{"id":68283,"date":"2025-06-03T10:22:34","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T10:22:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/?p=7426"},"modified":"2025-06-03T10:22:34","modified_gmt":"2025-06-03T10:22:34","slug":"dollar-recovers-modestly-after-hitting-six-week-low-euro-drops-prior-to-ecb-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/dollar-recovers-modestly-after-hitting-six-week-low-euro-drops-prior-to-ecb-meeting\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Recovers Modestly After Hitting Six-Week Low, Euro Drops Prior to ECB Meeting"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The U.S. dollar edged higher on Tuesday but remained close to its six-week low as growing uncertainty over trade policies clouded the outlook for the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the euro weakened slightly ahead of key inflation data from the eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), the <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/19\/12\/2024\/understanding-the-dxy-index-a-key-to-forex-and-global-market-insights\/\">U.S. Dollar Index<\/a>\u2014which measures the greenback against a basket of six major <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/14\/06\/2024\/unlocking-the-global-currency-market-a-beginners-guide-to-forex\/\">currencies<\/a>\u2014rose 0.2% to 98.855. This came after the index fell to its lowest level since late April at the beginning of the week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Trade Tensions Undermine Economic Confidence<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Trade concerns continue to weigh on investor sentiment. According to Reuters, the Trump administration is pressing negotiating partners to submit their most favorable trade proposals by Wednesday. However, the looming <strong>doubling of tariffs<\/strong> on imported steel and aluminum to <strong>50%<\/strong>\u2014also set for Wednesday\u2014signals that economic headwinds could intensify.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cYesterday\u2019s <strong>ISM manufacturing survey<\/strong> surprised to the downside, reversing the recent pattern of resilient U.S. data,\u201d analysts at ING noted. \u201cThe export component\u2019s drop to a five-year low may point to the impact of retaliatory tariffs, further burdening a manufacturing sector already strained by trade uncertainty and weaker consumer spending.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Later in the session, the release of <strong>April\u2019s JOLTS report<\/strong> will draw attention, especially data on <strong>job openings and layoffs<\/strong>. Meanwhile, <strong>April\u2019s durable goods orders<\/strong> are also expected to show weakness. \u201cAnother round of soft data, particularly in the labor market, could push the dollar back toward its April lows,\u201d ING added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro Slips, Pound Gains on Robust UK Data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> slipped 0.2% to <strong>1.1415<\/strong>, retreating from a six-week high ahead of the <strong>flash inflation report<\/strong> for May. Analysts expect eurozone consumer prices to have slowed to an annual rate of <strong>2.0%<\/strong>, down from April\u2019s unexpectedly high <strong>2.2%<\/strong>, which could support a <strong>25 basis-point interest rate cut<\/strong> by the <strong>European Central Bank (ECB)<\/strong> on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cToday\u2019s CPI release is unlikely to alter expectations of a cut, but it may fuel speculation that President Lagarde will strike a more dovish tone,\u201d said ING.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>GBP\/USD<\/strong> also dipped 0.2% to <strong>1.3518<\/strong> but remained supported by strong domestic data and cautious policy moves from the <strong>Bank of England<\/strong>. UK house prices rose <strong>3.5% year-on-year<\/strong> in May, according to <strong>Nationwide<\/strong>, beating expectations. Monthly prices increased <strong>0.5%<\/strong>, rebounding from April\u2019s decline and marking the biggest gain since December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Aussie Falls After Dovish RBA Minutes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Asia, <strong>AUD\/USD<\/strong> dropped 0.6% to <strong>0.6460<\/strong> after the <strong>Reserve Bank of Australia\u2019s<\/strong> May meeting minutes reaffirmed its dovish stance. The central bank had already cut interest rates by <strong>25 basis points<\/strong> in May, citing increasing risks from trade tariffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market sentiment was further dampened by a weak batch of <strong>Q1 economic data<\/strong>, including a larger-than-expected <strong>current account deficit<\/strong>. Attention now turns to <strong>Australia\u2019s Q1 GDP<\/strong> data, due Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Yen Retreats Slightly, Yuan Weakens Post-Holiday<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong> rose 0.1% to <strong>142.88<\/strong>, with the <strong>yen<\/strong> giving back some of its recent safe-haven gains. Meanwhile, <strong>USD\/CNY<\/strong> slipped 0.1% to <strong>7.1906<\/strong> as <strong>Chinese markets<\/strong> reopened after a long weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent <strong>PMI data<\/strong> pointed to ongoing weakness in China\u2019s economy. The <strong>Caixin manufacturing PMI<\/strong> unexpectedly contracted in May, aligning with the government\u2019s PMI figures released over the weekend. Export orders continue to stall, pressured by elevated U.S. tariffs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar edged higher on Tuesday but remained close to its six-week low as growing uncertainty over trade policies [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2936,2935],"tags":[642,643,644,679],"class_list":["post-68283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-currencies","category-markets","tag-currencies-tag","tag-dollar","tag-euro","tag-yen"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar Recovers Modestly After Hitting Six-Week Low, Euro Drops Prior to ECB Meeting - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dollar recovers from six-week low as euro weakens before ECB meeting; 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