{"id":65713,"date":"2024-11-19T13:13:27","date_gmt":"2024-11-19T13:13:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/?p=4856"},"modified":"2024-11-19T13:13:27","modified_gmt":"2024-11-19T13:13:27","slug":"dollar-continues-to-rise-trumps-political-appointees-take-center-stage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/dollar-continues-to-rise-trumps-political-appointees-take-center-stage\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Continues to Rise, Trump&#8217;s Political Appointees Take Center Stage"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The U.S. dollar rose on Tuesday after retreating from one-year highs reached last week. Traders sought political direction as attention shifted toward President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s cabinet selections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In early trading, the <strong>Dollar Index<\/strong>, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/14\/06\/2024\/unlocking-the-global-currency-market-a-beginners-guide-to-forex\/\">currencies<\/a>, climbed 0.2% to 106.427, recovering from a 0.4% decline in the previous session. The index rose 1.6% last week, marking its sixth gain in seven weeks and reaching its highest level in a year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Debate Over Treasury Secretary<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Currency markets are consolidating after a volatile few weeks. During this period, the Dollar Index appreciated <strong>7% in just six weeks<\/strong>, representing one of the most notable adjustments since the summer of 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPositioning is probably the biggest threat to the dollar at the moment,\u201d analysts at ING mentioned in a note. \u201cWe may also start to hear about dollar seasonality again, as the DXY [Dollar Index] has fallen in eight of the last 10 Decembers and for the last seven consecutive Decembers.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With U.S. economic data relatively sparse this week, market focus has shifted to President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s cabinet picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOne of the most relevant positions for financial markets is that of U.S. Treasury Secretary,\u201d ING added. \u201cA candidate with proven reliability will be welcomed by bond markets, while one with less experience\u2014or a candidate who offers less of a counterweight to some of President-elect Trump\u2019s plans\u2014could trigger a sell-off in the long end of the U.S. Treasury market and potentially soften the dollar.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro Gets Hit by Tariff Fears<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Europe, <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> fell <strong>0.6% to 1.0535<\/strong>, remaining close to last week\u2019s levels. This decline followed concerns that new U.S. trade tariffs could hinder eurozone economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe balance of macroeconomic risks has shifted from concerns about high inflation to fears about economic growth,\u201d said <strong>ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos<\/strong> at an event in Frankfurt on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cGrowth prospects are clouded by uncertainty about economic policies and the geopolitical landscape, both in the euro area and globally. Trade tensions could escalate further, increasing the risk of tail events materializing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The final Eurozone <strong>CPI<\/strong> reading for October confirmed that inflation is currently at the <strong>ECB&#8217;s target of 2.0%<\/strong>, while quarterly growth in the region was only <strong>0.4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>GBP\/USD Dips Ahead of UK CPI Data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>GBP\/USD<\/strong> dropped to <strong>1.2626<\/strong> ahead of the release of the UK CPI data for October, due on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economists forecast that the annual inflation rate increased to <strong>2.2%<\/strong>, up from <strong>1.7% in September<\/strong>. This marks the first time the annual inflation rate has fallen below the <strong>Bank of England\u2019s 2% target<\/strong> in over three years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, <strong>Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey<\/strong> is set to testify before lawmakers later on Tuesday. He is expected to face questions about the inflationary impact of the new Labour government\u2019s recently released budget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Japan\u2019s Inflation Data in Focus<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong> dropped to <strong>153.78<\/strong> as the yen recovered from a near four-month low reached in early November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Japan\u2019s consumer inflation data, scheduled for release on Friday, will shed more light on the country\u2019s interest rate trajectory. This follows disappointing third-quarter GDP data, which raised concerns about the Bank of Japan\u2019s ability to continue raising rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/CNY Edges Higher Amid Chinese Rate Decision<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/CNY<\/strong> rose <strong>0.1% to 7.2434<\/strong>, nearing recent three-month highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, attention turns to the <strong>People\u2019s Bank of China\u2019s<\/strong> interest rate decision. Economists expect the central bank to maintain its current prime rate on Wednesday.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/gbp-usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar rose on Tuesday after retreating from one-year highs reached last week. Traders sought political direction as attention [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2936,2935],"tags":[642,643,644],"class_list":["post-65713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-currencies","category-markets","tag-currencies-tag","tag-dollar","tag-euro"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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