{"id":121849,"date":"2026-08-04T07:51:51","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T05:51:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=121849"},"modified":"2026-08-04T07:56:03","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T05:56:03","slug":"eur-usd-cerca-de-1-1500-antes-del-nfp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/eur-usd-cerca-de-1-1500-antes-del-nfp\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Cerca de 1.1500 Antes del NFP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El par EUR\/USD cotiz\u00f3 pr\u00e1cticamente sin cambios por encima del nivel de 1.1500 durante la sesi\u00f3n europea del martes 4 de agosto, mientras los inversores permanec\u00edan cautelosos antes del esperado informe de N\u00f3minas No Agr\u00edcolas (NFP) de Estados Unidos del viernes, un dato que podr\u00eda modificar las expectativas sobre la pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Reserva Federal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al momento de redactar este informe, el par se situaba alrededor de 1.1505. Los operadores evitaron tomar posiciones agresivas mientras esperaban nuevas se\u00f1ales sobre la fortaleza del mercado laboral estadounidense y las perspectivas de las tasas de inter\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El euro encontr\u00f3 un apoyo moderado despu\u00e9s de que los \u00faltimos datos de inflaci\u00f3n de la Eurozona reforzaran las expectativas de que el Banco Central Europeo (BCE) mantendr\u00e1 una pol\u00edtica monetaria restrictiva. La inflaci\u00f3n general aument\u00f3 al 2,9% interanual en julio desde el 2,8% registrado en junio, mientras que la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente se aceler\u00f3 al 2,5%, superando tanto la lectura anterior como las previsiones del mercado. Estas cifras fortalecieron las expectativas de nuevas subidas de tasas por parte del BCE en los pr\u00f3ximos meses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La atenci\u00f3n del mercado se centra ahora en el informe de N\u00f3minas No Agr\u00edcolas del viernes. Los economistas esperan que la econom\u00eda estadounidense haya creado 83.000 empleos en julio y que la tasa de desempleo aumente ligeramente hasta el 4,3%. Actualmente, los mercados asignan una probabilidad del 64,7% a una subida de tasas de la Reserva Federal en septiembre. Un informe laboral m\u00e1s s\u00f3lido de lo esperado podr\u00eda fortalecer al d\u00f3lar estadounidense y presionar al EUR\/USD, mientras que unos datos m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles podr\u00edan favorecer nuevas ganancias para el euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lisis T\u00e9cnico<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, el EUR\/USD mantiene un sesgo bajista a corto plazo al continuar cotizando por debajo de su media m\u00f3vil simple (SMA) de 100 d\u00edas. Aunque el precio permanece por encima de la SMA de 20 d\u00edas de las Bandas de Bollinger, su cercan\u00eda a la banda superior sugiere que el potencial alcista sigue siendo limitado. El \u00cdndice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI) de 14 d\u00edas se sit\u00faa alrededor de 58,9, lo que indica una p\u00e9rdida gradual del impulso alcista m\u00e1s que un cambio claro de tendencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La resistencia inmediata se encuentra cerca de 1.1535, seguida por la SMA de 100 d\u00edas alrededor de 1.1570. En el lado bajista, la zona de 1.1510 act\u00faa como primer soporte, con niveles adicionales en 1.1435 y cerca de 1.1335, donde se ubica la banda inferior de Bollinger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El EUR\/USD se acerca a un punto de inflexi\u00f3n importante tanto desde el punto de vista t\u00e9cnico como fundamental. Mientras la inflaci\u00f3n de la Eurozona sigue respaldando las expectativas de nuevas subidas de tasas del BCE, el informe NFP del viernes probablemente determinar\u00e1 si el d\u00f3lar recupera impulso o prolonga su reciente debilidad. Con el par operando cerca de niveles t\u00e9cnicos clave, la publicaci\u00f3n de los datos podr\u00eda generar una fuerte volatilidad en el mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para los operadores de forex, el informe NFP podr\u00eda definir la direcci\u00f3n del EUR\/USD durante las pr\u00f3ximas semanas. Un dato de empleo superior a las expectativas reforzar\u00eda la posibilidad de otra subida de tasas por parte de la Reserva Federal, fortaleciendo al d\u00f3lar y presionando al par a la baja. En cambio, un informe m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil podr\u00eda reducir las expectativas de endurecimiento monetario, debilitar al d\u00f3lar y favorecer un mayor avance del euro durante agosto.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El par EUR\/USD cotiz\u00f3 pr\u00e1cticamente sin cambios por encima del nivel de 1.1500 durante la sesi\u00f3n europea del martes 4 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[5390,5392,4380,3760,5389],"class_list":["post-121849","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-eur-usd-news","tag-eurozone-inflation","tag-onequity-insights","tag-technical-analysis-es","tag-us-nonfarm-payrolls"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEURUSD Cerca de 1.1500 Antes del NFP - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EUR\/USD cotiza cerca de 1.1500 antes del informe NFP de EE. 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