{"id":104456,"date":"2025-11-10T10:33:28","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T10:33:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=43599"},"modified":"2025-11-10T10:37:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-10T10:37:14","slug":"eur-usd-sube-mientras-las-expectativas-de-fin-del-cierre-del-gobierno-de-ee-uu-impulsan-el-apetito-por-el-riesgo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/es\/eur-usd-sube-mientras-las-expectativas-de-fin-del-cierre-del-gobierno-de-ee-uu-impulsan-el-apetito-por-el-riesgo\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD Sube Mientras las Expectativas de Fin del Cierre del Gobierno de EE. UU. Impulsan el Apetito por el Riesgo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Durante la sesi\u00f3n europea del lunes, el EUR\/USD<\/strong> revirti\u00f3 las p\u00e9rdidas anteriores y super\u00f3 el nivel de 1.1550<\/strong>.
El euro recuper\u00f3 terreno a medida que mejor\u00f3 el apetito por el riesgo<\/strong> de los inversores, impulsado por se\u00f1ales de que el cierre del gobierno estadounidense podr\u00eda terminar pronto<\/strong>, lo que redujo la demanda del d\u00f3lar estadounidense<\/strong> como activo refugio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El movimiento refleja un cambio general en el sentimiento del mercado<\/strong>: tras semanas de incertidumbre, el Senado de EE. UU.<\/strong> avanz\u00f3 con un proyecto de ley para financiar temporalmente al gobierno, elevando las expectativas de que los empleados federales pronto recibir\u00e1n sus salarios atrasados y de que el flujo de datos econ\u00f3micos se reanudar\u00e1.
Este desarrollo ha aliviado la sombra de duda que el apag\u00f3n estad\u00edstico del cierre<\/strong> hab\u00eda proyectado sobre los mercados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Panorama Fundamental<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En el frente econ\u00f3mico, la zona euro<\/strong> sigue bajo presi\u00f3n.
Los pr\u00f3ximos datos de confianza del inversor Sentix<\/strong> y las cifras de producci\u00f3n industrial<\/strong> ser\u00e1n observados de cerca en busca de se\u00f1ales sobre la salud econ\u00f3mica, incluso cuando el euro se beneficie de la debilidad del d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mientras tanto, los comentarios del vicepresidente del Banco Central Europeo (BCE), Luis de Guindos<\/strong>, reforzaron la idea de que los niveles actuales de las tasas de inter\u00e9s son \u201cadecuados<\/strong>\u201d por el momento, apoyando la expectativa de que el BCE podr\u00eda mantener su pol\u00edtica sin cambios<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enfoc\u00e1ndose en la Resistencia Entre 1.1570 y 1.1630<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Desde el punto de vista t\u00e9cnico, el EUR\/USD<\/strong> muestra se\u00f1ales de una modesta recuperaci\u00f3n<\/strong>.
El par cotiza por encima de las medias m\u00f3viles simples (SMA) de 20 y 50 per\u00edodos<\/strong> en el gr\u00e1fico de 4 horas, mientras que el \u00cdndice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI)<\/strong> se acerca a 60, lo que indica una reducci\u00f3n en la presi\u00f3n vendedora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al alza, la resistencia inicial<\/strong> se encuentra cerca de 1.1570<\/strong> (retroceso de Fibonacci del 23,6 %), con barreras adicionales<\/strong> en torno a 1.1590<\/strong> (SMA de 100 per\u00edodos) y 1.1630<\/strong> (SMA de 200 per\u00edodos \/ retroceso del 38,2 %).
A la baja, el soporte<\/strong> se sit\u00faa alrededor de 1.1540\u20131.1530<\/strong> (alineado con las SMAs de 20 y 50 per\u00edodos), y m\u00e1s abajo en 1.1500<\/strong> y 1.1450<\/strong> si el sentimiento de riesgo se revierte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Flujo de Datos y Mensajes de Pol\u00edtica<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Con el d\u00f3lar bajo presi\u00f3n debido a la mejora del sentimiento de riesgo, los mercados vuelven a centrar su atenci\u00f3n en los datos econ\u00f3micos<\/strong>.
Si el gobierno estadounidense reabre<\/strong> y las publicaciones estad\u00edsticas<\/strong> se reanudan, esto podr\u00eda fortalecer nuevamente al d\u00f3lar<\/strong> y desafiar el avance moderado del euro.
Por el contrario, datos d\u00e9biles en la zona euro<\/strong> podr\u00edan socavar al EUR\/USD<\/strong>, a pesar del repunte actual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conclusi\u00f3n<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

El ascenso del EUR\/USD por encima de 1.1550<\/strong> refleja un mercado que se adapta a una menor incertidumbre en EE. UU.<\/strong>.
Sin embargo, el par sigue siendo vulnerable<\/strong> tanto a sorpresas negativas en los datos de la eurozona<\/strong> como a un posible repunte del d\u00f3lar<\/strong>.
Los traders deber\u00edan vigilar de cerca la zona de resistencia entre 1.1570 y 1.1630<\/strong> y el nivel de soporte en 1.1500<\/strong>, conforme evolucionen el sentimiento del mercado y las se\u00f1ales de pol\u00edtica monetaria.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Durante la sesi\u00f3n europea del lunes, el EUR\/USD revirti\u00f3 las p\u00e9rdidas anteriores y super\u00f3 el nivel de 1.1550.El euro recuper\u00f3 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":104008,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[863],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-104456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-technical"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEUR\/USD Sube Mientras las Expectativas de Fin del Cierre del Gobierno de EE. 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