{"id":121192,"date":"2026-07-08T08:51:28","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T06:51:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=121192"},"modified":"2026-07-08T10:02:41","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T08:02:41","slug":"brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\/","title":{"rendered":"Brent Sube por Tensiones en Ormuz"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los precios del crudo Brent repuntaron con fuerza esta semana despu\u00e9s de que el resurgimiento de las tensiones geopol\u00edticas en el Estrecho de Ormuz reavivara la preocupaci\u00f3n por el suministro mundial de petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El martes, los futuros del Brent cerraron con una subida del 3%, hasta los 74,16 d\u00f3lares por barril, mientras que el WTI avanz\u00f3 un 2,8%, hasta los 70,44 d\u00f3lares, tras el ataque de Ir\u00e1n a un buque de GNL de Catar y a otras embarcaciones cerca del Estrecho de Ormuz. Despu\u00e9s del cierre del mercado, los precios ampliaron sus ganancias cuando Estados Unidos revoc\u00f3 la licencia de Ir\u00e1n para vender su petr\u00f3leo. El Brent se dispar\u00f3 un 5,6%, hasta los 76,04 d\u00f3lares, mientras que el WTI subi\u00f3 un 5,4%, hasta los 72,25 d\u00f3lares, en las operaciones posteriores al cierre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El repunte continu\u00f3 el mi\u00e9rcoles tras nuevos ataques de represalia por parte de Estados Unidos. Bloomberg describi\u00f3 la escalada como la mayor jornada de ataques en el Estrecho de Ormuz desde el acuerdo de paz entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e1n, mientras que Associated Press inform\u00f3 del mayor n\u00famero de ataques contra petroleros en un solo d\u00eda desde finales de abril, citando a la Organizaci\u00f3n Mar\u00edtima Internacional de la ONU. Este fuerte giro se produce despu\u00e9s de que los precios del crudo hubieran ca\u00eddo recientemente hasta m\u00ednimos de cuatro meses a medida que se recuperaba el suministro procedente del Golfo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Esa recuperaci\u00f3n vuelve ahora a estar bajo presi\u00f3n. Antes de la \u00faltima escalada, los flujos de petr\u00f3leo a trav\u00e9s del Estrecho de Ormuz se hab\u00edan ido normalizando gradualmente. Los Emiratos \u00c1rabes Unidos aumentaron su producci\u00f3n de crudo por encima de los 3,8 millones de barriles diarios en junio, el nivel m\u00e1s alto desde abril de 2020 y superior a los niveles previos al conflicto. Al mismo tiempo, la OPEP+ continu\u00f3 incrementando sus cuotas de producci\u00f3n y diversos informes se\u00f1alaron que los superpetroleros vinculados a Jap\u00f3n hab\u00edan reanudado sus tr\u00e1nsitos por el estrecho.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sin embargo, la actividad mar\u00edtima segu\u00eda por debajo de lo habitual. A principios de julio, un proveedor de seguimiento estim\u00f3 que el n\u00famero de tr\u00e1nsitos diarios representaba aproximadamente una cuarta parte de los niveles previos al conflicto. Las primas de los seguros de riesgo de guerra permanec\u00edan elevadas y muchas grandes navieras segu\u00edan desviando sus rutas alrededor del Cabo de Buena Esperanza en lugar de cruzar el Estrecho de Ormuz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Seg\u00fan el CENTCOM, los ataques nocturnos alcanzaron m\u00e1s de 80 objetivos militares iran\u00edes, incluidos sistemas de defensa a\u00e9rea, redes de mando y control, instalaciones de radar costero, emplazamientos de misiles antibuque y m\u00e1s de 60 peque\u00f1as embarcaciones del Cuerpo de la Guardia Revolucionaria Isl\u00e1mica (IRGC) que operaban dentro y alrededor del estrecho. Tambi\u00e9n se registraron explosiones en Bandar Abbas, Sirik y la isla de Qeshm, con varios heridos por metralla.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El presidente del Parlamento iran\u00ed, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, acus\u00f3 a Washington de violar el memorando de entendimiento y advirti\u00f3 que \u00abla era de la intimidaci\u00f3n y la extorsi\u00f3n ha terminado\u00bb, subrayando la creciente presi\u00f3n sobre el alto el fuego alcanzado en junio y la renovada incertidumbre que afrontan los mercados mundiales del petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tras alcanzar un m\u00e1ximo de 120,50 d\u00f3lares en nuestra plataforma el 30 de abril, el UK Oil retrocedi\u00f3 hasta los 70,15 d\u00f3lares el 2 de julio, lo que representa una ca\u00edda del 41,8% en 38 sesiones de negociaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Este descenso llev\u00f3 al \u00edndice de referencia por debajo del cierre del 27 de febrero, situado en 73,52 d\u00f3lares, y complet\u00f3 una nueva prueba de la l\u00ednea