{"id":65776,"date":"2024-11-25T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-25T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/?p=4919"},"modified":"2026-02-13T14:12:21","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T14:12:21","slug":"daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-eur-usd-looks-for-resistance-around-1-0500-after-bouncing-off-two-year-lows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-eur-usd-looks-for-resistance-around-1-0500-after-bouncing-off-two-year-lows\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD Looks for Resistance Around"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> is recovering after hitting a two-year low of <strong>1.0332 on Friday<\/strong> and is currently trading near <strong>1.0480<\/strong> at the time of writing. This rebound may reflect a correction in the U.S. dollar, despite robust preliminary S&amp;P Global U.S. Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index (PMI) data released in the prior session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the <strong>U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)<\/strong>, which measures the greenback\u2019s performance against six other currencies, has eased to <strong>107.00<\/strong> after reaching a two-year high of <strong>108.07 on Friday<\/strong>. However, downside risks to the dollar remain limited, as recent economic data reinforces expectations that the Federal Reserve may slow the pace of rate cuts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>U.S. PMI Data Signals Stronger Growth<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>S&amp;P Global U.S. Composite PMI index<\/strong> rose to <strong>55.3<\/strong> in November, signaling the strongest growth in private sector activity since April 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>U.S. Services PMI:<\/strong> Increased to <strong>57.0<\/strong> from <strong>55.0<\/strong> in October, significantly beating market expectations of <strong>55.2<\/strong>. This marks the strongest expansion in the services sector since March 2022.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>U.S. Manufacturing PMI:<\/strong> Edged up to <strong>48.8<\/strong> from <strong>48.5<\/strong> in October, meeting market expectations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This strong performance in the services sector further solidifies the dollar\u2019s position, while the manufacturing sector remains in contraction territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro Struggles Amid Weak PMI Data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The euro came under pressure after the release of weak Eurozone PMI data, which highlighted persistent challenges in the region\u2019s business activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <strong>Eurozone HCOB Flash Composite PMI index<\/strong> fell sharply to <strong>48.1<\/strong> in November, down from <strong>50.0<\/strong> in October and well below expectations of <strong>50.0<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The contraction in the <strong>services sector<\/strong>\u2014the first in ten months\u2014added to the ongoing slowdown in the manufacturing sector.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Trade Concerns and ECB Rate Cut Expectations<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist <strong>Philip Lane<\/strong> issued a warning on Thursday regarding the potential global economic damage from an anticipated trade war triggered by higher tariffs proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. <strong>\u201cTrade fragmentation leads to significant output losses,\u201d<\/strong> Lane emphasized.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the weaker-than-expected Eurozone PMI data, market expectations for an aggressive ECB rate cut have increased. The likelihood of a <strong>50 basis point (bps)<\/strong> cut in the deposit facility rate to <strong>2.5%<\/strong> has surged to over <strong>50%<\/strong>, compared to less than <strong>20%<\/strong> before the PMI release.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Technical Analysis for November 25th<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> remains on the defensive and is trading near two-year lows around <strong>1.0330<\/strong>, pressured by dollar strength and weak domestic fundamentals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Upcoming Events:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>November 25:<\/strong> Germany&#8217;s <strong>IFO Business Climate Index<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>November 27:<\/strong> Germany\u2019s <strong>GfK Consumer Confidence Index<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>November 28:<\/strong> Germany\u2019s <strong>Advanced Inflation Rate<\/strong>, followed by Eurozone <strong>Economic Sentiment<\/strong> and <strong>Final Consumer Confidence<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>November 29:<\/strong> Germany\u2019s <strong>Labor Report<\/strong> and <strong>Retail Sales<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>End of November:<\/strong> Eurozone\u2019s <strong>Preliminary Inflation Rate<\/strong> and <strong>Consumer Inflation Forecasts<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This packed economic calendar will likely drive EUR\/USD sentiment in the coming sessions, with particular attention on Germany\u2019s inflation and labor market data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;6a0c6e2b7d54e&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"6a0c6e2b7d54e\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large technical-chart wp-lightbox-container\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" 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class=\"wp-element-caption\">EUR\/USD chart<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The EUR\/USD is recovering after hitting a two-year low of 1.0332 on Friday and is currently trading near 1.0480 at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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