{"id":98353,"date":"2025-08-12T10:07:23","date_gmt":"2025-08-12T10:07:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=37496"},"modified":"2026-02-06T08:06:36","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T08:06:36","slug":"dollar-falls-modestly-prior-to-key-us-inflation-data-pound-sterling-rallies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/dollar-falls-modestly-prior-to-key-us-inflation-data-pound-sterling-rallies\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Softens Ahead of Key U.S. Inflation Data; Sterling Rallies"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The U.S. dollar slipped slightly on Tuesday, with investors awaiting the latest U.S. consumer inflation figures that could influence expectations for upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
At 04:15 ET (08:15 GMT), the Dollar Index<\/a> \u2014 which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies<\/a> \u2014 was down 0.1% at 98.317, after climbing 0.5% across the previous two sessions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U.S. July CPI in focus<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Currency markets turned their attention to the release of July\u2019s U.S. consumer price index later in the day, as traders sought fresh signals on the trajectory of U.S. interest rates.
A softer reading on inflation could strengthen market bets for a Fed rate cut next month. Conversely, any signs that President Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs are adding to price pressures could prompt the central bank to hold off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The headline annual CPI is projected to tick up to 2.8% from June\u2019s 2.7%, remaining well above the Fed\u2019s 2% target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhile some rebalancing ahead of the release is possible, a hotter-than-expected number could still buoy the dollar by reducing expectations for a September Fed cut to under 20 basis points,\u201d ING analysts wrote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNonetheless, we believe labor market trends carry more weight than inflation, given the prevailing view that tariff-related price spikes are temporary and considering last month\u2019s significant payroll revisions.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Euro eyes Ukraine peace developments<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In Europe, EUR\/USD inched up to 1.1618 before the release of Germany\u2019s ZEW economic sentiment index for August, which will offer insights into the eurozone\u2019s largest economy.
The euro is also being swayed by anticipation ahead of Friday\u2019s meeting between Russian and U.S. leaders to discuss the framework for a potential Ukraine ceasefire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe expect today\u2019s U.S. CPI to drag EUR\/USD back below 1.16, with downside risks toward 1.150 if the Putin\u2013Trump summit produces limited progress,\u201d ING said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, GBP\/USD gained 0.1% to 1.3451 after data showed the U.K. jobless rate held at 4.7% in the three months to June \u2014 the highest since July 2021 \u2014 while regular pay growth, excluding bonuses, stayed at 5.0% year-on-year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAlthough the labor market has cooled compared to earlier this year and is softer than in other major economies, the Bank of England has no urgent reason to speed up rate cuts,\u201d ING added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yuan steady after trade truce extension<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Elsewhere, USD\/CNY edged up to 7.1897, showing little reaction after China and the U.S. agreed to extend by 90 days the deadline before imposing additional tariffs on each other\u2019s goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The move eased fears of a renewed U.S.\u2013China trade war and kept tariff levels between the two economies relatively low, bolstering hopes for a longer-term trade agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other majors<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY rose 0.1% to 148.33, while AUD\/USD fell 0.2% to 0.6503 after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.60%, as widely expected.
This marked the RBA\u2019s third rate cut of the year, continuing the easing cycle that began in the first quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The U.S. dollar slipped slightly on Tuesday, with investors awaiting the latest U.S. consumer inflation figures that could influence expectations […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108795,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2936,2935],"tags":[642,643,644],"class_list":["post-98353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-currencies","category-markets","tag-currencies-tag","tag-dollar","tag-euro"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDollar Softens Ahead of Key U.S. Inflation Data; 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