{"id":115619,"date":"2026-05-12T09:13:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T07:13:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/?p=115619"},"modified":"2026-05-12T12:45:51","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T10:45:51","slug":"acciones-globales-suben-por-dolar-debil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/acciones-globales-suben-por-dolar-debil\/","title":{"rendered":"Acciones Globales Suben por D\u00f3lar D\u00e9bil"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La atenci\u00f3n global se dirige esta semana hacia Asia, con varias reuniones de alto nivel entre Estados Unidos y socios clave de la regi\u00f3n, especialmente China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El secretario del Tesoro de EE. UU., Scott Bessent, inici\u00f3 una gira diplom\u00e1tica por Asia. Su primera parada en Tokio incluy\u00f3 reuniones con la primera ministra japonesa Sanae Takaichi, el ministro de Finanzas Katayama y el gobernador del Banco de Jap\u00f3n, Kazuo Ueda. Las conversaciones se centraron en mercados cambiarios y cadenas de suministro de tierras raras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La delegaci\u00f3n viajar\u00e1 luego a Se\u00fal el 12\u201313 de mayo para consultas comerciales previas a la cumbre con el viceprimer ministro chino He Lifeng. El objetivo es preparar posibles anuncios antes de la pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00f3n entre Donald Trump y Xi Jinping, tras la tregua comercial alcanzada en Busan luego de un a\u00f1o de aranceles rec\u00edprocos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La secuencia diplom\u00e1tica culminar\u00e1 con una visita oficial a Pek\u00edn el 14\u201315 de mayo. El principal objetivo econ\u00f3mico ser\u00eda asegurar mayores compras chinas de productos estadounidenses, especialmente agr\u00edcolas. China probablemente mantendr\u00e1 posiciones firmes sobre minerales cr\u00edticos, restricciones tecnol\u00f3gicas y sanciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El car\u00e1cter comercial de la visita queda reflejado en la presencia de ejecutivos como Elon Musk y Tim Cook. Destaca la ausencia de Jensen Huang. Este contexto coincide adem\u00e1s con la publicaci\u00f3n de datos clave de inflaci\u00f3n en EE. UU., donde se espera un aumento tanto del CPI como del PPI, con potencial impacto sobre las expectativas monetarias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En las \u00faltimas semanas, el diferencial de tasas entre EE. UU. y la eurozona se ha ampliado. Inicialmente se esperaba que Europa enfrentara un shock inflacionario m\u00e1s severo, pero los datos europeos han quedado por debajo de expectativas, mientras la econom\u00eda estadounidense ha mostrado mayor resiliencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La recuperaci\u00f3n de las acciones estadounidenses ha reducido las expectativas de recortes de tasas en el corto plazo. Al mismo tiempo, la Reserva Federal ha adoptado un tono m\u00e1s coordinado, con varios funcionarios alej\u00e1ndose de un sesgo dovish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Pese a ello, el d\u00f3lar sigue relativamente d\u00e9bil, aumentando el foco sobre la relaci\u00f3n entre EUR\/USD y los \u00edndices burs\u00e1tiles globales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Desde mediados de septiembre de 2025, \u00edndices como el S&P 500, DJ30 y DAX se han movido dentro de amplios rangos antes de romper recientemente al alza, especialmente en EE. UU. Mientras tanto, EUR\/USD permanece lateral desde julio.<\/p>\n\n\n\nUS500, US30, GER40, EURUSD, Sep 2025 \u2013 Actual<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Surgen dos observaciones clave. Primero, los \u00edndices estadounidenses han superado expectativas durante este periodo de moderada debilidad del d\u00f3lar, salvo una breve interrupci\u00f3n entre diciembre y enero.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Segundo, existe una relaci\u00f3n visual clara entre el desempe\u00f1o burs\u00e1til y los movimientos del EUR\/USD. Los periodos de fortaleza del d\u00f3lar\u2014reflejados por una ca\u00edda del EUR\/USD de 1.18 a 1.15\u2014tienden a coincidir con debilidad en las bolsas. Por el contrario, la reciente debilidad del d\u00f3lar ha respaldado nuevas subidas burs\u00e1tiles, especialmente visibles en el DAX.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Esta din\u00e1mica es relevante porque conecta el comportamiento de los \u00edndices con el mercado de divisas, ofreciendo una referencia adicional para los participantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, el rango del EUR\/USD sigue claramente definido. Si el par contin\u00faa dentro de esta estructura, podr\u00eda producirse un movimiento bajista tras un nuevo test de 1.1850. Este escenario ser\u00eda coherente con la resiliencia del mercado laboral estadounidense y las persistentes presiones inflacionarias.<\/p>\n\n\n\nEURUSD, Diario, Jun 2025 \u2013 Actual<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Una ca\u00edda del EUR\/USD podr\u00eda se\u00f1alar una pausa en el rally burs\u00e1til actual, especialmente si viene acompa\u00f1ada de mayores rendimientos del Tesoro y un d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s fuerte. Por el contrario, un movimiento sostenido hacia 1.20 probablemente reforzar\u00eda el momentum alcista de las acciones globales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
La atenci\u00f3n global se dirige esta semana hacia Asia, con varias reuniones de alto nivel entre Estados Unidos y socios […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":113481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[4252,4022,3910,3950],"class_list":["post-115619","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical","tag-dax","tag-eurusd","tag-stocks-es-tag","tag-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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