Puntos Clave a Seguir<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Resultados de Alphabet y Tesla<\/strong>
Los mercados se centrar\u00e1n en las perspectivas de inversi\u00f3n de Alphabet en inteligencia artificial y en las tendencias de demanda de Tesla, especialmente en China y Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Intel y el Sector de los Semiconductores<\/strong>
Los resultados y las previsiones de Intel podr\u00edan determinar si la reciente correcci\u00f3n del sector de los chips es temporal o si se\u00f1ala una desaceleraci\u00f3n m\u00e1s amplia de las inversiones en IA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
PMI Preliminares y Mercado Inmobiliario<\/strong>
Los PMI del viernes y las ventas de viviendas nuevas en Estados Unidos ofrecer\u00e1n nuevas se\u00f1ales sobre el ritmo de la actividad econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Riesgos en Oriente Medio<\/strong>
La evoluci\u00f3n de la situaci\u00f3n en el Estrecho de Ormuz y Bab el-Mandeb seguir\u00e1 siendo un factor clave para los precios del petr\u00f3leo y el sentimiento del mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Reserva Federal<\/strong>
Los mercados estar\u00e1n atentos a los \u00faltimos comentarios de los funcionarios de la Fed antes del per\u00edodo de silencio del FOMC en busca de pistas sobre la trayectoria de las tasas de inter\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Am\u00e9ricas: Resultados Corporativos y Energ\u00eda<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Esta semana pondr\u00e1 a prueba la narrativa de un entorno de tasas de inter\u00e9s altas durante m\u00e1s tiempo, pero con una econom\u00eda a\u00fan resiliente. Los resultados de General Motors ofrecer\u00e1n informaci\u00f3n sobre la demanda de veh\u00edculos en Norteam\u00e9rica y sobre la capacidad de los fabricantes para absorber las presiones derivadas de los aranceles y el aumento de los costos de producci\u00f3n. Por su parte, los resultados de Domino\u2019s podr\u00edan ofrecer una primera se\u00f1al sobre el comportamiento del gasto de los consumidores m\u00e1s sensibles al precio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sin embargo, el principal catalizador del mercado ser\u00e1 determinar si los beneficios del sector tecnol\u00f3gico e industrial pueden compensar el impacto inflacionario derivado del aumento de los precios de la energ\u00eda. Si el Brent se mantiene entre 90 y 95 d\u00f3lares por barril, es probable que la inflaci\u00f3n general aumente en las pr\u00f3ximas semanas, revirtiendo parte del optimismo generado por el IPC moderado de junio. Mientras tanto, el rendimiento del bono del Tesoro estadounidense a dos a\u00f1os contin\u00faa atrapado entre una inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s moderada y el alza del petr\u00f3leo, lo que sugiere una volatilidad persistente en las tasas de corto plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Europa y Divisas: Los PMI en el Centro de Atenci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los PMI preliminares del viernes ser\u00e1n especialmente importantes para Europa debido a la fuerte dependencia energ\u00e9tica de la regi\u00f3n. Una lectura m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil, especialmente en el sector manufacturero alem\u00e1n, reforzar\u00eda las preocupaciones sobre una desaceleraci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica mientras el Banco Central Europeo mantiene una postura relativamente restrictiva frente a la inflaci\u00f3n. Ese escenario aumentar\u00eda las expectativas de una flexibilizaci\u00f3n monetaria m\u00e1s temprana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los resultados de Ryanair tambi\u00e9n podr\u00edan mostrar hasta qu\u00e9 punto las aerol\u00edneas son capaces de trasladar el aumento de los costos del combustible a los precios de los billetes. Mientras tanto, el EUR\/USD sigue equilibrado entre la demanda del d\u00f3lar estadounidense como activo refugio y las preocupaciones por el crecimiento europeo. Los rendimientos de los bonos brit\u00e1nicos (gilts) permanecen elevados, y el aumento de los precios de la energ\u00eda probablemente seguir\u00e1 presionando el gasto de los hogares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Asia y Materias Primas: Semiconductores y Energ\u00eda<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los mercados asi\u00e1ticos comienzan la semana a\u00fan recuper\u00e1ndose de la reciente venta masiva en el sector de los semiconductores. Las bolsas de Corea del Sur permanecen muy por debajo de sus m\u00e1ximos de junio, mientras que Taiw\u00e1n contin\u00faa en territorio de correcci\u00f3n. Los resultados de Intel y las perspectivas de gasto de capital de Alphabet ser\u00e1n fundamentales para el sentimiento del sector tecnol\u00f3gico regional. Al mismo tiempo, cualquier interrupci\u00f3n en el Estrecho de Ormuz o Bab el-Mandeb podr\u00eda incrementar a\u00fan m\u00e1s los costos energ\u00e9ticos para las econom\u00edas asi\u00e1ticas dependientes de las importaciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El oro ha ganado fuerza gracias al aumento de las tensiones geopol\u00edticas y podr\u00eda seguir atrayendo demanda como activo refugio si el conflicto se intensifica. Por su parte, el yen japon\u00e9s contin\u00faa dividido entre los flujos hacia activos seguros y el diferencial de tasas de inter\u00e9s con Estados Unidos, mientras que el petr\u00f3leo probablemente seguir\u00e1 siendo el principal impulsor de los mercados durante la semana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Conclusi\u00f3n<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La semana del 20 al 24 de julio se perfila como una de las m\u00e1s intensas del verano. Alrededor de 77 empresas del S&P 500, incluidas Tesla, Alphabet e Intel, publicar\u00e1n sus resultados. Los inversores tambi\u00e9n seguir\u00e1n de cerca los PMI preliminares del viernes, las ventas de viviendas nuevas en Estados Unidos y los \u00faltimos comentarios de los funcionarios de la Reserva Federal antes del inicio del per\u00edodo de silencio previo a la reuni\u00f3n del FOMC del 28\u201329 de julio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Aunque el IPC moderado de la semana pasada mejor\u00f3 el sentimiento del mercado, el Brent cerca de los 88 d\u00f3lares por barril y las persistentes tensiones geopol\u00edticas en Oriente Medio mantienen a los mercados expuestos a nuevos episodios de volatilidad. Las previsiones de gasto de capital de las grandes tecnol\u00f3gicas, los PMI globales y los acontecimientos en el Estrecho de Ormuz y Bab el-Mandeb probablemente ser\u00e1n los principales impulsores de los activos de riesgo durante esta semana.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Los mercados globales inician la cuarta semana de julio con la temporada de resultados corporativos entrando en su fase m\u00e1s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":113461,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[870],"tags":[4206,4583,3796,4630],"class_list":["post-121472","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-weekly-outlook","tag-forex","tag-mercado-bursatil","tag-nasdaq-es","tag-perspectiva-semanal-del-mercado"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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