{"id":112479,"date":"2026-04-07T06:43:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T06:43:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=51622"},"modified":"2026-05-06T14:35:36","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T12:35:36","slug":"sp-500-assessing-the-rebound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/sp-500-assessing-the-rebound\/","title":{"rendered":"S&P 500: Assessing the Rebound"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Last week was, overall, quite positive for equity indices and the global benchmark. After an initial rebound attempt that quickly faded on Monday, March 30, the following day the S&P 500 posted a solid +2.86%\u2014also coinciding with the close of the first quarter and related last-minute rebalancing\u2014which then allowed it to continue rising in the following days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Particularly notable was the candlestick formed on Thursday, April 2: after a very negative start to the session, the S&P recovered all losses and closed at +0.07% (with an intraday range of 2.16%), forming a hammer pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On a weekly basis, the index posted a +2.99% gain, despite both oil benchmarks continuing to trade above $110 and ongoing damage to Middle Eastern energy infrastructure suggesting potential long-term disruptions in production and supply. Investors and traders appeared willing to price in a potential resolution, fueled by rumors of a possible truce\u2014particularly given oversold conditions and proximity to key support levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The situation is now at a crossroads. The rebound has pushed price above the key 6536 level, where the index consolidated during yesterday\u2019s low-volume session. Today\u2019s opening was slightly above the next resistance area at 6610, as well as above the 21-day moving average and the clearly defined downtrend line originating on February 25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
US500, Daily, Jul 2025 – Now<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

This type of price action above key levels may suggest that a breakout is approaching. Such a move would be a positive medium-term signal and could open the door to further gains, potentially toward the 6700\u20136730 area.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, several factors still call for caution. First, volumes have declined sharply during the latter part of the rebound. Second, on the S&P 500 cash (spot) chart (i.e., the New York session), price has not touched or broken the downtrend line (as chart structures differ slightly).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finally, relative performance across indices remains uneven: while the US30 shows a similar attempt to break its downtrend, the Nasdaq\u2014arguably the cleanest chart\u2014still points toward a continuation of the broader bearish trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In summary, caution remains warranted. In such volatile environments, markets often retest recent lows before establishing a sustained move higher. Key levels to monitor are 6535, followed by 6505. A move lower into the 6430\u20136460 area would bring 6350 back into focus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Last week was, overall, quite positive for equity indices and the global benchmark. 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