981,"date":"2026-08-12T07:38:45","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T05:38:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=121981"},"modified":"2026-08-12T07:47:56","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T05:47:56","slug":"eurusd-cerca-de-11500-antes-del-cpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/eurusd-cerca-de-11500-antes-del-cpi\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Cerca de 1,1500 Antes del CPI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EUR\/USD se mantuvo estable alrededor de 1.1500 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del mi\u00e9rcoles 12 de agosto, mientras los operadores adoptaban una postura cautelosa antes de los principales datos de inflaci\u00f3n de EE. UU. y Alemania. El par ha cotizado en un rango estrecho durante la \u00faltima semana, a la espera de nuevas se\u00f1ales sobre las perspectivas de tasas de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El principal foco est\u00e1 en el \u00cdndice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC) de EE. UU., que se publicar\u00e1 hoy, seguido del \u00cdndice de Precios al Productor (IPP) el jueves. Ambos informes podr\u00edan influir en las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica futura de la Fed y en la direcci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar estadounidense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Una inflaci\u00f3n superior a lo esperado podr\u00eda aumentar las expectativas de tasas estadounidenses m\u00e1s altas, impulsando los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro y al USD. Por el contrario, una inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s moderada podr\u00eda reforzar las expectativas de una Fed menos agresiva y dar margen de recuperaci\u00f3n al EUR\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Las tensiones geopol\u00edticas tambi\u00e9n generan incertidumbre en el mercado de divisas. Los precios del crudo han subido recientemente a su nivel m\u00e1s alto en aproximadamente una semana y media debido a nuevas preocupaciones sobre el estrecho de Ormuz y los ataques contra rutas mar\u00edtimas en el mar Rojo y Bab el-Mandeb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El aumento del petr\u00f3leo puede incrementar las presiones inflacionarias y llevar a los bancos centrales a mantener pol\u00edticas monetarias m\u00e1s restrictivas. Al mismo tiempo, la incertidumbre geopol\u00edtica suele favorecer al d\u00f3lar estadounidense como activo refugio. Estos factores est\u00e1n limitando actualmente el potencial alcista del EUR\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HICP de Alemania en el foco<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El \u00cdndice Armonizado de Precios de Consumo (HICP) de Alemania correspondiente a julio tambi\u00e9n ser\u00e1 relevante. Como la mayor econom\u00eda de la eurozona, los datos de inflaci\u00f3n alemanes pueden influir en las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica del Banco Central Europeo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Una lectura superior a lo esperado podr\u00eda respaldar al euro al se\u00f1alar que las presiones inflacionarias siguen siendo persistentes. Sin embargo, la direcci\u00f3n inmediata del par probablemente seguir\u00e1 dependiendo en gran medida de los movimientos del d\u00f3lar y del pr\u00f3ximo IPC estadounidense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EUR\/USD contin\u00faa por debajo de niveles clave de resistencia. La media m\u00f3vil simple (SMA) de 100 d\u00edas se sit\u00faa alrededor de 1.1567, mientras que el retroceso de Fibonacci del 50% est\u00e1 cerca de 1.1562. Una ruptura sostenida por encima de esta zona podr\u00eda fortalecer el impulso alcista. A la baja, el soporte inicial se encuentra alrededor de 1.1506, seguido de 1.1437.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Una ca\u00edda por debajo de 1.1506 podr\u00eda aumentar el riesgo de nuevas p\u00e9rdidas, mientras que una subida por encima de 1.1567 podr\u00eda abrir la puerta a mayores ganancias. Este escenario es relevante porque EUR\/USD se encuentra en consolidaci\u00f3n antes de unos datos que podr\u00edan modificar significativamente las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria estadounidense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un IPC estadounidense m\u00e1s alto de lo previsto podr\u00eda fortalecer al USD y presionar al EUR\/USD a la baja, mientras que una inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil podr\u00eda reducir las expectativas de una pol\u00edtica m\u00e1s restrictiva de la Fed y respaldar al par.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los operadores deber\u00edan vigilar la zona de resistencia de 1.1562\u20131.1567 y el \u00e1rea de soporte de 1.1506\u20131.1437. La reacci\u00f3n al IPC estadounidense, junto con los movimientos de los rendimientos del Tesoro, los precios del petr\u00f3leo y el riesgo geopol\u00edtico, podr\u00eda determinar la pr\u00f3xima direcci\u00f3n importante del par.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD se mantuvo estable alrededor de 1.1500 durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del mi\u00e9rcoles 12 de agosto, mientras los operadores adoptaban […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":121978,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[862],"tags":[5444,5443,4380,4631,3950],"class_list":["post-121981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-currencies","tag-cpi-ee-uu","tag-hicp-alemania","tag-onequity-insights","tag-reserva-federal","tag-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEURUSD Cerca de 1,1500 Antes del CPI - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EUR\/USD se consolida cerca de 1.1500 mientras los operadores esperan el IPC de EE. 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