{"id":108483,"date":"2026-02-02T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=47626"},"modified":"2026-05-06T15:14:49","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T13:14:49","slug":"silvergeddon-and-what-a-crash-looks-like","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/silvergeddon-and-what-a-crash-looks-like\/","title":{"rendered":"The SILVERgeddon Crash"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Over the past several weeks, we have repeatedly discussed the powerful rally in precious metals. It was hard to ignore: silver had risen by <strong>+69.66% in just one month<\/strong>, up to Thursday, January 29. The move appeared unstoppable and\u2014frankly\u2014illogical, difficult to justify on fundamental grounds, and above all imprudent. Plausible explanations did exist: silver\u2019s growing use as a heat-dissipation material in data centers, a structural production deficit, and China\u2019s export ban following the metal\u2019s designation as \u201cstrategic\u201d by the United States in November. Still, none of these factors fully explained a move of such speed and magnitude.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then, on Friday, January 30, the market experienced one of the largest single-day declines in history. Silver suffered what quantitative analysts describe as a \u201c<strong>10-sigma event<\/strong>\u201d placing it among the five most severe market crashes of the past century. Prices fell by <strong>-27.53%, or $32.38<\/strong>, from an opening level of $117.63, <strong>wiping out approximately $1.5 trillion in market capitalization<\/strong>. It was, by any definition, a day of reckoning\u2014an outright market armageddon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The causes were likely multiple. Some pointed to the change in central bank leadership and the appointment of Warsh, though this explanation appears unconvincing. More credibly, margin requirements imposed by the CME had already risen by roughly 20% in recent weeks and were increased sharply again on Friday. Speculative positioning also played a decisive role, as many funds\u2014hedge and otherwise\u2014that had entered to ride the parabolic move were forced to unwind positions, possibly under margin pressure, once the selloff began.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps the most striking fact is that even after Friday\u2019s collapse, <strong>silver remains the best-performing major asset year to date, still up 18.87%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As noted previously, this was not the largest crash in silver\u2019s history, but the second-largest. The most severe occurred during <strong>\u201cSilver Thursday\u201d in 1980, closely tied to the Hunt brothers<\/strong>\u2019 attempt to dominate attempt the market amid the inflationary turmoil of the late 1970s. Seeking protection from a weakening dollar and rising inflation, Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt accumulated massive amounts of physical silver and leveraged futures positions, eventually controlling a significant share of global supply. Their buying helped drive silver from under $10 per ounce in 1979 to nearly $50 by January 1980.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reversal began when exchanges imposed liquidation-only rules and sharply increased margin requirements to curb concentration risk. These changes exposed the Hunts\u2019 heavy reliance on leverage, triggering margin calls they could not meet. On March 27, 1980\u2014Silver Thursday\u2014prices collapsed by 33% in a rapid selloff, erasing much of the rally and forcing widespread liquidation. Another extreme episode followed in 2011, once again linked to aggressive margin hikes\u2014five increases in one week\u2014which led to a rapid 12% decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>On Friday, silver found support near $73.80, corresponding to its 50-day moving average (MA50). The session closed at $85.27 slightly below the upward trendline that began in November and accelerated sharply earlier this year. From a technical perspective, this suggests that in the coming sessions silver may attempt to defend that trendline -potentially rebounding toward the 21-day moving average (MA21), currently around $91.80 but also that the same trendline is now potentially acting as resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02Jan-Silver.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47627\" srcset=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02Jan-Silver.png 850w, https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02Jan-Silver-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02Jan-Silver-768x497.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>XAGUSD, Daily, Oct 2025 &#8211; Now<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the upside, key resistance levels to monitor are $87.90, $89.90, $92.85, and $96.15. On the downside, attention should be paid to $84.00, $80.75, and the $73.80 area. Volatility is expected to remain extreme; as such, trading in this environment is suitable only for high-risk profiles and short-term, intraday strategies. Over the past five sessions, the rolling average daily range has been $18.56, underscoring the unusually elevated volatility regime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past several weeks, we have repeatedly discussed the powerful rally in precious metals. It was hard to ignore: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":104002,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2932],"tags":[1210,1026,1028],"class_list":["post-108483","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-crash","tag-silver","tag-xagusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The SILVERgeddon Crash - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/silvergeddon-and-what-a-crash-looks-like\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The SILVERgeddon Crash - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Over the past several weeks, we have repeatedly discussed the powerful rally in precious metals. 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