{"id":120496,"date":"2026-06-29T09:54:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T07:54:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=120496"},"modified":"2026-07-01T11:12:22","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T09:12:22","slug":"nikkei-prueba-el-soporte-de-68200","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/nikkei-prueba-el-soporte-de-68200\/","title":{"rendered":"Nikkei Prueba el Soporte de 68,200"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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El mercado burs\u00e1til japon\u00e9s inici\u00f3 la semana con dos acontecimientos contrapuestos. Por un lado, China intensific\u00f3 la presi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica sobre Jap\u00f3n al incluir en una lista negra a cuatro institutos gubernamentales japoneses de investigaci\u00f3n en defensa y endurecer las restricciones a las exportaciones para decenas de entidades del pa\u00eds. Las medidas afectaron a varias unidades de Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, el fabricante de drones Terra Drone Corporation y empresas del sector nuclear. Pek\u00edn se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la decisi\u00f3n respondi\u00f3 a las declaraciones de la primera ministra japonesa, Sanae Takaichi, sobre una posible intervenci\u00f3n militar de Jap\u00f3n en una eventual crisis relacionada con Taiw\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por otro lado, las ventas minoristas de Jap\u00f3n sorprendieron al alza al crecer un 5.3% interanual, muy por encima del 3.2% esperado. Los datos sugieren que el crecimiento de los salarios nominales, que inicialmente impuls\u00f3 las expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n y respald\u00f3 la normalizaci\u00f3n de la pol\u00edtica monetaria del Banco de Jap\u00f3n, ahora tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 fortaleciendo el consumo interno.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En este contexto, la econom\u00eda japonesa creci\u00f3 a una tasa anualizada del 2.1% durante el primer trimestre de 2026, mientras el Banco de Jap\u00f3n contin\u00faa reduciendo el tama\u00f1o de su balance y la base monetaria del pa\u00eds sigue contray\u00e9ndose. A pesar de ello, el Nikkei contin\u00faa siendo el \u00edndice burs\u00e1til con mejor desempe\u00f1o entre los principales mercados del mundo y de Asia. Su avance anual superior al 35% supera ampliamente al de los \u00edndices estadounidenses, europeos y otros mercados regionales como Australia y China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nNikkei vs. \u00cdndices Globales, 2026<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La continua depreciaci\u00f3n del yen tambi\u00e9n ha favorecido la revalorizaci\u00f3n del Nikkei. Tal como se anticipaba, el USDJPY contin\u00faa cotizando cerca de 161.78 sin provocar una intervenci\u00f3n oficial, permitiendo que el par se acerque a la zona de 162.00. Incluso ajustando el \u00edndice por el cierre del USDJPY de 156.71 al 31 de diciembre, el Nikkei solo ser\u00eda aproximadamente un 3% inferior, equivalente a unos 67,200 puntos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sin embargo, esta ma\u00f1ana el Nikkei figura entre los \u00edndices con peor desempe\u00f1o en Asia, con una ca\u00edda del 0.80% al momento de redactar este informe, superado \u00fanicamente por las p\u00e9rdidas registradas en el Kospi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El viernes pasado, el Nikkei retrocedi\u00f3 un 4.15% y cerr\u00f3 la sesi\u00f3n en efectivo en 69,360 puntos. Posteriormente puso a prueba el soporte clave de corto plazo situado en torno a los 68,200 puntos, antes de recuperarse durante la noche desde un m\u00ednimo de 68,017 hasta la zona actual de 69,250. La media m\u00f3vil de 21 d\u00edas tambi\u00e9n se encuentra cerca de ese nivel, alrededor de 69,386 puntos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nJP225, Diario | febrero de 2026 \u2013 Actual<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La estructura t\u00e9cnica de largo plazo contin\u00faa siendo claramente alcista. La l\u00ednea de tendencia principal, iniciada el 30 de marzo, pasa actualmente por la zona de 66,200 puntos, aproximadamente un 4.4% por debajo del nivel actual. La media m\u00f3vil de 50 d\u00edas mantiene una pendiente ascendente y permanece por debajo de la media de 21 d\u00edas, situ\u00e1ndose alrededor de los 64,500 puntos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El RSI y el MACD siguen mostrando un comportamiento m\u00e1s moderado que el movimiento del precio y no presentan se\u00f1ales de divergencia bajista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por el momento, los retrocesos contin\u00faan consider\u00e1ndose oportunidades potenciales de acumulaci\u00f3n. M\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la tendencia alcista iniciada esta primavera, la estructura positiva del Nikkei permanece intacta hasta la zona de 56,000 puntos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El primer soporte relevante se ubica en 68,200 puntos, seguido por 66,150 y 63,675. Solo una ruptura clara por debajo de estos tres niveles trasladar\u00eda la atenci\u00f3n hacia los 59,800 puntos, aunque ese escenario a\u00fan no constituye el caso base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Al alza, los niveles a vigilar son 70,750, 72,000 y el m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico de 73,630 puntos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Si las condiciones generales del mercado y el apetito por el riesgo contin\u00faan siendo favorables, el Nikkei sigue ofreciendo una oportunidad atractiva. Los retrocesos podr\u00edan seguir representando puntos de entrada interesantes para los inversionistas que buscan exposici\u00f3n al fortalecimiento del mercado burs\u00e1til japon\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El mercado burs\u00e1til japon\u00e9s inici\u00f3 la semana con dos acontecimientos contrapuestos. Por un lado, China intensific\u00f3 la presi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica sobre […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[4595,4206,5157,4633,4380],"class_list":["post-120496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-analisis-tecnico","tag-forex","tag-indices-bursatiles","tag-mercados-globales","tag-onequity-insights"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
Nikkei Prueba el Soporte de 68,200 - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/nikkei-prueba-el-soporte-de-68200\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nikkei Prueba el Soporte de 68,200 - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El mercado burs\u00e1til japon\u00e9s inici\u00f3 la semana con dos acontecimientos contrapuestos. 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