{"id":65134,"date":"2024-10-16T11:47:39","date_gmt":"2024-10-16T11:47:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/?p=4277"},"modified":"2024-10-16T11:47:39","modified_gmt":"2024-10-16T11:47:39","slug":"dollar-gains-on-cut-in-rate-expectations-pound-falls-on-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/dollar-gains-on-cut-in-rate-expectations-pound-falls-on-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Gains on Cut in Rate Expectations, Pound Falls on Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The U.S. dollar rose on Wednesday, trading near two-month highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will slightly cut interest rates this year, while the pound slipped after positive inflation data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Dollar Benefits from Expectations of a Rate Cut<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p>Recent data indicating a resilient economy, combined with slightly higher-than-expected inflation in September, has led market participants to reduce their bets on a sharp cut in U.S. interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adding to these expectations on Tuesday were comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, who stated that he anticipated only one more interest rate cut of 25 basis points this year when he updated his forecast for last month\u2019s Fed meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most market participants expect two more cuts this year, totaling 50 basis points, and traders are currently betting with a 92% probability on a 25-basis-point cut at the next Fed policy meeting on Nov. 7, with an 8% chance of no change, according to CME Group\u2019s FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Pound Falls After Inflation Release<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p>In Europe, GBP\/USD fell 0.5% to 1.3003 after data revealed that U.K. inflation dipped more than expected in September, setting the stage for a possible rate cut in the coming month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.K. inflation rate dropped to 1.7% year-over-year, down from an estimated 1.9% and from 2.2% the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This marks the first time it has fallen below the Bank of England\u2019s 2% target since April 2021 and follows earlier data this week showing that U.K. wages grew at the slowest pace in more than two years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe data is unambiguously dovish for the Bank of England and paves the way for rate cuts at the remaining two meetings this year (November and December),\u201d ING analysts stated in a note.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cGiven Governor Andrew Bailey\u2019s comments earlier this month suggesting that the BoE may accelerate the pace of easing, markets may start to consider the possibility of a 50-basis-point rate cut in November.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Edges Lower Ahead of ECB Meeting<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD was down 0.1% to 1.0882 ahead of Thursday\u2019s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ECB has already cut rates twice this year, and financial markets have almost fully priced in a 3.5% deposit rate cut this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEUR\/USD is predominantly driven by external factors. The substantial drop in oil prices has reduced the potential for further downside from market influences, but we continue to believe that positioning ahead of the U.S. election may favor a weaker EUR\/USD,\u201d ING mentioned.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Yuan Softens Amid Weekly Losses<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p>USD\/CNY fell slightly to 7.1179, with the yuan maintaining its losses for the week as sentiment worsened over China\u2019s plans for more stimulus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s Finance Ministry announced a series of fiscal measures to boost growth, although it did not provide specifics on the timing or scale of the estimated measures, raising uncertainty about their effectiveness.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/JPY Nears Resistance Level<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p>USD\/JPY rose 0.2% to 149.43, approaching the resistance level of 150.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Consumer inflation data due later in the week is expected to provide more insight into the Bank of Japan\u2019s plans regarding potential further rate hikes.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar rose on Wednesday, trading near two-month highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will slightly cut interest [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2936,2935],"tags":[642,643,644,680],"class_list":["post-65134","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-currencies","category-markets","tag-currencies-tag","tag-dollar","tag-euro","tag-yuan"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar Gains on Cut in Rate Expectations, Pound Falls on Inflation - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S. dollar strengthens as Fed rate cut expectations rise, while the pound falls on U.K. inflation data. 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