{"id":68491,"date":"2025-06-18T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/?p=7634"},"modified":"2026-02-12T12:12:52","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T12:12:52","slug":"daily-technical-analysis-eur-usdeur-usd-drops-below-1-15-amid-trumps-iran-threats-and-dollar-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usdeur-usd-drops-below-1-15-amid-trumps-iran-threats-and-dollar-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Daily Technical Analysis EUR\/USD: Drops Below 1.15 Amid Trump\u2019s Iran Threats and Dollar Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> currency pair declined sharply by more than 0.60%, currently trading at <strong>1.1484<\/strong> after retreating from daily highs of <strong>1.1579<\/strong>. The US Dollar&#8217;s strength stems from its appeal as a safe-haven asset during periods of geopolitical uncertainty, particularly as tensions in the Middle East between <strong>Israel and Iran<\/strong> continue to escalate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market Drivers<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The intensifying conflict in the Middle East has prompted investors to seek refuge in the US Dollar. President Trump\u2019s recent social media statement demanding Iran\u2019s \u201c<strong>unconditional surrender<\/strong>\u201d further bolstered the Greenback, which reached a four-day high. The <strong>US Dollar Index (DXY)<\/strong>\u2014which tracks the dollar\u2019s performance against six major currencies\u2014surged over <strong>0.67%<\/strong> to <strong>98.79<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to <strong>CNN reports<\/strong>, the Trump administration is reconsidering diplomatic options in the region, while also evaluating potential <strong>military strikes<\/strong> on Iranian nuclear facilities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From an economic perspective, recent US data remains mixed. <strong>Retail Sales<\/strong> have contracted for two consecutive months, and <strong>Industrial Production<\/strong> also declined, according to the Federal Reserve. Despite these figures, the dollar\u2019s current strength appears largely driven by geopolitical risk rather than economic fundamentals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the <strong>Eurozone<\/strong>, German <strong>ZEW Economic Sentiment<\/strong> data came in above expectations, offering some support for the Euro. However, recent remarks from <strong>European Central Bank (ECB)<\/strong> officials have taken on a more neutral tone, with policymakers opting for a cautious, wait-and-see stance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While the <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> pair has pulled back, its broader upward trend may remain intact. Key market-moving events this week include the <strong>Federal Reserve\u2019s monetary policy meeting on Wednesday<\/strong>, the release of the <strong>Summary of Economic Projections (SEP)<\/strong>, and <strong>Chairman Jerome Powell\u2019s<\/strong> press conference\u2014all of which could significantly affect the pair\u2019s direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Technical Analysis \u2013 June 18<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The EUR\/USD has encountered a temporary pause in its recent upward momentum, with prices dropping below the <strong>1.1500<\/strong> psychological level. The <strong>Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/strong> signals weakening bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are pausing after the recent rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Support and Resistance Levels<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Immediate Support<\/strong>: 1.1450, followed by the <strong>20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA)<\/strong> at 1.1411<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Key Support<\/strong>: 1.1400, if the moving average is breached<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance Targets<\/strong>: 1.1500 (immediate), 1.1600, and the June 16 high of 1.1614<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ultimate Target<\/strong>: Yearly peak of 1.1631<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The current technical setup suggests that while the pair may experience additional short-term weakness, the <strong>overall bullish structure<\/strong> remains intact. A recovery above <strong>1.1500<\/strong> would likely trigger renewed buying interest toward higher resistance levels.remains intact. A recovery above 1.1500 would likely trigger renewed buying interest toward higher resistance levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;6a0c1ce70134b&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"6a0c1ce70134b\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large technical-chart wp-lightbox-container\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/eurusd-18-06-1-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7637\"\/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Enlarge\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">EUR\/USD chart<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The EUR\/USD currency pair declined sharply by more than 0.60%, currently trading at 1.1484 after retreating from daily highs of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99618,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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