{"id":121817,"date":"2026-07-30T09:30:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T07:30:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=121817"},"modified":"2026-07-30T09:38:59","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T07:38:59","slug":"xauusd-rebota-por-cobertura-de-cortos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/xauusd-rebota-por-cobertura-de-cortos\/","title":{"rendered":"XAUUSD Rebota por Cobertura de Cortos"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Los precios del oro registraron un ligero avance el jueves 30 de julio, impulsados por la cobertura de posiciones cortas que permiti\u00f3 al metal precioso recuperarse de las p\u00e9rdidas iniciales, aunque la fortaleza del d\u00f3lar estadounidense y el aumento de los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro de EE. UU. continuaron limitando el impulso alcista. Los inversores se mantuvieron cautelosos tras la \u00faltima reuni\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Reserva Federal, mientras el mercado centra ahora su atenci\u00f3n en los pr\u00f3ximos datos de inflaci\u00f3n, que podr\u00edan influir en la siguiente decisi\u00f3n sobre los tipos de inter\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La Reserva Federal mantuvo sin cambios su tipo de inter\u00e9s de referencia en el rango de 3,50%-3,75% por quinta reuni\u00f3n consecutiva, en l\u00ednea con las expectativas del mercado. Sin embargo, el sentimiento sigui\u00f3 siendo restrictivo despu\u00e9s de que tres miembros del Comit\u00e9 Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC) votaran a favor de un aumento de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos, reforzando las expectativas de que a\u00fan es posible una nueva subida en la reuni\u00f3n de septiembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los inversores esperan ahora la publicaci\u00f3n del \u00cdndice de Precios de los Gastos de Consumo Personal (PCE) de Estados Unidos, la medida de inflaci\u00f3n preferida por la Reserva Federal. Se espera que estos datos desempe\u00f1en un papel clave en la formaci\u00f3n de las expectativas sobre la reuni\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria de septiembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La demanda f\u00edsica de oro mostr\u00f3 un comportamiento mixto en Asia. Las importaciones de oro de China a trav\u00e9s de Hong Kong disminuyeron respecto al mes anterior, aunque la demanda en la China continental se mantuvo relativamente s\u00f3lida. En India, la menor demanda de joyer\u00eda llev\u00f3 a los distribuidores a ofrecer descuentos m\u00e1s amplios, ya que los elevados precios internacionales desalentaron las compras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, el XAU\/USD contin\u00faa cotizando por debajo de una l\u00ednea de tendencia descendente bien definida, lo que indica que la tendencia general de medio plazo sigue siendo bajista. Aunque los precios se han estabilizado tras rebotar desde la zona de soporte de US$3.942, los compradores a\u00fan no han logrado generar el impulso suficiente para confirmar un cambio de tendencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Actualmente, el precio se sit\u00faa alrededor de US$4.047, ligeramente por encima del nivel de retroceso de Fibonacci del 23,6% cercano a US$4.046, lo que sugiere que los compradores intentan defender este soporte inmediato. Sin embargo, el oro permanece por debajo del nivel de Fibonacci del 38,2% en torno a US$4.100 y del retroceso del 50% cerca de US$4.162, ambos considerados importantes zonas de resistencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nGr\u00e1fico Diario de XAUUSD<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
El RSI se mantiene alrededor de 45, lo que refleja un impulso entre neutral y bajista, sin se\u00f1ales claras de condiciones de sobrecompra o sobreventa. Mientras tanto, el MACD contin\u00faa por debajo de la l\u00ednea cero, aunque el histograma sigue mejorando, lo que indica que el impulso bajista se est\u00e1 debilitando gradualmente. Una ruptura sostenida por encima de la l\u00ednea de tendencia descendente y de la zona de resistencia entre US$4.100 y US$4.160 reforzar\u00eda el escenario de una recuperaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s amplia hacia el nivel de Fibonacci del 61,8%, situado cerca de US$4.234. Por el contrario, si el precio no logra mantenerse por encima de US$4.046, el oro podr\u00eda enfrentarse a una renovada presi\u00f3n vendedora, con US$3.942 como el siguiente soporte clave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Este desarrollo es especialmente importante para los traders porque el oro cotiza actualmente en un punto de convergencia entre factores fundamentales y t\u00e9cnicos de gran relevancia. Aunque la cobertura de posiciones cortas y la incertidumbre geopol\u00edtica siguen ofreciendo respaldo al metal precioso, el tono restrictivo de la Reserva Federal, el aumento de los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro y la fortaleza del d\u00f3lar estadounidense contin\u00faan representando importantes obst\u00e1culos para nuevas subidas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Con la publicaci\u00f3n del informe de inflaci\u00f3n PCE de Estados Unidos cada vez m\u00e1s cerca, los traders deben prepararse para un aumento de la volatilidad en el XAU\/USD. Un dato de inflaci\u00f3n superior a lo esperado podr\u00eda reforzar las expectativas de una pol\u00edtica monetaria m\u00e1s restrictiva, mientras que una cifra m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil podr\u00eda aumentar las esperanzas de una Reserva Federal m\u00e1s flexible y respaldar nuevas ganancias para el oro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los precios del oro registraron un ligero avance el jueves 30 de julio, impulsados por la cobertura de posiciones cortas […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[867],"tags":[4604,4067,4380,3760,5384],"class_list":["post-121817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-commodity-market","tag-gold","tag-onequity-insights","tag-technical-analysis-es","tag-xau-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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