de tendencia bajista de largo plazo que hab\u00eda sido superada con decisi\u00f3n al inicio del conflicto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nBrent, gr\u00e1fico diario, marzo de 2023 \u2013 actualidad<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El repunte de ayer impuls\u00f3 los precios nuevamente por encima tanto de la resistencia de la l\u00ednea de tendencia como del nivel de 74 d\u00f3lares, que hab\u00eda marcado el m\u00e1ximo de finales de febrero. Tanto el RSI como el MACD comenzaron a recuperarse desde condiciones de sobreventa. Aunque el MACD contin\u00faa en territorio negativo, ya ha generado un cruce alcista. El volumen de negociaci\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n alcanz\u00f3 su nivel m\u00e1s alto desde el 7 de mayo, cuando el UK Oil cerr\u00f3 ligeramente por debajo de los 100 d\u00f3lares antes de acelerar su ca\u00edda durante el mes siguiente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica m\u00e1s amplia, las principales resistencias se sit\u00faan en 81,20 y 87,50 d\u00f3lares. El soporte inicial se encuentra en la zona de 70 d\u00f3lares, seguido por el \u00e1rea de 65 d\u00f3lares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nBrent, gr\u00e1fico de 4 horas, abril de 2026 \u2013 actualidad<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En el gr\u00e1fico de cuatro horas destacan dos elementos t\u00e9cnicos. El primero es la l\u00ednea de tendencia bajista que ha guiado los precios desde mayo y que actualmente se sit\u00faa cerca de los 82,60 d\u00f3lares. El segundo es el RSI, que ya ha superado el nivel de 70, se\u00f1alando condiciones de sobrecompra a corto plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El repunte actual parece estar respaldado por la evoluci\u00f3n de los acontecimientos geopol\u00edticos, lo que convierte la zona de 81,20 d\u00f3lares en el primer objetivo alcista relevante. La capacidad del mercado para mantener una ruptura por encima de ese nivel deber\u00eda aclararse en las pr\u00f3ximas sesiones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
No obstante, las condiciones de sobrecompra en los marcos temporales m\u00e1s cortos, junto con la magnitud del avance registrado ayer, sugieren que el mercado podr\u00eda entrar en una breve fase de consolidaci\u00f3n antes de extender las subidas. Durante ese proceso, los precios podr\u00edan volver a probar la zona de 74 d\u00f3lares desde el nivel actual de 76,22 d\u00f3lares. Aun as\u00ed, el panorama t\u00e9cnico general no favorece por el momento ventas agresivas ni anticipa un nuevo movimiento bajista de gran magnitud.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Los precios del crudo Brent repuntaron con fuerza esta semana despu\u00e9s de que el resurgimiento de las tensiones geopol\u00edticas en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[4595,4191,4193,4380,5241],"class_list":["post-121192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-tecnico","tag-brent","tag-materias-primas-tag","tag-onequity-insights","tag-precio-del-petroleo"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
Brent Sube por Tensiones en Ormuz - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Brent Sube por Tensiones en Ormuz - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Los precios del crudo Brent repuntaron con fuerza esta semana despu\u00e9s de que el resurgimiento de las tensiones geopol\u00edticas en […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-08T06:51:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-08T08:02:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Technical-Analysis-ES.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"850\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"550\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marco Turatti\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marco Turatti\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Marco Turatti\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d3e52a0ffb9417ae1b81d44a04de3be9\"},\"headline\":\"Brent Sube por Tensiones en Ormuz\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-07-08T06:51:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-07-08T08:02:41+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":995,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/04\\\/Technical-Analysis-ES.png\",\"keywords\":[\"An\u00e1lisis T\u00e9cnico\",\"BRENT\",\"Materias Primas\",\"OnEquity Insights\",\"Precio del Petr\u00f3leo\"],\"articleSection\":[\"An\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico diario\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/insights.onequity.com\\\/es\\\/brent-sube-por-tensiones-en-ormuz\\\/\",\"name\":\"Brent Sube por Tensiones en Ormuz - 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